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Policy design for promoting seismic retrofitting through Nudge

Research Project

Project/Area Number 26820214
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)

Allocation TypeMulti-year Fund
Research Field Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
Research InstitutionKumamoto University

Principal Investigator

Fujimi Toshio  熊本大学, 大学院先端科学研究部(工), 准教授 (40423024)

Project Period (FY) 2014-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 2016)
Budget Amount *help
¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000)
Fiscal Year 2016: ¥1,430,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,100,000、Indirect Cost: ¥330,000)
Fiscal Year 2015: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
Fiscal Year 2014: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000)
Keywordsseismic retrofitting / Nudge / moral hazards / 耐震改修 / 曖昧性 / モラルハザード / 耐震補強 / 保証書 / 行動経済学 / 保証制度 / 家屋倒壊
Outline of Final Research Achievements

This paper explores policy design promoting seismic retrofitting through Nudge. The homeowners hesitate to implement seismic retrofitting because they largely overestimate the collapse risk of seismic retrofitted house. This problem can be solved by a warranty that compensates the cost for rebuilding new house if the seismic retrofitted houses collapse due to earthquake. The warranty may cause moral hazard of a house builder to implement seismic retrofitting if the government bears all cost of warranty
To introduce the warranty system for promoting seismic retrofitting, reconstruction cost should be shared by the government and house builder. This research investigates optimal share of reconstruction cost for preventing house builder’s moral hazards with expected utility model and KMM model. The result implies that, for an average house, cost share ratio of the government should be set around 0.6 under both risk and ambiguity to prevent moral hazard.

Report

(4 results)
  • 2016 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report ( PDF )
  • 2015 Research-status Report
  • 2014 Research-status Report
  • Research Products

    (18 results)

All 2016 2015 2014

All Journal Article (11 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Peer Reviewed: 11 results,  Open Access: 1 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 3 results) Presentation (7 results)

  • [Journal Article] Effective and persistent changes in household energy-saving behaviors: Evidence from post-tsunami Japan2016

    • Author(s)
      Fujimi, T., Kajitani Y. and Chang E.S.
    • Journal Title

      Applied Energy

      Volume: 167 Pages: 93-106

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.01.027

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report 2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Perceived ambiguity about earthquake and house destruction risks2016

    • Author(s)
      Toshio Fujimi, Masahide Watanabe, Ryuji Kakimoto, and Hirokazu Tatano
    • Journal Title

      Natural Hazards

      Volume: 80(2) Issue: 2 Pages: 1243-1256

    • DOI

      10.1007/s11069-015-2021-2

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report 2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Surveying Earthquake Vulnerabilities of District 13of Kabul City, Afghanistan,2016

    • Author(s)
      Mohsen Mohammadi, Toshio Fujimi
    • Journal Title

      International Journal of Civil, Environmental, Structural, Construction and Architectural Engineering

      Volume: 10 Pages: 627-637

    • Related Report
      2016 Annual Research Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Electricity saving in residential sector for adaptation to electricity crisis2015

    • Author(s)
      Fujimi, T., Kajitani, Y., Kakimoto, R. Yoshida, M.
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of the 11th Annual International Conference of the International Institute for Infrastructure Renewal and Reconstruction the Disaster Management

      Volume: III-4

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] The Factors of Promoting and impeding Precautionary Evacuation Behavior2015

    • Author(s)
      Kakimoto, R., Fujimi, T., Yoshida, M., Kim, H.
    • Journal Title

      Proc. of the 11th Annual International Conference of the International Institute for Infrastructure Renewal and Reconstruction the Disaster Management

      Volume: II-1-1

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 水害対策の実施主体の空白化指標の提案2015

    • Author(s)
      吉田護,柿本竜治,藤見俊夫
    • Journal Title

      自然災害科学

      Volume: 33 Pages: 347-358

    • NAID

      40020877316

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report 2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Evaluating Change in Objective Ambiguous Mortality Probability: Valuing Reduction in Ambiguity Size and Risk Level2014

    • Author(s)
      Masahide Watanabe and Toshio Fujimi
    • Journal Title

      Environmental and Resource Economics

      Volume: forthcoming Issue: 1 Pages: 1-15

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10640-013-9754-8

    • Related Report
      2015 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Adaptation to Electricity Crisis: Businesses in the 2011 Great East Japan Triple Disaster2014

    • Author(s)
      Fujimi,T., Chang, S.
    • Journal Title

      Energy Policy

      Volume: 68 Pages: 447-457

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] Evaluating Change in Objective Ambiguous Mortality Probability: Valuing Reduction in Ambiguity Size and Risk Level2014

    • Author(s)
      Watanabe M., Fujimi,T.
    • Journal Title

      Environmental and Resource Economics

      Volume: 60 Pages: 1-15

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 予防的避難の阻害要因と促進要因に関する分析2014

    • Author(s)
      柿本竜治,金華永,吉田護,藤見俊夫
    • Journal Title

      都市計画学会学術研究論文集

      Volume: 49 Pages: 321-326

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 減災型地域社会リーダーのコンピテンシーの提案と自主防災組織メンバーの認識2014

    • Author(s)
      吉田護,高橋暁子,喜多敏博,山田文彦,松田博貴,柿本竜治,藤見俊夫,竹内裕希子,鳥井真之
    • Journal Title

      自然災害科学

      Volume: 33 Pages: 115-125

    • NAID

      40020877401

    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Presentation] 耐震改修におけるモラルハザード抑制のための制度設計2015

    • Author(s)
      岩永寛道,藤見俊夫
    • Organizer
      平成27年度土木学会西部支部研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      琉球大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-07
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 地下水涵養政策における用水配分ルールの検証2015

    • Author(s)
      合屋力,藤見俊夫,濱武英
    • Organizer
      平成27年度土木学会西部支部研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      琉球大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-07
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 防護動機理論に基づく予防的避難の住民意識分析2015

    • Author(s)
      那須弘明,藤見俊夫,柿本竜治
    • Organizer
      平成27年度土木学会西部支部研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      琉球大学
    • Year and Date
      2015-03-07
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 科学的不確実性下のリスク費用便益分析2014

    • Author(s)
      藤見俊夫
    • Organizer
      第50回土木計画研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      鳥取大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-11-01 – 2014-11-03
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] The Implementation and the Issues of Preventative Evacuation - A Case Study of Kumamoto Prefecture, Japan2014

    • Author(s)
      K. Hoshide, R. Kakimoto, T. Fujimi, H. Kim, M. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      The 5th Conference of the International Society for Integrated Disaster Risk Management (IDRiM2014)
    • Place of Presentation
      Canada (London, Ontario)
    • Year and Date
      2014-10-30 – 2014-11-01
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 熊本県における「予防的非難」の取組みついて2014

    • Author(s)
      星出和裕,柿本竜治,藤見俊夫,金華永,吉田護
    • Organizer
      第33回日本自然災害学会 学術講演会
    • Place of Presentation
      鹿児島大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-09-24 – 2014-09-25
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report
  • [Presentation] 予防的避難実施の課題と展望2014

    • Author(s)
      星出和裕,柿本竜治,藤見俊夫,金華永,吉田護
    • Organizer
      第49回土木計画研究発表会
    • Place of Presentation
      東北工業大学
    • Year and Date
      2014-06-07 – 2014-06-08
    • Related Report
      2014 Research-status Report

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Published: 2014-04-04   Modified: 2018-03-22  

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