Dynamics of Public Opinon- Dynamical model of time sereis analysis and experimental investigation
| Project/Area Number |
26780086
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
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| Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
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| Research Field |
Politics
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| Research Institution | Aichi Gakuin University (2016-2017)
Ehime University (2014-2015) |
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Principal Investigator |
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| Project Period (FY) |
2014-04-01 – 2018-03-31
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| Project Status |
Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
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| Budget Amount *help |
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
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| Keywords | 投票行動 / 選挙研究 / 政治過程論 / キャンペーン / 18歳選挙権 / ジェンダー / 非言語情報 / 政治学 / 実験室実験 / 自然実験 |
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
Do voters intentionally obtain political information and rationally update their party support when the election day is approaching? Originally, this research aimed to answer the question by making a mathematical model and experimental analysis. I formulized voters’ political opinion change as the optimal control problem. However, my empirical research did not support the hypothesis of rational, intentional update of political information. Therefore, I investigated whether voters used irrational non-policy information in political decision making by additional experiments. The results suggested voters were not strongly influenced by non-policy information although they did not rationally obtain political information.
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Report
(5 results)
Research Products
(12 results)
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[Presentation] 真理子の政党支持2014
Author(s)
中村悦大
Organizer
日本選挙学会
Place of Presentation
早稲田大学(東京都新宿区戸塚町1-104)
Year and Date
2014-05-18
Related Report
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