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Development of Bankruptcy Prediction Model influenced on Economic Environment

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26380451
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Management
Research InstitutionHosei University (2015-2016)
Bunkyo University (2014)

Principal Investigator

SHIRATA Cindy Yoshiko  法政大学, イノベーション・マネジメント研究センター, 研究員 (80289793)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,810,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,110,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥2,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥600,000)
Keywords倒産予知 / 格付け / 経営財務 / 財務構造 / 経済環境 / 民法改定 / ROE / 企業倒産 / コーポレートガバナンス / 企業財務 / 消費税
Outline of Final Research Achievements

We can imagine that the factor to cause bankruptcy is different from the economic environment. In this research, I verified the factors causing bankruptcy in every different economic environment. The financial tendency of the bankrupt company and a change in a bankrupt sign were analyzed about lost 20 years by bubble economy, a bubble economy collapse and the time when Riemann shock. Moreover it was changed by the big institutional reform which forms to the financial tendency of the company during this study period such as introduction of a Corporate Governance Cord. The Institutional reform has the influence which also brings a change in economic environment. Because Corporate Governance Cope is focusing on ROE. And this research had analyzed a relationship between occurrence of Bankruptcy and ROE of bankrupt companies for a long period. Finally, I found that economic environment changes brought in changes of financial structure of bankrupt company.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (13 results)

All 2017 2016 2015 2014

All Journal Article (5 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 4 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (8 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] ROEの長期的観察によるわが国企業の財務体質の実態解明2017

    • Author(s)
      白田佳子
    • Journal Title

      イノベーション・マネジメント

      Volume: 14 Pages: 1-14

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 企業の持続的な成長がもたらす社会利益について考える2015

    • Author(s)
      白田佳子
    • Journal Title

      RIDディスクロージャーニュース

      Volume: 30 Pages: 96-101

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] ソーシャル・リスク:民法改正がもたらす企業の倒産リスク2015

    • Author(s)
      白田佳子
    • Journal Title

      危険と管理

      Volume: 30 Pages: 3-8

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] リスクマネジメント研究の変遷-企業倒産予知の視点から―2014

    • Author(s)
      白田佳子
    • Journal Title

      『危険と管理』

      Volume: 45 Pages: 18-37

    • NAID

      130007771627

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Impact of Tsunami: Lessons on Post-disaster Recovery by Japanese Corporations2014

    • Author(s)
      Cindy Yoshiko Shirata
    • Journal Title

      Asian Ministerial Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction: Special Issue

      Volume: 0 Pages: 13-13

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] MEASURING PROFITABILITY FROM RETURN ON EQUITY: EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF JAPANESE FIRMS’ LONG-TERM TRENDS2017

    • Author(s)
      白田佳子
    • Organizer
      2017 American Accounting Association Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Manchester Grand Hyatt San Diego (San Diego, California, USA)
    • Year and Date
      2017-08-09
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 統合報告における課題2016

    • Author(s)
      白田佳子
    • Organizer
      日本会計研究学会第37 回大会
    • Place of Presentation
      静岡県コンベンションアーツセンター「グランシップ」(静岡県静岡市駿河区池田79-4)
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-13
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 企業格付けとROEとの関係に係る実証分析2016

    • Author(s)
      白田佳子
    • Organizer
      日本経営分析学会第33回年次大会
    • Place of Presentation
      中部大学春日井キャンパス(愛知県春日井市松本町1200)
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-21
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 民法改正の企業経営への影響―求められる倒産回避の戦略―2015

    • Author(s)
      白田佳子
    • Organizer
      国際戦略経営研究学会第8 回全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      玉川大学(東京都・町田市)
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-13
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 民法改正が企業財務に与える影響に関する一考察2015

    • Author(s)
      白田佳子
    • Organizer
      日本経営分析学会第32 回年次大会
    • Place of Presentation
      産業能率大学(東京都・世田谷区)
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-10
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ソーシャルリスク:企業倒産の発生に関する一考察2014

    • Author(s)
      白田佳子
    • Organizer
      ソーシャルリスクマネジメント学会2014年度全国大会
    • Place of Presentation
      修文大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-14
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Board diversity and leadership in Japanese corporations2014

    • Author(s)
      Cindy Yoshiko Shirata
    • Organizer
      The 14th EAJS International Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Ljubljana, Slovenia
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-28 – 2014-08-29
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The Relationship between Investment Grades with Japanese Family Firms: Empirical Analysis2014

    • Author(s)
      Akiyo Imamura, Cindy Yoshiko Shirata
    • Organizer
      16th Malaysian Finance Association Conference 2014
    • Place of Presentation
      Kuala Lumpur
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-05 – 2014-06-06
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2018-03-22  

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