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Firm Behavior in Japan Shown by Dynamic Conjectual Variations

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26380325
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Economic policy
Research InstitutionNihon University

Principal Investigator

TAKENAKA Koji  日本大学, 経済学部, 教授 (50188207)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 蔡 大鵬  名古屋大学, 高等研究院, 特任准教授 (20402381)
野方 大輔  佐賀大学, 経済学部, 准教授 (20614621)
土井 直  日本大学, 経済学部, 助手 (20727490)
加藤 一誠  慶應義塾大学, 商学部(三田), 教授 (60290269)
権 赫旭  日本大学, 経済学部, 教授 (80361856)
小林 信治  日本大学, 経済学部, 教授 (90258509)
手塚 広一郎  日本大学, 経済学部, 教授 (90323914)
Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Keywords推測的変動 / 一致推測的変動 / 不完備情報 / 寡占モデル変数 / 生産量調整モデル / 調整過程 / 静学的推測的変動 / 動学的推測的変動 / 一致推測的変動均衡 / 数量モデル / 価格モデル / ミスリード / 寡占動学モデル / 微分ゲーム / consistentな推測的変動均衡 / 寡占モデル / 決定変数の選択問題 / クールノー均衡 / ミスリード誘因 / 市場占有率データ
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study attends on conjectual variations in oligopoly analysis from the theoretical point of view. Firstly we studey two kinds of static conjenctual variations, which are the consistent conjectual variations and the one compressing dynamic firm behaviors. Specially we find very interesting characteristigs in the former concept, making an identical equilibrium by an quantitive competiton model and the coresponding price competiton model.
Secondly we conclude the static conjectual variations are inadequate in depicting long-run interdependence amongst firms, therefore a dynamic model is necessary for the long-run competitiveness of firms. Thus we construct a discrete model with a static and dynamic conjectual variations, the latter express the reactions of the rivals in future defferent periods against the firm. We adapt the dynamic model to the light weight vehcles indutry in Japan over thirty years, and empirically result goodness of our model.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (13 results)

All 2017 2016 2015 2014

All Journal Article (8 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 4 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (4 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 推測的変動についての理論的展望2017

    • Author(s)
      竹中康治
    • Journal Title

      経済集志

      Volume: 86 Pages: 114-114

    • NAID

      40021391218

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] Fifth World Congress of the Game Theory Societ2016

    • Author(s)
      手塚広一郎
    • Journal Title

      運輸と経済

      Volume: 77巻2号 Pages: 123128-123128

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Greenfield, Merger and Acquisition, or Export? Regulating the Entry of Multinational Enterprises to a Host-Country Market2016

    • Author(s)
      蔡 大鵬
    • Journal Title

      Working Paper Series No. 60, Society of Economics, Nanzan University

      Volume: 60 Pages: 111-111

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 不確実性下の海運市場の価格形成に関する研究動向とその課題2015

    • Author(s)
      手塚広一郎他
    • Journal Title

      海事交通研究

      Volume: 64 Pages: 43-52

    • NAID

      40020683583

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] On a Dynamic Model of Cooperative and Noncooperative R and D in Oligopoly with Spillovers2015

    • Author(s)
      Kobayashi, Shinji
    • Journal Title

      Dynamic Games and Applications

      Volume: 5 Pages: 599-619

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Subsidization and Bargaining in Mixed Oligopolies2014

    • Author(s)
      (蔡大鵬) CAI Dapeng(共著)
    • Journal Title

      Bulletin of Economic Research

      Volume: 66 Pages: 358-373

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 海運市場の価格形成――不定期船の事例から経済学見る海運2014

    • Author(s)
      手塚広一郎
    • Journal Title

      経済セミナー

      Volume: 681 Pages: 47-53

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 生産性と賃金の企業規模間格差2014

    • Author(s)
      権赫旭(共著)
    • Journal Title

      日本労働研究雑誌

      Volume: 649 Pages: 14-29

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] Conjectures and Equilibrium in Dynamic Differentiated Duopoly Games2016

    • Author(s)
      Shinji Kobayashi and Koji Takenaka
    • Organizer
      Fifth World Congress of the Game Theory Societ
    • Place of Presentation
      Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-28
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 推測的変動による下位私立大学の競争行動の検証と上位大学との比較2016

    • Author(s)
      土井直
    • Organizer
      日本応用経済学会
    • Place of Presentation
      広島大学東広島キャンパス(広島県東広島市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-26
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 電力事業への参入と株価2016

    • Author(s)
      野方大輔.
    • Organizer
      公益事業学会関西部会若手研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪商業大学(大阪府東大阪市)
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-30
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 推測的変動を用いた複占下での上位私立大学の競争行動等の検討2015

    • Author(s)
      土井直
    • Organizer
      国際公共経済学会春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      山口県周南市市民会館(山口県・周南市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-07 – 2015-03-08
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Book] コンテナ港湾の運営と競争2015

    • Author(s)
      川崎芳一・寺田一薫・手塚広一郎編著
    • Total Pages
      320
    • Publisher
      成山堂
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2018-03-22  

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