• Search Research Projects
  • Search Researchers
  • How to Use
  1. Back to previous page

Investigation of predictability of tropical cyclones with an atmosphere-ocean coupled data assimilation

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26800247
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Meteorology/Physical oceanography/Hydrology
Research InstitutionJapan, Meteorological Research Institute

Principal Investigator

KUNII MASARU  気象庁気象研究所, 予報研究部, 研究官 (70370327)

Research Collaborator MIYOSHI TAKEMASA  理化学研究所, 計算科学研究機構・データ同化研究チーム, チームリーダー
WADA AKIYOSHI  気象庁気象研究所, 台風研究部, 主任研究官
YAN SHU-CHIH  台湾国立中央大学, 大気科学部, 準教授
OTA YOICHIRO  気象庁, 予報部・数値予報課, 技官
ITO KOSUKE  琉球大学, 理学部, 助教
Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,640,000 (Direct Cost: ¥2,800,000、Indirect Cost: ¥840,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,170,000 (Direct Cost: ¥900,000、Indirect Cost: ¥270,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,820,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000、Indirect Cost: ¥420,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000)
Keywordsデータ同化 / アンサンブルカルマンフィルタ / 海洋結合モデル / 台風 / アンサンブルデータ同化 / 大気海洋結合モデル / 大気海洋相互作用 / アンサンブル予報
Outline of Final Research Achievements

An ensemble Kalman filter using a regional mesoscale atmosphere-ocean coupled model was developed to provide realistic sea surface temperature (SST) estimate and to represent the uncertainties of SST in ensemble data assimilation strategies. The newly developed coupled data assimilation system with a simple mixed-layer model was applied to the case of Typhoon Lionrock in 2016. It was found the coupled system with SST data derived from the Himawari-8 showed positive impacts on the TC track and intensity forecasts. The results indicates the usefulness of the regional mesoscale atmosphere-ocean coupled data assimilation system.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (21 results)

All 2017 2016 2015

All Journal Article (5 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 3 results,  Peer Reviewed: 3 results,  Open Access: 3 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 3 results) Presentation (16 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 5 results,  Invited: 2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Preliminary test of a data assimilation system with a regional high-resolution atmosphere-ocean coupled model based on an ensemble Kalman filter2017

    • Author(s)
      Kunii, M., K. Ito, and A. Wada
    • Journal Title

      Monthly Weather Review

      Volume: 145 Issue: 2 Pages: 565-581

    • DOI

      10.1175/mwr-d-16-0068.1

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] The role of ocean-atmosphere interaction in Typhoon Sinlaku (2008) using a regional coupled data assimilation system2017

    • Author(s)
      Wada, A., and M. Kunii
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Geophysical Research Oceans

      Volume: 印刷中 Issue: 5 Pages: 3675-3695

    • DOI

      10.1002/2017jc012750

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Ensemble Data Assimilation and Forecast Experiments for the September 2015 Heavy Rainfall Event in Kanto and Tohoku Regions with Atmospheric Motion Vectors from Himawari-82016

    • Author(s)
      Kunii, M., M. Otsuka, K. Shimoji, and H. Seko
    • Journal Title

      SOLA

      Volume: 12 Issue: 0 Pages: 209-214

    • DOI

      10.2151/sola.2016-042

    • NAID

      130005259640

    • ISSN
      1349-6476
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] The effect of predicted oceanic conditions on the assimilation of Typhoon Sinlaku (2008)2016

    • Author(s)
      Wada, A., and M. Kunii
    • Journal Title

      CAS/JSC WGNE Research Activities in Atmospheric and Oceanic Modelling

      Volume: 46 Pages: 9-05

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Journal Article] The impact of a sea-spray parameterization on the assimilation of Typhoon Sinlaku (2008)2015

    • Author(s)
      Akiyoshi Wada and Masaru Kunii
    • Journal Title

      CAS/JSC WGNE Res. Activ. Atmos. Oceanic Model

      Volume: 45 Pages: 9-08

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] reliminary test of data assimilation system with a regional high-resolution atmosphere-ocean coupled model based on an ensemble Kalman filter2017

    • Author(s)
      Kunii, M., K. Ito, and A. Wada
    • Organizer
      97th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Washington State Convention Center
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 領域大気海洋結合モデルを用いたアンサンブルカルマンフィルタの構築2017

