| Budget Amount *help |
¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
This research project treated the conditional normalized maximum likelihood distribution, which is a conditional probability distribution. We were also interested in a measure of probability distributions which is called the conditional regret. When we fix past observations and when we consider the average of the past observations, another probability distribution is superior to the conditional normalized maximum likelihood distribution if they are evaluated with the Kullback-Leibler information. That probability distribution attains the minimax of another measure of probability distributions, which is called the conditional regret risk. Furthermore, the probability distribution coincides with the projection of the conditional normalized maximum likelihood distribution on the space of the Bayesian predictions.
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