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Scenario Simulation for Sustainable Energy Systems Considering Low-carbon Society and Circular Society

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26701015
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (A)

Allocation TypePartial Multi-year Fund
Research Field Design and evaluation of sustainable and environmental conscious system
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo (2016-2017)
National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (2015)
Osaka University (2014)

Principal Investigator

KISHITA YUSUKE  東京大学, 大学院工学系研究科(工学部), 講師 (60617158)

Research Collaborator Umeda Yasushi  
Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥5,850,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥1,350,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Keywordsシナリオ / 製品普及 / 省エネ・創エネ製品 / ライフサイクルシミュレータ / フロー・ストック分析 / 省エネ・創エネ機器 / ストック・フロー分析 / 再生可能エネルギー / サステナビリティ / ライフサイクルシミュレータ(LCS) / 太陽光発電 / シナリオ分析 / 省エネ製品
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research aimed to develop a methodology for supporting the design of sustainable energy systems, taking into account low-carbon society and circular society. The research questions addressed here were: How a variety of energy-saving and -generating products will be disseminated in the future and how such dissemination will impact on the energy system?
To answer these questions, this research developed a system called "Material-energy Nexus Scenario Simulator" to describe and analyze future scenarios. In a case study, future scenarios were described for photovoltaic (PV) panels to verify the effectiveness of the developed system.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (39 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (3 results) Journal Article (9 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 6 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 5 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (21 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 9 results,  Invited: 5 results) Book (3 results) Remarks (3 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of Cambridge(英国)

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of Technology Sydney(オーストラリア)

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] シドニー工科大学(オーストラリア)

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] Development of Japan’s Photovoltaic Deployment Scenarios in 20302017

    • Author(s)
      Kishita Yusuke, Umeda Yasushi
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Automation Technology

      Volume: 11 Issue: 4 Pages: 583-591

    • DOI

      10.20965/ijat.2017.p0583

    • NAID

      130007505944

    • ISSN
      1881-7629, 1883-8022
    • Year and Date
      2017-07-05
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Designing backcasting scenarios for resilient energy futures2017

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Kishita, Benjamin C. McLellan, Damien Giurco, Kazumasu Aoki, Go Yoshizawa, Itsuki C. Handoh
    • Journal Title

      Technological Forecasting and Social Change

      Volume: in press Pages: 114-125

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.techfore.2017.02.001

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report 2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Scenario Analysis for Sustainable Woody Biomass Energy Businesses: The Case Study of a Japanese Rural Community2016

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Kishita, Noriaki Nakatsuka, Fumiteru Akamatsu
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Cleaner Production

      Volume: 142 Pages: 1471-1485

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.11.161

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report 2016 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Evaluating the Life Cycle CO2 Emissions and Costs of Thermoelectric Generators for Passenger Automobiles – a Scenario Analysis2016

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Kishita, Yuji Ohishi, Michinori Uwasu, Masashi Kuroda, Hiroyuki Takeda, Keishiro Hara
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Cleaner Production

      Volume: in press Pages: 607-619

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.02.121

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report 2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 低炭素社会に向けたベースメタルの長期的な消費動向-銅の事例を中心に-2016

    • Author(s)
      木下裕介
    • Journal Title

      エネルギー・資源

      Volume: 37 Pages: 194-198

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 技術と社会をつなぐ-シナリオ設計学の創成への挑戦2016

    • Author(s)
      木下裕介
    • Journal Title

      日本機械学会誌

      Volume: 119 Pages: 344-347

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] メゾ領域研究に向けたサステイナビリティ評価のアプローチ-熱電発電技術の事例分析-2016

    • Author(s)
      木下裕介
    • Journal Title

      環境技術

      Volume: 45 Pages: 18-24

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Research Needs and Challenges Faced in Supporting Scenario Design in Sustainability Science: A Literature Review2016

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Kishita, Keishiro Hara, Michinori Uwasu, Yasushi Umeda
    • Journal Title

      Sustainability Science

      Volume: 11 Issue: 2 Pages: 331-347

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11625-015-0340-6

    • NAID

      40020798493

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Describing Long-term Electricity Demand Scenarios in the Telecommunications Industry: A Case Study of Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Kishita, Yohei Yamaguchi, Yasushi Umeda, Yoshiyuki Shimoda, Minako Hara, Atsushi Sakurai, Hiroki Oka, Yuriko Tanaka
    • Journal Title

      Sustainability

      Volume: 8 Issue: 1 Pages: 52-52

    • DOI

      10.3390/su8010052

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] バックキャスティングを用いた市民参加型シナリオ作成と政策立案過程への展開2018

    • Author(s)
      木下裕介
    • Organizer
      第136回関西公共政策研究会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 市民ワークショップを用いた持続可能な社会のためのバックキャスティングシナリオ作成2017

    • Author(s)
      増田拓真, 青木一益, 中村秀規, 木下裕介
    • Organizer
      精密工学会春季大会学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      横浜
    • Year and Date
      2017-03-13
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 2050年の持続可能な社会に向けたビジョン・シナリオ・ロードマップ2017

    • Author(s)
      木下裕介
    • Organizer
      日本機械学会2017年度年次大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Describing Diffusion Scenarios for Low-Carbon Products Using Life Cycle Simulation2017

    • Author(s)
      Kohei Saiki, Yusuke Kishita, Yasushi Umeda
    • Organizer
      EcoDesign 2017: 10th International Symposium on Environmentally Conscious Design and Inverse Manufacturing
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Creating Visions of Asian Sustainable Consumption and Production in 20502017

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Kishita, Shogo Kuroyama, Mitsutaka Matsumoto, Michikazu Kojima, Yasushi Umeda
    • Organizer
      EcoDesign 2017: 10th International Symposium on Environmentally Conscious Design and Inverse Manufacturing
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] ライフサイクルシミュレーションを用いた低炭素製品普及シナリオの作成2017