    • Author(s)
      國井勝
    • Organizer
      第25回CEISTセミナー
    • Place of Presentation
      JAMSTEC 横浜研究所
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] 気象衛星ひまわり8号で観測した高頻度大気追跡風と海面水温の台風や大雨事例へのインパクト実験2017

    • Author(s)
      國井勝
    • Organizer
      ポスト「京」重点課題4「観測ビッグデータを活用した気象と地球環境の予測の高度化」第1回成果報告会
    • Place of Presentation
      大手町サンスカイルーム
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 気象衛星ひまわり8号で観測した高頻度大気追跡風や海面水温の豪雨や台風へのインパクト実験2017

    • Author(s)
      國井勝
    • Organizer
      ポスト「京」重点課題4「観測ビッグデータを活用した気象と地球環境の予測の高度化」第1回革新的な数値天気予報と被害レベル推定に基づく高度な気象防災成果発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      秋葉原UDXギャラリーNEXT-1
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] Regional Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Assimilation System Based on NHM-LETKF2017

    • Author(s)
      Wada, A., and M. Kunii
    • Organizer
      97th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Washington State Convention Center
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 領域大気海洋結合モデルを用いたアンサンブルカルマンフィルタの構築2016

    • Author(s)
      國井勝
    • Organizer
      第2回アンサンブル同化摂動に関する研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      沖縄青少年研修センター
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] 領域大気海洋結合モデルを用いたアンサンブルカルマンフィルタの構築(第3報)2016

    • Author(s)
      國井勝
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2016年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学東山キャンパス
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] ひまわり8号高頻度大気追跡風を用いた平成27年関東・東北豪雨シミュレーション2016

    • Author(s)
      國井勝
    • Organizer
      第3回「京」を中核とするHPCIシステム利用研究課題成果報告会
    • Place of Presentation
      コクヨホール
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] NHM-LETKFを用いたひまわり8号高頻度大気追跡風データの大雨事例へのインパクト実験2016

    • Author(s)
      國井勝,大塚道子,下地和希,瀬古弘
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2016年度春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      国立オリンピック記念青少年総合センター
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] メソアンサンブル予報を利用した顕著現象の解析2016

    • Author(s)
      國井勝, 横田祥
    • Organizer
      第9回気象庁数値モデル研究会・第44回メソ気象研究会・ 第2回観測システム予測可能性研究連絡会
    • Place of Presentation
      気象庁
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Invited
  • [Presentation] NHM-LETKF大気波浪海洋結合システムにおける海面水温の制御変数化2016

    • Author(s)
      和田章義, 國井勝
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2016年度秋季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      名古屋大学東山キャンパス
    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
  • [Presentation] An ensemble Kalman filter with a high-resolution atmosphere-ocean coupled model for tropical cyclone forecasts2015

    • Author(s)
      Masaru Kunii, Kosuke Ito, and Akiyoshi Wada
    • Organizer
      2015 AGU Fall Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      米国サンフランシスコ モスコーンセンター
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-18
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] NHM-LETKFによる台風予測研究2015

    • Author(s)
      和田章義,国井勝
    • Organizer
      第17回非静力学モデルに関するワークショップ
    • Place of Presentation
      那覇第一地方合同庁舎
    • Year and Date
      2015-12-02
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] Impact of observation thinning and initialization on the LETKF within JMA's global hybrid 4DVar-LETKF data assimilation system2015

    • Author(s)
      Yoichiro Ota and Takashi Kadowaki
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Sensitivity Analysis and Data Assimilation in Meteorology and Oceanography
    • Place of Presentation
      米国ロアノーク ストーンウォールリゾート
    • Year and Date
      2015-06-04
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Implementation of a high-resolution atmosphere-ocean coupled model with an ensemble Kalman filter2015

    • Author(s)
      Masaru Kunii and Kosuke Ito
    • Organizer
      JpGU Meeting 2015
    • Place of Presentation
      幕張メッセ
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-26
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 領域大気海洋結合モデルを用いたアンサンブルカルマンフィルタの構築2015

    • Author(s)
      国井勝,伊藤耕介
    • Organizer
      日本気象学会2015年度春季大会
    • Place of Presentation
      つくば国際会議場
    • Year and Date
      2015-05-24
    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report 2014 Research-status Report

URL: 

Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2018-03-22  

Information User Guide FAQ News Terms of Use Attribution of KAKENHI

Powered by NII kakenhi