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Population Aging, Long-term Care, and Health Insurance Market: a General Equilibrium Life-Cycle Analysis

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26780173
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Public finance/Public economy
Research InstitutionNational Graduate Institute for Policy Studies

Principal Investigator

Hsu Minchung  政策研究大学院大学, 政策研究科, 准教授 (20467062)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,770,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥870,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,040,000 (Direct Cost: ¥800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥240,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,300,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥300,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
KeywordsLong-term care / Saving / Medicaid / Population Aging / Aging / long-term care / saving / medicare
Outline of Final Research Achievements

We build a life-cycle model with endogenous long term care (LTC) expenditures. The model includes both married and single households to capture the family structure that is important for precautionary savings and LTC decisions. Married individuals face the risk of a spouse needing LTC and quickly depleting joint assets.However, those needing LTC can benefit from the presence of a healthy spouse who provides informal care, lowering the costs of LTC. Based on the household-level data, HRS and MEPS, we use the calibrated model to estimate the importance of family dynamics and quantify the impacts of LTC policy reforms such as the provision of a universal public system that pays for a minimum level of LTC costs.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (17 results)

All 2017 2016 2015 2014 Other

All Int'l Joint Research (2 results) Journal Article (3 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Open Access: 1 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 3 results,  Peer Reviewed: 2 results) Presentation (11 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 7 results,  Invited: 5 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of California, Los Angeles(米国)

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Int'l Joint Research] University of New South Wales(Australia)

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Journal Article] How developing countries can deal with rising health care costs2016

    • Author(s)
      Minchung Hsu
    • Journal Title

      Nikkei Asian Review

      Volume: - Pages: 1-2

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] The Development of Universal Health Insurance Coverage in Thailand: Challenges of Population Aging and Informal Economy2015

    • Author(s)
      Minchung Hsu, Xianguo Huang, Somrasri Yupho
    • Journal Title

      Social Science & Medicine

      Volume: 145 Pages: 227-236

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Health Insurance Reform – The Impact of a Medicare Buy-in2014

    • Author(s)
      Gary Hansen, Minchung Hsu and Junsang Lee
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control

      Volume: 45 Pages: 315-329

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] Reforming Medicaid Long-term Care2017

    • Author(s)
      Minchung Hsu
    • Organizer
      AEA 2017 Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Hyatt Regency Chicago (Chicago, USA)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Financing Aging in Developing Economies: Feasible Taxation and Optimal Population Policy2016

    • Author(s)
      Minchung Hsu
    • Organizer
      Asian Development Bank Institute and Asian Growth Research Institute Workshop on Aging in Asia
    • Place of Presentation
      Asian Growth Research Institute (Kitakyushu, Fukuoka)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Financing Aging in Developing Economies: Feasible Taxation and Optimal Population Policy2016

    • Author(s)
      Minchung Hsu
    • Organizer
      Taiwan Economic Research Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Academia Sinica (Taipei, Taiwan)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Financing Aging in Developing Economies: Feasible Taxation and Optimal Population Policy2016

    • Author(s)
      Minchung Hsu
    • Organizer
      Econometric Society Asian Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Doshisha University (Kyoto-shi, Kyoto)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Financing Aging in Developing Economies: Feasible Taxation and Optimal Population Policy2016

    • Author(s)
      Minchung Hsu
    • Organizer
      2016 Growth, Trade and Dynamics Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Academia Sinica (Taipei, Taiwan)
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Aging, Population Policy and Fiscal Challenges in Developing Economies2015

    • Author(s)
      Minchung Hsu
    • Organizer
      Econometric Society World Congress
    • Place of Presentation
      Montreal, Canada
    • Year and Date
      2015-08-17
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Aging, Population Policy and Fiscal Challenges in Developing Economies2015

    • Author(s)
      Minchung Hsu
    • Organizer
      Public Economics Theory 2015 Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Luxembourg City, Luxembourg
    • Year and Date
      2015-07-03
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Population Policy, Aging and the Long-term growth in China2014

    • Author(s)
      Minchung Hsu
    • Organizer
      Macroeconomic Seminar
    • Place of Presentation
      National Taiwan University (Taiwan)
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-13
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Revisiting Private Health Insurance and Precautionary Saving: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis2014

    • Author(s)
      Minchung Hsu
    • Organizer
      Public Economic Theory 14th Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Washington University, Seattle (USA)
    • Year and Date
      2014-07-12
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Revisiting Private Health Insurance and Precautionary Saving: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis2014

    • Author(s)
      Minchung Hsu
    • Organizer
      Econometric Society Asian Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Academia Sinica, Taipei (Taiwan)
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-21
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] Health Insurance Reform - The Impact of a Medicare Buy-in2014

    • Author(s)
      Minchung Hsu
    • Organizer
      Conference of Rapid Aging and Chinese Pension Reform
    • Place of Presentation
      Shanghai University of Finance and Economics (China)
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-03
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Invited
  • [Remarks] http://www3.grips.ac.jp/~minchunghsu/

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report

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Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2022-01-27  

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