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Meta decision-making model for emergency management in disaster

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26420512
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Section一般
Research Field Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

KOBAYASHI KIYOSHI  京都大学, 経営管理大学院, 教授 (50115846)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥4,940,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,140,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,690,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,300,000、Indirect Cost: ¥390,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Keywords火山災害 / 危機管理 / 意思決定 / メタ原則 / 正統性 / 避難指示 / 想定外 / 災害 / メタ基準 / 正統化
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research project has developed a normative framework for decision-makings in emergency management for natural disaster particularly under the context of volcanic disaster. A principle for meta level decision-making regarding the change of decision-making mode in emergency management was discussed. And a normative framework which is based on a system for discourse about emergency management to legitimate the change of decision-making mode has been proposed. In addition, conditions for normative rule for evacuation from volcanic disaster as an example case of a decision-making in emergency management. Furthermore, a methodology to identify eruption scenarios that optimal evacuation rule cannot cope with has been developed based on retrodiction.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (7 results)

All 2017 2016 2015 2014

All Journal Article (4 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 4 results,  Open Access: 3 results) Presentation (3 results)

  • [Journal Article] MACRO DEBATE ANALYSIS TO SUPPORT DISASTER EMERGENCY POLICIES WITH ONTOLOGY2016

    • Author(s)
      水田哲夫・松島格也・関克己・小林潔司
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 72 Issue: 5 Pages: I_123-I_138

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.72.I_123

    • NAID

      130005435597

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] DECISION MAKING STRUCTURE IN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR VOLCANIC ERUPTION IN A CASE OF MT. “USU”2016

    • Author(s)
      関克己・小林潔司・湧川勝己
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. F5 (Professional Practices in Civil Engineering)

      Volume: 72 Issue: 1 Pages: 1-19

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejppce.72.1

    • NAID

      130005127073

    • ISSN
      2185-6613
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report 2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] CRISIS MANAGEMENT AND DECISION STRUCTURE OF VOLCANIC DISASTER2016

    • Author(s)
      羽鳥剛史・関克己・小林潔司・湧川勝巳
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. D3 (Infrastructure Planning and Management)

      Volume: 72 Issue: 5 Pages: I_83-I_102

    • DOI

      10.2208/jscejipm.72.I_83

    • NAID

      130005435608

    • ISSN
      2185-6540
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] 口蹄疫の最適伝染リスク抑止モデル2014

    • Author(s)
      阿部真育,小林潔司
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D3(土木計画学)

      Volume: 70 Pages: 161-178

    • NAID

      130004680000

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 火山災害における避難指示と想定外リスク2017

    • Author(s)
      大西正光
    • Organizer
      京都大学防災研究所研究発表講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学宇治キャンパス
    • Year and Date
      2017-02-21
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 火山災害の危機管理と意思決定構造2015

    • Author(s)
      羽鳥剛史,関克己,小林潔司
    • Organizer
      第52回土木計画学研究発表発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      秋田大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-22
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 自然災害における避難指示の規範的意思決定方法2015

    • Author(s)
      大西正光,関克己,小林潔司,小林優輔
    • Organizer
      第52回土木計画学研究発表発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      秋田大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-11-22
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2018-03-22  

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