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Human cognition, behaviors, and the stylized fact in asset market: Simulation/Experimental approach

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26350415
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Social systems engineering/Safety system
Research InstitutionUniversity of Tsukuba

Principal Investigator

AKIYAMA Eizo  筑波大学, システム情報系, 教授 (40317300)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,110,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Keywords社会システム / 被験者実験 / 資産市場 / 人工市場 / シミュレーション
Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this research, we aim to clarify the cognitive/behavioral patterns and their interactions lying behind the emergence of so-called stylized facts in asset markets. Using an experimental approach, we investigated the effect of the strategic uncertainty and the individual bounded rationality on the deviation from the fundamental value. We showed that the strategic uncertainty arising from the inflow of inexperienced traders into the market can cause deviation from the fundamental value, and that both strategic uncertainty and individual irrationality equally contribute to the deviation. These results are reported in refereed journals on economics. Also, our computer simulation studies on the large-scale market interactions and the dilemma interactions on networks are reported in refereed journals on biology/physics.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (15 results)

All 2017 2016 2015 2014

All Journal Article (8 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 8 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 3 results,  Open Access: 3 results) Presentation (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results)

  • [Journal Article] 参加周期の異なるプレイヤが混在する少数派ゲーム2017

    • Author(s)
      片平啓, 秋山英三
    • Journal Title

      情報処理学会論文誌

      Volume: Vol 58 No.1 Pages: 269-277

    • NAID

      170000131178

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] It is not just confusion! Strategic uncertainty in an experimental asset market2016

    • Author(s)
      Akiyama, E., Hanaki, N. and Ishikawa, R.
    • Journal Title

      Economic Journal

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Heterogeneity of link weight and the evolution of cooperation2016

    • Author(s)
      Iwata, M., & Akiyama, E.
    • Journal Title

      Physica A

      Volume: 448 Pages: 224-234

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.physa.2015.12.047

    • NAID

      120007129619

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 仲介者と取引するトレーダーの曖昧性忌避とリスク回避 ―経済実験による検証―2015

    • Author(s)
      藤倉崇晃, 小川一仁, 秋山英三
    • Journal Title

      応用経済学研究

      Volume: 8 Pages: 69-94

    • NAID

      40020413615

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] How do experienced traders respond to inflows of inexperienced traders? An experimental analysis2014

    • Author(s)
      Akiyama, E., Hanaki, N., and Ishikawa, R.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control

      Volume: 45 Pages: 1-18

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jedc.2014.05.007

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Selection of opponents in the Prisoner's dilemma in dynamic networks: An experimental approach2014

    • Author(s)
      Yonenoh, H. and Akiyama, E.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Theoretical Biology

      Volume: 351 Pages: 25-36

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jtbi.2014.02.006

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 協力者が裏切者とのリンクを切断する動的ネットワーク上での協力の進化2014

    • Author(s)
      米納弘渡, 秋山英三
    • Journal Title

      The Proceedings of the Joint Agent Workshop (JAWS 2014)

      Volume: -

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] リンクの太さの不均一性が協力の進化を促進する条件2014

    • Author(s)
      岩田学, 秋山英三
    • Journal Title

      日本ソフトウェア科学会ネットワークが創発する知能研究会(JWEIN14) 講演論文集

      Volume: -

    • NAID

      130007424256

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] Conflict and decision delay in the Prisoner's Dilemma Game2016

    • Author(s)
      Akiyama, E., Mizuno, M.
    • Organizer
      The 31st International Congress of Psychology
    • Place of Presentation
      パシフィコ横浜(神奈川県横浜市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-25
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Diversity in cognitive ability enlarges mispricing2016

    • Author(s)
      Akiyama, E.., Hanaki, H., Funaki, Y. and Ishikwawa, R.
    • Organizer
      International Conference on Socio-economic systems with ICT and Networks
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学(東京都文京区)
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-27
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Diversity in cognitive ability enlarges mispricing2015

    • Author(s)
      Akiyama, E.., Hanaki, H., Funaki, Y. and Ishikwawa, R.
    • Organizer
      Consciousness and Intention in Economics and Philosophy
    • Place of Presentation
      京都産業大学(京都府京都市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-11
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] How Do Experienced Traders Respond to in Ows of Inexperienced traders? An Experimental Analysis2015

    • Author(s)
      Akiyama, E.., Hanaki, H., Funaki, Y. and Ishikwawa, R.
    • Organizer
      Kyoto Workshop on Experimental Economics 2015
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学(京都府京都市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-13
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] How Do Experienced Traders Respond to in Ows of Inexperienced traders? An Experimental Analysis2015

    • Author(s)
      Akiyama, E.., Hanaki, H., Funaki, Y. and Ishikwawa, R.
    • Organizer
      Computational Economics and Finance (CEF2015)
    • Place of Presentation
      Taiwan, Taipei
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-21
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] How do experienced traders respond to inflows of inexperienced traders? An experimental analysis2015

    • Author(s)
      Eizo Akiyama, Nobuyuki Hanaki, Ryuichiro Ishikawa
    • Organizer
      日本ファイナンス学会「実験アセットプライシング・コンファレンス」
    • Place of Presentation
      青山学院大学(東京)
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-09
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Evolution of Behavioral Heterogeneity2014

    • Author(s)
      Eizo Akiyama
    • Organizer
      14th SAET Conference on Current Trends in Economics
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学(東京)
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-19 – 2014-08-21
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2018-03-22  

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