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The Effect of Campaign Promises in Political Competition:

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26780178
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Public finance/Public economy
Research InstitutionWaseda University

Principal Investigator

Asako Yasushi  早稲田大学, 政治経済学術院, 准教授 (70634757)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥2,730,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥630,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Keywords公約 / 選挙 / 応用ゲーム理論
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This study develops a formal model in which a candidate strategically decides both a campaign platform and a policy to be implemented while most of past studies consider only one of them. Especially, this study supposes that a candidate who implements a policy that differs from his/her platform must pay a cost of betrayal. The model is able to show two implications that previous frameworks have had difficulty with. First, candidates with different characteristics have different probabilities of winning an election. Second, candidates who prefer an extreme policy won some elections. Moreover, this study also shows some difficulties to explain why candidates announce ambiguous platforms.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (4 results)

All 2017 2016 2015

All Journal Article (2 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 2 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 2 results) Presentation (1 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results) Book (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Partially Binding Platforms: Campaign Promises vis-a-vis Cost of Betrayal2015

    • Author(s)
      Yasushi Asako
    • Journal Title

      Japanese Economic Review

      Volume: 66 Issue: 3 Pages: 322-353

    • DOI

      10.1111/jere.12053

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Campaign Promises as an Imperfect Signal: How does an Extreme Candidate Win against a Moderate One?2015

    • Author(s)
      Yasushi Asako
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Theoretical Politics

      Volume: 27 Issue: 4 Pages: 613-649

    • DOI

      10.1177/0951629814559724

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] Condorcet Winner and Political Ambiguity2017

    • Author(s)
      Yasushi Asako
    • Organizer
      Public Choice Society
    • Place of Presentation
      ニューオリンズ、アメリカ
    • Year and Date
      2017-03-04
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] 政治の数理分析入門2016

    • Author(s)
      浅古泰史
    • Total Pages
      232
    • Publisher
      木鐸社
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report

URL: 

Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2018-03-22  

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