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New statistical inference for locally stable model and its implementation

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26400204
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Foundations of mathematics/Applied mathematics
Research InstitutionKyushu University

Principal Investigator

Masuda Hiroki  九州大学, 数理学研究院, 教授 (10380669)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords統計的漸近推測 / 疑似安定過程 / 確率微分方程式 / 統計的漸近推測理論 / 確率過程モデル / 疑似安定過程モデル / 擬似安定過程モデル
Outline of Final Research Achievements

We have mainly developed a novel quasi-likelihood for estimating stochastic differential equations driven by a locally stable Levy process. The proposed quasi-likelihood theoretically outstrips the conventional Gaussian quasi-likelihood. We have deduced the asymptotic mixed normality of the associated estimator, which does not require any stability condition, such as finite moments and ergodicity, allowing us to construct confidence regions in a unified manner. The results broaden perspective of quasi-likelihood construction based on small-time distributional approximation, hence of theoretical basis for high-frequency dependent data analysis.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (29 results)

All 2017 2016 2015 2014 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (1 results) Journal Article (7 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 6 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 4 results,  Open Access: 3 results) Presentation (18 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 9 results,  Invited: 11 results) Remarks (3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine(Ukraine)

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Levy駆動型確率微分方程式の段階的推定について2017

    • Author(s)
      上原悠槙,増田弘毅
    • Journal Title

      統計数理

      Volume: 65

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Two-step estimation of ergodic Lévy driven SDE2016

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Masuda and Yuma Uehara
    • Journal Title

      Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes

      Volume: 未定 Issue: 1 Pages: 105-137

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11203-016-9133-5

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report 2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Uniform LAN property of locally stable Lévy process observed at high frequency2015

    • Author(s)
      Dmytro Ivanenko, Alexey M. Kulik, and Hiroki Masuda
    • Journal Title

      ALEA - Latin American Journal of Probability and Mathematical Statistics

      Volume: 12

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Parametric estimation of Levy processes2015

    • Author(s)
      H. Masuda
    • Journal Title

      Lecture Notes in Mathematics

      Volume: 2128 Pages: 179-286

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-3-319-12373-8_3

    • ISBN
      9783319123721, 9783319123738
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 非正規ノイズ型エルゴード過程の推定2015

    • Author(s)
      増田弘毅
    • Journal Title

      日本統計学会誌和文誌

      Volume: 44 Pages: 471-495

    • NAID

      110009930639

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] The YUIMA project: A computational framework for simulation and inference of stochastic differential equations2014

    • Author(s)
      Brouste, A., Fukasawa, M., Hino, H., Iacus, S., Kamatani, K., Koike, Y., Masuda, H., Nomura, R., Ogihara, T., Shimuzu, Y., Uchida, M., and Yoshida, N.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Statistical Software

      Volume: 57 Pages: 1-51

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Stochastic process models2014

    • Author(s)
      Masuda, H.
    • Journal Title

      A Mathematical Approach to Research Problems of Science and Technology Mathematics for Industry

      Volume: 5 Pages: 219-238

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-4-431-55060-0_17

    • ISBN
      9784431550594, 9784431550600
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Levy in quasi-likelihood estimation of SDE2016

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Masuda
    • Organizer
      Statistics for Stochastic Processes and Analysis of High Frequency Data V
    • Place of Presentation
      University Pierre and Marie Curie
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-23
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Levy driven regression model2016

    • Author(s)
      増田弘毅
    • Organizer
      日本統計学会春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      東北大学
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-05
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Stepwise estimation of ergodic Levy driven SDE2016

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Masuda
    • Organizer
      ASC2016, Asymptotic Statistics and Computations
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学大学院数理科学研究科
    • Year and Date
      2016-02-15
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] On Asymptotics of multivariate non-Gaussian quasi-likelihood2016

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Masuda
    • Organizer
      The 4th Institute of Mathematical Statistics Asia Pacific Rim Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      The Chinese University of Hong Kong
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] On Asymptotics of multivariate non-Gaussian quasi-likelihood2016

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Masuda
    • Organizer
      World Congress in Probability and Statistics
    • Place of Presentation
      The Fields Institute, Toronto
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Locally stable regression without ergodicity and finite moments2016

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Masuda
    • Organizer
      Hokkaido International Symposium ”Recent Developments of Statistical Theory in Statistical Science”
    • Place of Presentation
      北海道大学
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Stepwise estimation and assessment of Levy driven SDE2016

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Masuda
    • Organizer
      CMStatistics 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Seville, Spain
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Computational aspects of estimating Levy driven models2015

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Masuda
    • Organizer
      IASC-ARS conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Stephen Riady Centre in University Town of National University of Singapore
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-19
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] On approximate self-normalized residuals in heteroskedastic model2015

    • Author(s)
      増田弘毅
    • Organizer
      ファイナンスリスクのモデリングと制御III
    • Place of Presentation
      学術総合センタービル
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-08
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Locally Cauchy SDE model with high-frequency data2015

    • Author(s)
      増田弘毅
    • Organizer
      大規模統計モデリングと計算統計II
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学大学院数理科学研究科
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-27
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Quasi likelihood and Schwarz-type model assessment2015

    • Author(s)
      増田弘毅
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      岡山大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-09-07
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Approximate Bayesian model comparison of LAQ models2015

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Masuda
    • Organizer
      60th World Statistical Congress -- ISI2015
    • Place of Presentation
      Riocentro, Rio de Janeiro
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-30
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Explicit bias correction in functional estimation of Levy driven ergodic SDE2015

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Masuda
    • Organizer
      Dynstoch meeting 2015
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Lund, Sweden
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-27
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] On variants of stable quasi-likelihood for Levy driven SDE2015

    • Author(s)
      Masuda, H.
    • Organizer
      Statistique Asymptotique des Processus Stochastiques X
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Maine, France
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-17 – 2015-03-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Quasi-Bayesian model comparison for LAQ model2015

    • Author(s)
      増田 弘毅
    • Organizer
      大規模統計モデリングと計算統計
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学大学院数理科学研究科
    • Year and Date
      2015-02-06 – 2015-02-07
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] On quasi-BIC for general LAQ model2014

    • Author(s)
      Eguchi, S. and Masuda, H.
    • Organizer
      The 7th International Conference of the ERCIM WG on Computational and Methodological Statistics (ERCIM 2014)
    • Place of Presentation
      University of Pisa, Italy
    • Year and Date
      2014-12-06 – 2014-12-08
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] ジャンプ過程と非正規型擬似尤度2014

    • Author(s)
      増田 弘毅
    • Organizer
      統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-13 – 2014-09-16
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] On sampling problem for pure-jump SDE2014

    • Author(s)
      Masuda, H.
    • Organizer
      The 3rd Asia Pacific Rim Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Howard International House, Taipei
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-29 – 2014-07-03
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Remarks] Hiroki Masuda, personal homepage

    • URL

      http://www2.math.kyushu-u.ac.jp/~hiroki/hmhp.html

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] HM

    • URL

      http://www2.math.kyushu-u.ac.jp/~hiroki/hmhp.html#pubs

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 九州大学研究者情報

    • URL

      http://hyoka.ofc.kyushu-u.ac.jp/search/details/K002496/index.html

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2018-03-22  

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