Time series analysis and their optimization

• Project/Area Number: 26870738
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
• Allocation Type: Multi-year Fund
• Research Field: Commerce; Management
• Research Institution: Setsunan University
• Principal Investigator: Higuchi Yuki 摂南大学, 経営学部, 准教授 (60552065)
• Project Period (FY): 2014-04-01 – 2020-03-31
• Project Status: Completed (Fiscal Year 2019)
• Budget Amount: ¥3,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥3,000,000、Indirect Cost: ¥900,000); Fiscal Year 2017: ¥780,000 (Direct Cost: ¥600,000、Indirect Cost: ¥180,000); Fiscal Year 2016: ¥650,000 (Direct Cost: ¥500,000、Indirect Cost: ¥150,000); Fiscal Year 2015: ¥910,000 (Direct Cost: ¥700,000、Indirect Cost: ¥210,000); Fiscal Year 2014: ¥1,560,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,200,000、Indirect Cost: ¥360,000)
• Keywords: 時系列解析 / 予測 / ブランド / Genetic Algorithm / 棚配置 / 遺伝的アルゴリズム

Outline of Final Research Achievements

The following three themes of study related to time series analysis were executed. (1)Optimization in allocating goods to shop shelves utilizing Genetic Algorithm (2)Analysis of the matrix structure in brand selection (3)Improvement of the forecasting accuracy. The following results were obtained. (1)Exploring the problem that does not allow goods to be allocated in multiple shelves. Executing the applications to the sales data of cup noodles in the convenience store as a model. (2)Introduction of the rank classification based upon the consumers' perceived quality by utilizing the correspondence analysis. Executing a questionnaire investigation in the airline ticket purchasing case and confirming the upper shifts by the new method described above. (3)“The new index utilizing Mahalanobis’ generalized distance” and “Shortening the searching time of the optimal order of ARIMA model by utilizing Genetic Algorithm” are introduced and various forecasting for time series were conducted.

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

(1)本研究は店舗における商品配置問題を定式化し、その効果を数値として客観的に把握することを目的とする。店舗での陳列方法は売り上げに大きく影響するため、本手法の確立と精度の検証は商品販売戦略の展開に大きく資する。(2)本研究は消費者のブランド選択時における推移データを行列構造にて解明するものであり、法則化によりブランドの新製品投入タイミング、ポジショニングの判断などマーケティング戦略立案・検証に極めて有効に活用することができる。(3)在庫管理や見込み生産など、需要予測を必要とする分野・企業は非常にたくさん存在する。販売予測等、予測精度を上げることが切望される分野は多く、各方面への貢献度は高い。

