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Rapid Deepening Mechanism of an Extremely Intense Tropical Cyclone

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26400466
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Meteorology/Physical oceanography/Hydrology
Research InstitutionNagoya University

Principal Investigator

KANADA Sachie  名古屋大学, 宇宙地球環境研究所, 特任助教 (80727628)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,680,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,080,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,950,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥450,000)
Keywords熱帯低気圧 / 雲解像モデル / 急発達 / 台風の急発達プロセス / 分解能依存性 / 急発達に必要な条件 / 急発達する台風の内部構造 / 極端に強い台風 / 中心気圧低下 / 最大強度の出現位置 / 強度変化特性
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Rapid deepening mechanism of an extremely intense tropical cyclone was studied by using a high-resolution cloud resolving model with a horizontal resolution of a few kilometers that can represent the inner-core structures and processes of the tropical cyclone.
First, we conducted numerical simulations of Typhoon Ida (1958), an extremely intense typhoon with a minimum central pressure of 877 hPa. Extremely rapid deepening of the maximum central pressure drop exceeding 90 hPa/24h was successfully simulated. The model-resolution sensitivity experiments revealed that only the cloud-resolving 2km model could reproduce the maximum intensity and intensification rate of Typhoon Ida since the model could produce the convective activity around the storm core region.
We further investigated future changes of an extremely intense tropical cyclone. The results suggest that the maximum intensity and intensification rate of an extremely intense typhoon will increase in the future warmer climate.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (17 results)

All 2017 2016 2015 2014

All Journal Article (4 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 4 results,  Open Access: 4 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 4 results) Presentation (13 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results)

  • [Journal Article] Different climatological characteristics, inner-core structures, and intensification processes of simulated Intense Tropical Cyclones between 20-km global and 5-km regional models2017

    • Author(s)
      Kanada, S. and A. Wada
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 30 Issue: 5 Pages: 1583-1603

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-16-0093.1

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] A multi-model intercomparison of an intense typhoon in future, warmer climates by four 5-km-mesh models2017

    • Author(s)
      Kanada, S. T. Takemi, M. Kato, S. Yamasaki, H. Fudeyasu, K. Tsuboki, O. Arakawa, and I. Takayabu
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Climate

      Volume: 30 Issue: 15 Pages: 6017-6036

    • DOI

      10.1175/jcli-d-16-0715.1

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Numerical study on the extremely rapid intensification of an intense tropical cyclone, Typhoon Ida (1958).2015

    • Author(s)
      Kanada, S. and A. Wada
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

      Volume: 72 Issue: 11 Pages: 4194-4217

    • DOI

      10.1175/jas-d-14-0247.1

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Numerical study on the extremely rapid intensification of an intense tropical cyclone, Typhoon Ida (1958).2015

    • Author(s)
      Sachie Kanada, Akiyoshi Wada
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

      Volume: 72 Issue: 0 Pages: 181-190

    • DOI

      10.2151/jmsj.2015-037

    • NAID

      130005125551

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] A multi-model inter-comparison of a Category-5 typhoon in future, warmer climate by four 5-km mesh models2016

    • Author(s)
      Kanada, S.
    • Organizer
      2016 American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      San Francisco, USA
    • Year and Date
      2016-12-12
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 21世紀末を想定した擬似温暖化実験による伊勢湾台風の将来最大強度推定(続報) 温暖化強化プロセス2016

    • Author(s)
      金田幸恵
    • Organizer
      2016年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学(愛知県)
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-26
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 擬似温暖化実験による伊勢湾台風の将来変化2016

    • Author(s)
      金田幸恵
    • Organizer
      第45回メソ気象研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学(愛知県)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 温暖化による非常に強い台風の将来変化:4つの水平解像度5kmモデルを用いた相互比較研究2016

    • Author(s)
      金田幸恵
    • Organizer
      台風セミナー2016
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学(愛知県)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 非常に強い台風に見られる二つの発達プロセス2015

    • Author(s)
      金田幸恵・和田章義
    • Organizer
      第17回非静力学モデルに関するワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      那覇市那覇第一地方合同庁舎
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-01
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 西部北太平洋域における台風の強度特性と気象庁全球気候20kmモデルによる再現性:続報 高解像度モデルで再現された強い台風の強度変化と内部コア構造2015

    • Author(s)
      金田幸恵・和田章義・坪木和久
    • Organizer
      気象学会秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都市京都テルサ
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-28
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Sensitivity to horizontal resolution of the simulated intensifying rate and inner-core structure of an extremely intense Typhoon.2015

    • Author(s)
      Kanada, S. and A. Wada
    • Organizer
      International WS Issues in downscaling of climate change projection
    • Place of Presentation
      つくば
    • Year and Date
      2015-10-06
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Intensity Change of Tropical Cyclones in the Northwest Pacific. Part I: Comparison Between Observation and Numerical Models2015

    • Author(s)
      Sachie KANADA
    • Organizer
      AOGS 12th Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      シンガポール
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-02 – 2015-08-07
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Intensity Change of Tropical Cyclones in the Northwest Pacific. PartI: Comparison Between Observation and Numerical Models.2015

    • Author(s)
      Kanada, S. and A. Wada
    • Organizer
      12th Annual Meeting Asia Oceania Geosciences Society (AOGS)
    • Place of Presentation
      シンガポール
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-02
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 西部北太平洋域における台風の強度特性 Part I: 観測と高解像度モデルによる気候実験との比較2015

    • Author(s)
      金田幸恵
    • Organizer
      西太平洋における台風の発生・発達に関する研究集会
    • Place of Presentation
      琉球大学西表島研究施設, 沖縄
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-16 – 2015-03-17
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Numerical study on the extreme rapid intensification of an intense tropical cyclone by a 2-km mesh non-hydrostatic model: Case study of Typhoon IDA (1958)2014

    • Author(s)
      Sachie KANADA
    • Organizer
      13th RSM workshop
    • Place of Presentation
      Yokohama, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-25 – 2014-11-29
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 水平解像度2kmの非静力学モデルを用いた狩野川台風(TY195822: IDA)の再現実験(続報)2014

    • Author(s)
      金田幸恵
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2014年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      福岡国際会議場, 福岡
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-23
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Numerical study on the extreme rapid intensification of an intense tropical cyclone by a 2-km mesh non-hydrostatic model:Case study of Typhoon IDA (1958)2014

    • Author(s)
      Sachie KANADA
    • Organizer
      Joint Workshop of the 6th Int'l WS on global cloud resolving modeling and the 3rd Int'l WS on Nonhydrostatic Numerical Models
    • Place of Presentation
      Koube, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-24 – 2014-09-26
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2018-03-22  

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