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An Empirical Analysis on the fiscal managements and the voters' value judgments

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26380376
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Public finance/Public economy
Research InstitutionNihon University

Principal Investigator

Kawade Masumi  日本大学, 経済学部, 教授 (00361890)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2019-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2018)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,420,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,020,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywords財政運営 / 公的負担 / 構造的財政収支 / 財政見通し / 経済見通し / 財政スタンス / 財政規律 / マイクロ・シミュレーション / 所得税制 / マイク・ロシミュレーション
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research focused on the relationships between the fiscal managements and the voters' value judgments by micro- and macro-based empirical analyses. The results show that (1) fiscal situations of local government were getting better according to their regional product, (2) households' public burdens were getting heavier along with lower income, (3) high income households tended to have a sense of well-being and interests on political issues, and (4) fiscal managements in Japan were influenced by optimistic macroeconomic estimates. These results indicate the gaps between the rich and the poor were getting wider and we should rethink our policy behaviors for them.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

本研究成果は財政再建が進んでいない我が国財政において、有権者の経済状態や価値判断の関係から、その原因把握を試みるものである。その結果、地方においては県内総生産が高いほど財政状況がよく、家計から見た場合には低所得世帯の負担が高所得世帯に比べて相対的に高まっていること、高所得世代ほど幸福感や政治的関心が高いこと、財政運営上の判断が楽観的なマクロ経済見通しに影響を受けている点が明らかとなった。これらは恵まれた経済状況の地域や家計とそうでない地域や家計で差が生じつつあり、それらを直視しない楽観的な政策運営がなされている可能性を示唆しており、政策態度の修正の必要性を示唆している。

Report

(6 results)
  • 2018 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2017 Research-status Report
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (7 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 2014

All Journal Article (5 results) (of which Open Access: 3 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 1 results) Presentation (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] National Burden and Economic Inequality: Micro-Simulation Analysis2018

    • Author(s)
      Masumi Kawade
    • Journal Title

      Public Policy Review

      Volume: 14(2) Pages: 245-266

    • Related Report
      2017 Research-status Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 経済状態と価値観に関する研究2017

    • Author(s)
      川出 真清
    • Journal Title

      日本大学経済科学研究所紀要

      Volume: 47

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 経済格差と税・社会保障負担に関するマイクロ・シミュレーション2016

    • Author(s)
      川出 真清
    • Journal Title

      フィナンシャル・レビュー

      Volume: 127 Pages: 31-48

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 都道府県別税収弾性値の推計2014

    • Author(s)
      川出真清・石川達哉
    • Journal Title

      財政研究

      Volume: 10 Pages: 181-198

    • NAID

      130008110993

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 経済財政見通しと政府収支2014

    • Author(s)
      川出真清
    • Journal Title

      フィナンシャル・レビュー

      Volume: 120 Pages: 120-144

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 公的負担と所得控除2016

    • Author(s)
      川出 真清
    • Organizer
      財務省財務総合政策研究所 フィナンシャル・レビュー 検討会
    • Place of Presentation
      財務省財務総合政策研究所(東京都千代田区)
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-28
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 都道府県別の構造的財政収支の推計2014

    • Author(s)
      川出真清・石川達哉
    • Organizer
      日本財政学会
    • Place of Presentation
      中京大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-25
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2020-03-30  

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