    • Author(s)
      佐伯浩平, 木下裕介, 梅田靖
    • Organizer
      第27回日本機械学会設計工学・システム部門講演会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 市民ワークショップを通じた地域エネルギービジョンの作成~大阪府吹田市のケーススタディ2017

    • Author(s)
      木下裕介, 本元俊行, 上須道徳, 野間口大, 原圭史郎
    • Organizer
      第27回日本機械学会設計工学・システム部門講演会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 富山市における市民参加型バックキャスティングシナリオ作成2017

    • Author(s)
      木下裕介, 増田拓真, 中村秀規, 青木一益
    • Organizer
      日本公共政策学会第21回研究大会
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Participatory Backcasting Approach to Vision Creation for Sustainability2017

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Kishita
    • Organizer
      2nd International Workshop on Clean Energy Development in Asian Cities (Learning from Real Cases)
    • Place of Presentation
      京都
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 設計研究におけるシナリオの役割と今後の展開2016

    • Author(s)
      木下裕介, 梅田靖
    • Organizer
      Designシンポジウム2016
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪
    • Year and Date
      2016-12-13
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Designing Future Scenarios of Photovoltaic Deployment: A Japanese Case Study2016

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Kishita, Yasushi Umeda
    • Organizer
      Asia Design Engineering Workshop
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪
    • Year and Date
      2016-12-12
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Scenario Analysis for Technology Choices in Woody Biomass Energy Businesses2016

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Kishita, Noriaki Nakatsuka, Tatsuya Kurafuchi, Fumiteru Akamatsu
    • Organizer
      EcoBalance 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      京都
    • Year and Date
      2016-10-03
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Analysis of Photovoltaic Deployment Scenarios for Low-carbon Futures2016

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Kishita
    • Organizer
      Electronics Goes Green 2016+
    • Place of Presentation
      ドイツ・ベルリン
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-07
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Designing Backcasting Scenarios of Resilient Energy Futures - A Case Study of a Japanese Community2016

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Kishita
    • Organizer
      International Workshop on Clean Energy Development in Asian Cities (Technological and Political Perspectives)
    • Place of Presentation
      Kyoto
    • Year and Date
      2016-03-28
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] 持続可能性に向けた市民参加型バックキャスティングシナリオの作成2016

    • Author(s)
      木下裕介, 増田拓真, 中村秀規, 青木一益
    • Organizer
      エコデザイン・プロダクツ&サービスシンポジウム2016 (EcoDePS 2016)
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 技術と社会をつなぐためのシナリオ・アプローチ2016

    • Author(s)
      木下裕介
    • Organizer
      第2回日本機械学会イノベーション講演会(iJSME 2016)
    • Place of Presentation
      東京
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Describing Electricity Demand Scenarios Focusing on the Diffusion of Low-carbon Technologies in 20302015

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Kishita, Yuji Mizuno, Shinichi Fukushige, Yasushi Umeda, Yohei Yamaguchi, Takashi Ikegami, Yumiko Iwafune, Kazuhiko Ogimoto, Yoshiyuki Shimoda
    • Organizer
      EcoDesign 2015
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-02
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Designing Sustainable Futures Using a Backcasting Approach2015

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Kishita, Yuji Mizuno Yasushi Umeda
    • Organizer
      EcoDesign 2015
    • Place of Presentation
      Tokyo
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-02
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Evaluating the Greenhouse Gas Emissions and the Life Cycle Cost of Thermoelectric Generators for Passenger Automobiles2014

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Kishita, Yuji Ohishi, Michinori Uwasu, Masashi Kuroda, Hiroyuki Takeda, Keishiro Hara
    • Organizer
      EcoBalance 2014
    • Place of Presentation
      つくば国際会議場(茨城県つくば市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-27 – 2014-10-30
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 省エネ・創エネ製品の普及に基づく家庭部門電力需要のシナリオ分析2014

    • Author(s)
      木下裕介, 岩生直己, 水野有智, 福重真一, 梅田靖, 山口容平, 下田吉之
    • Organizer
      日本機械学会第24回設計工学・システム部門講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      徳島大学常三島キャンパス(徳島県徳島市)
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-17 – 2014-09-19
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Assessing the Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Cost of Thermoelectric Generators for Passenger Automobiles: A Life Cycle Perspective2014

    • Author(s)
      Yusuke Kishita, Yuji Ohishi, Michinori Uwasu, Masashi Kuroda, Hiroyuki Takeda, Keishiro Hara
    • Organizer
      ASME 2014 International Design Engineering Technical Conferences & Computers and Information in Engineering Conference (IDETC/CIE 2014)
    • Place of Presentation
      Buffalo, NY
    • Year and Date
      2014-08-17 – 2014-08-20
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Book] ビジョン構想とシナリオ・アプローチ2016

    • Author(s)
      木下裕介, 水野有智, 梅田靖
    • Total Pages
      24
    • Publisher
      大阪大学出版会
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 木質バイオマスエネルギー事業のシナリオ分析2016

    • Author(s)
      木下裕介, 中塚記章, 赤松史光
    • Total Pages
      20
    • Publisher
      大阪大学出版会
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 廃熱利用技術のイノベーションと社会実装2016

    • Author(s)
      大石佑治, 木下裕介
    • Total Pages
      15
    • Publisher
      大阪大学出版会
    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 木下裕介講師[社会システム設計学]

    • URL

      http://www.susdesign.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/kishitalab/index.html

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] 梅田・木下研究室

    • URL

      http://www.susdesign.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report 2016 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] 木下 裕介 講師[社会システム設計学]

    • URL

      http://www.pe.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/faculty/area1/kishita.html

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2019-03-29  

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