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Dynamics of Public Opinon- Dynamical model of time sereis analysis and experimental investigation

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26780086
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Politics
Research InstitutionAichi Gakuin University (2016-2017)
Ehime University (2014-2015)

Principal Investigator

Nakamura Etsuhiro  愛知学院大学, 総合政策学部, 准教授 (10432783)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2018-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2017)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2017: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Keywords投票行動 / 選挙研究 / 政治過程論 / キャンペーン / 18歳選挙権 / ジェンダー / 非言語情報 / 政治学 / 実験室実験 / 自然実験
Outline of Final Research Achievements

Do voters intentionally obtain political information and rationally update their party support when the election day is approaching? Originally, this research aimed to answer the question by making a mathematical model and experimental analysis. I formulized voters’ political opinion change as the optimal control problem. However, my empirical research did not support the hypothesis of rational, intentional update of political information. Therefore, I investigated whether voters used irrational non-policy information in political decision making by additional experiments. The results suggested voters were not strongly influenced by non-policy information although they did not rationally obtain political information.

Report

(5 results)
  • 2017 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2016 Research-status Report
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (12 results)

All 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014

All Journal Article (8 results) Presentation (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 音声変換を利用したジェンダーバイアスに関する実験の検討2018

    • Author(s)
      中村悦大
    • Journal Title

      愛知学院大学政策科学研究所所報 政策科学

      Volume: 9

    • NAID

      40021550483

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 青年政治家から壮年政治家へ-動画レタッチングを用いた候補者評価の実験2018

    • Author(s)
      中村悦大
    • Journal Title

      公共選択

      Volume: 70

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 書評 実験政治学2018

    • Author(s)
      中村悦大
    • Journal Title

      選挙研究

      Volume: 34

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 愛媛県と大阪府のある高校における政治意識に関する調査2015 単純集計結果2017

    • Author(s)
      中村悦大・田中智和・秦正樹
    • Journal Title

      愛知学院大学総合政策研究

      Volume: 20(1)

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 愛媛県と大阪府のある高校における政治意識に関する調査2016 単純集計結果2017

    • Author(s)
      中村悦大・田中智和・秦正樹・辻陽
    • Journal Title

      愛知学院大学総合政策研究

      Volume: 20(1)

    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] 動画レタッチングを用いた候補者の印象変化 予備実験結果からの検討2017

    • Author(s)
      中村悦大
    • Journal Title

      政策科学

      Volume: 8 Pages: 57-64

    • NAID

      40021186779

    • Related Report
      2016 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 有権者の政党支持の更新に関するモデルの一試案2015

    • Author(s)
      中村悦大
    • Journal Title

      愛媛法学会雑誌

      Volume: 41 Pages: 31-64

    • NAID

      120006527021

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] 書評:新しい政治参加メカニズムの提案と検証 荒井紀一郎著『参加のメカニズム―民主主義に適応する市民の動態』2015

    • Author(s)
      中村悦大
    • Journal Title

      レヴァイアサン

      Volume: 56 Pages: 160-163

    • NAID

      40020469524

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] An Alternative Approach for Investigating Gender Prejudice in Japan2017

    • Author(s)
      中村悦大
    • Organizer
      European Consortium for Political Research
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] IRTによる政治的知識水準の指標化と分析2016

    • Author(s)
      中村悦大
    • Organizer
      日本選挙学会
    • Place of Presentation
      日本大学(東京都千代田区三崎町)
    • Year and Date
      2016-05-15
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 真理子の政党支持2014

    • Author(s)
      中村悦大
    • Organizer
      日本選挙学会
    • Place of Presentation
      早稲田大学(東京都新宿区戸塚町1-104)
    • Year and Date
      2014-05-18
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Book] 1994 Electoral Reform in Japan: Background, Process, and Impact on Governance and Public Policy in Farazmand, Ali (Ed.) Global Encyclopedia of Public Administration, Public Policy, and Governance2018

    • Author(s)
      Nakamura Etsuhiro
    • Publisher
      Springer
    • ISBN
      9783319318165
    • Related Report
      2017 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2019-03-29  

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