Research Products

• [Journal Article] Multivariate Analysis on the Productive Activity for the Aged (2019)
  • Author(s): 樋口友紀、小柳達也
  • Journal Title: Journal of Japan Society for Fuzzy Theory and Intelligent Informatics Volume: 31 Issue: 4 Pages: 754-763
  • DOI: 10.3156/jsoft.31.4_754
  • NAID: 130007690227
  • ISSN: 1347-7986, 1881-7203
  • Year and Date: 2019-08-15
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] Utilization of Genetic Algorithm in Allocating Goods to Shop Shelves Under an Application to Cup Noodles (2019)
  • Author(s): Y.Higuchi, K.Suzuki and K.Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: International Journal of Business Administration Volume: Vol.10, No.3 Issue: 3 Pages: 104-117
  • DOI: 10.5430/ijba.v10n3p104
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] Principal Component Analysis on the Twitter Data in the Restaurant Industry (2019)
  • Author(s): K. Suzuki, Y. Higuchi, K. Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: International Business Research Volume: 12(1) Issue: 1 Pages: 88-98
  • DOI: 10.5539/ibr.v12n1p88
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] Hypothesis Testing for the Questionnaire Investigation on the Needs at Fuji City (2018)
  • Author(s): Y. Higuchi, A. Okubo, D. Suzuki, K. Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: International Business Research Volume: 11(6) Issue: 6 Pages: 139-150
  • DOI: 10.5539/ibr.v11n6p139
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] Cluster Analysis for the Questionnaire Investigation on the Needs at Fuji City (2018)
  • Author(s): Y. Higuchi, A. Okubo, D. Suzuki, K. Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: International Journal of Business Administration Volume: 9(3) Issue: 3 Pages: 39-48
  • DOI: 10.5430/ijba.v9n3p39
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] Multivariate Analysis for the Questionnaire Investigation on the Needs at Fuji City (2018)
  • Author(s): Y. Higuchi, A. Okubo, D. Suzuki, K. Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: International Journal of Business Administration Volume: 9(5) Issue: 5 Pages: 50-61
  • DOI: 10.5430/ijba.v9n5p50
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] Cluster Analysis for the Questionnaire Investigation on the Needs at Fuji Shopping Street in Fuji City (2018)
  • Author(s): Y. Higuchi, A. Okubo, D. Suzuki, K. Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: Asian Business Research Volume: 3(2) Issue: 2 Pages: 30-39
  • DOI: 10.20849/abr.v3i2.390
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] Factor Analysis for the Questionnaire Investigation on the Needs at Fuji City (2018)
  • Author(s): K. Takeyasu, Y. Higuchi, A. Okubo, D. Suzuki
  • Journal Title: Journal of Computations & Modelling Volume: 8(2) Pages: 91-110
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] Multivariate Analysis for the Questionnaire Investigation on Rare Sugars (2018)
  • Author(s): H.Takeyasu, Y.Higuchi, K.Kondo, K.Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: 香川短期大学紀要 Volume: 46 Pages: 57-69
  • NAID: 40021504865
• [Journal Article] Correspondence Analysis for the Questionnaire Investigation on Rare Sugars (2017)
  • Author(s): Y.Higuchi, H.Takeyasu, K.Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: Business and Management Research Volume: 6(2) Issue: 2 Pages: 52-63
  • DOI: 10.5430/bmr.v6n2p52
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] The Method to improve Forecasting Accuracy by Using Neural Network -An Application to the Production Data of Udon Noodles- (2017)
  • Author(s): Y.Higuchi, Y.Tsuchida, K.Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: Journal of Computations & Modelling Volume: 7(4) Pages: 39-62
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] Improving Forecasting Accuracy by Neural Network Applying to the Airlines Cargo Data in the Case of Daily Data (2017)
  • Author(s): Y.Higuchi, Y.Tsuchida, T.Kuroda, K.Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: International Journal of Operations Research Volume: 14(2) Pages: 65-75
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] Hypothesis Testing for the Questionnaire Investigation on Tourists’ Behavior (2017)
  • Author(s): A.Okubo, Y.Higuchi, K.Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: International Business Research Volume: 10(12) Issue: 12 Pages: 68-79
  • DOI: 10.5539/ibr.v10n12p68
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] The Analysis of Hypothesis Testing on Rare Sugars in Kagawa Prefecture (2017)
  • Author(s): H.Takeyasu, Y.Higuchi, M.Tanaka, Y.Matsushita, K.Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: International Business Research Volume: 10(12) Issue: 12 Pages: 123-138
  • DOI: 10.5539/ibr.v10n12p123
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] The Analysis of Hypothesis Testing on Popularities of Rare Sugars (2017)
  • Author(s): H.Takeyasu, Y.Higuchi, Y.Saitoh, K.Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: International Journal of Business Administration Volume: 8(7) Pages: 33-48
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] BRAND SELECTION IN A BRAND BAG PURCHASING CASE (2017)
  • Author(s): Y.Higuchi, K.Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: 香川短期大学紀要 Volume: 45 Pages: 67-78
• [Journal Article] Multivariate Analysis for a Questionnaire Investigation on Popularity of Rare Sugars in Kagawa Prefecture (2017)
