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Projecting the geographical range of butterflies in Japan under environmental changes based on species distribution model considering biotic interaction

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26740029
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Environmental impact assessment
Research InstitutionTokyo University of Agriculture and Technology (2015)
The University of Tokyo (2014)

Principal Investigator

SAITO MASAYUKI  東京農工大学, (連合)農学研究科(研究院), 研究員 (90466003)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2016-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2015)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,250,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥750,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥2,080,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥480,000)
Keywordsチョウ / 寄主植物 / マクロスケール / 分布モデル / シナリオ分析
Outline of Final Research Achievements

For 22 butterfly species in Japan, I constructed the species distribution models (SDMs) considering climate, topography, land-use and the distribution of host plant species, and projected the future distribution under environmental change scenarios. Our models showed that climate is critical for the geographical range of Japanese butterflies. Also, land-use factors accounted for the distribution of some species. The contribution of the distribution of host plant species was high in 11 species. This indicates the importance of biotic interaction for SDM approach. The projection under environmental scenarios indicated that climate warming and land-use change affects both increase and decrease of range of butterfly species.

Report

(3 results)
  • 2015 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (8 results)

All 2016 2015 2014 Other

All Journal Article (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 4 results,  Open Access: 1 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 4 results) Presentation (1 results) Remarks (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Larval host records of butterflies in Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Saito, M. U., Jinbo, U., Yago, M., Kurashima, O. and Ito, M.
    • Journal Title

      Ecological Research

      Volume: 31 Issue: 4 Pages: 491

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11284-016-1365-8

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Climate change and the northward shift of Cryptotympana facialis in Japan: Evidence from national survey data2016

    • Author(s)
      Saito, M. U., Kurashima, O. and Ito, M.
    • Journal Title

      Climate Research

      Volume: 68 Issue: 1 Pages: 13

    • DOI

      10.3354/cr01377

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] チョウ類の分布解析から分かること2016

    • Author(s)
      倉島 治・斎藤昌幸・伊藤元己
    • Journal Title

      日本産チョウ類の衰亡と保護

      Volume: 7 Pages: 15-21

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Disentangling the effects of environmental factors on the distribution of vascular plants in Japan: the importance of land use for common species on a macroscale2015

    • Author(s)
      Saito, M. U., Kurashima, O. and Ito, M.
    • Journal Title

      Plant Ecology & Diversity

      Volume: 8 Issue: 4 Pages: 529

    • DOI

      10.1080/17550874.2015.1051153

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 外来蝶アカボシゴマダラの潜在的生息適地:原産地の標本情報と寄主植物の分布情報を用いた推定2014

    • Author(s)
      斎藤昌幸・矢後勝也・神保宇嗣・倉島 治・伊藤元己
    • Journal Title

      蝶と蛾

      Volume: 65 Pages: 79-87

    • NAID

      110009839092

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 日本列島におけるチョウ類の分布に関する縄文時代以降の人間活動の影響2015

    • Author(s)
      斎藤昌幸・深澤圭太・石濱史子・矢後勝也・神保宇嗣・倉島 治・伊藤元己
    • Organizer
      第62回日本生態学会大会
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島県鹿児島市鹿児島大学郡元キャンパス
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-18 – 2015-03-22
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Remarks] Larval host records of butterflies in Japan

    • URL

      http://hostbj.lepumus.net/

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report
  • [Remarks] MAPHATJP

    • URL

      http://gnetum.c.u-tokyo.ac.jp/maphatjp/

    • Related Report
      2015 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2017-05-10  

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