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Empirical Studies about Capital Controls and Exchange Rate Regimes using Policy Evaluation Methods

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26380395
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Money/ Finance
Research InstitutionKobe City University of Foreign Studies

Principal Investigator

ESAKA Taro  神戸市外国語大学, 外国語学部, 准教授 (60347515)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,550,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,050,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Keywords為替制度 / 資本自由化 / 資本規制 / 経済成長 / 財政規律 / 政策評価分析 / 内生性問題 / 反実仮想 / 国際金融 / 経済パフォーマンス / 政策評価 / ミクロ計量経済学 / 因果推論 / 政策の内生性問題 / 為替政策
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study evaluates the effects of capital account liberalization (capital controls) and exchange rate regimes on economic performances using microeconometric policy evaluation methods. Especially, I investigate the effect of capital account liberalization on economic growth using a difference-in-differences (DID) approach (DID with inverse-probability weighted regression-adjustment estimator). Moreover, I examine the causal effect of pegged regimes on fiscal discipline using a synthetic control method. From the results, I find that capital account liberalization significantly increases economic growth when the world economy is booming. While I find heterogeneous treatment effects of pegged regimes on fiscal discipline, pegged regimes (currency unions), on average, enhance fiscal discipline.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (4 results)

All 2018

All Journal Article (2 results) (of which Open Access: 2 results) Presentation (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] 固定相場制の財政規律への因果効果:Synthetic Control Methodsによる実証分析2018

    • Author(s)
      江阪太郎・藤井隆雄
    • Journal Title

      Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University Discussion Paper

      Volume: No. 1813 Pages: 1-63

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Journal Article] ハードペッグが財政規律に与える影響:Synthetic Control Methodsによるケーススタディ2018

    • Author(s)
      江阪太郎・藤井隆雄
    • Journal Title

      Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University Discussion Paper

      Volume: No. 1814 Pages: 1-66

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access
  • [Presentation] 固定相場制と財政規律:Synthetic Control Methodsによる実証2018

    • Author(s)
      江阪太郎・藤井隆雄
    • Organizer
      日本金融学会2018年度春季大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 固定相場制と財政規律:Synthetic Control Methodsによる実証2018

    • Author(s)
      江阪太郎・藤井隆雄
    • Organizer
      日本経済学会2018年度春季大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2019-03-29  

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