  • Author(s): H.Takeyasu, Y.Higuchi, M.Nakayama, M.Yamashita, K.Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: 香川短期大学紀要 Volume: 45 Pages: 253-263
• [Journal Article] Utilization of Genetic Algorithm in Allocating Goods to Shop Shelves Under the Introduction of Sales Probabilities (2017)
  • Author(s): Y.Higuchi, K.Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: 香川短期大学紀要 Volume: 45 Pages: 29-41
• [Journal Article] Optimization in Allocating Goods to Shop Shelves Utilizing Genetic Algorithm under Expanded Shelf Position Case (2016)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: Journal of Computations & Modelling Volume: Vol.6, No.2 Pages: 15-31
  • NAID: 130005488202
  • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
• [Journal Article] Applying Neural Network for the Improvement of Forecasting Accuracy -Airlines Weekly Cargo Data Case- (2016)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Yuta Tsuchida, Tatsuhiro Kuroda, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: Journal of Computations & Modelling Volume: Vol.6, No.2 Pages: 67-84
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] The Method to Improve Forecasting Accuracy by Using Neural Network -An Application to the Food Production Data (2016)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Hiromasa Takeyasu, Yuta Tsuchida, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: Business and Management Research Volume: Vol.5. No.3 Issue: 3 Pages: 11-25
  • DOI: 10.5430/bmr.v5n3p11
  • NAID: 130005488195
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] Utilization of Genetic Algorithm in Allocating Goods to Shop Shelves (2016)
  • Author(s): Kazuhiro Takeyasu, Yuki Higuchi
  • Journal Title: Business and Management Research Volume: Vol.5. No.4 Issue: 4 Pages: 1-13
  • DOI: 10.5430/bmr.v5n4p1
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
• [Journal Article] BRAND BAG PURCHASING SELECTION AND ITS MATRIX STRUCTURE (2016)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: Journal of Computations & Modelling Volume: 6 Pages: 1-25
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Optimization in Allocating Goods to Shop Shelves Utilizing Genetic Algorithm Under the Introduction of Sales Probabilities (2015)
  • Author(s): Asami Shitara, Yuki Higuchi, Daisuke Takeyasu, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: Journal of Communication and Computer Volume: 12 Issue: 4 Pages: 155-163
  • DOI: 10.17265/1548-7709/2015.04.001
  • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
• [Journal Article] Improving Forecasting Accuracy by Utilizing Genetic Algorithm in the Case of Prepared Frozen Fry Foods (2015)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Hiromasa Takeyasu, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: Applied Mathematical and Computational Sciences Volume: 7 Pages: 15-36
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Optimization in Allocating Goods to Shop Shelves for Cup Noodles (2015)
  • Author(s): Komei Suzuki, Yuki Higuchi, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: Journal of Computations & Modelling Volume: 5 Pages: 1-25
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] The Method to improve Forecasting Accuracy by Using Neural Network - An Application to the Stock Market Price Data (2015)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Yuta Tsuchida, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: Journal of Computations & Modelling Volume: 5 Pages: 75-95
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Improving Forecasting Accuracy by the Utilization of Genetic Algorithm - An Application to the Data of Frozen Cakes (2015)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Hiromasa, Takeyasu, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Journal Title: Journal of Computations & Modelling, Volume: 5 Pages: 1-28
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] The Method to improve Forecasting Accuracy by Using Neural Network-An Application to the Shipping Data of Consumer Goods (2014)
  • Author(s): Yuta Tsuchida, Yuki Higuchi, Kazuhiro Takeyasu, Michifumi Yoshioka
  • Journal Title: Journal of Computations & Modelling, Volume: 4 Pages: 115-137
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Presentation] Estimation of the Order of ARIMA model by the Utilization of Genetic Algorithm in the Case of Banking Industry (2019)
  • Author(s): Y. Higuchi
  • Organizer: 日本経営工学会2019年秋季大会
• [Presentation] BRAND SELECTION IN THE AIRLINE TICKET PURCHASING CASE FROM THE VIEWPOINT OF THE FEELING OF LUXURY (2018)
  • Author(s): Y. Higuchi, K. Takeyasu
  • Organizer: The 19th Asia-Pacific Industrial Engineering and Management Systems Conference, Hong Kong
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Preference Shift of Airline and Its Matrix Structure (2018)
  • Author(s): Y. Higuchi, K. Takeyasu
  • Organizer: 日本知能情報ファジィ学会主催 第34回ファジィシステムシンポジウム
• [Presentation] The Analysis of Hypothesis Testing on Rare Sugars at Kagawa Prefecture in Japan (2018)
  • Author(s): Y. Higuchi, H. Takeyasu, K. Takeyasu
  • Organizer: 日本経営工学会 2018年 秋季大会
• [Presentation] Multivariate Analysis for the Questionnaire Investigation on Rare Sugars in Kagawa Prefecture (2017)
  • Author(s): Y.Higuchi, H.Takeyasu, K.Takeyasu
  • Organizer: The 18th International Symposium on Advanced Intelligent Systems, Daegu, South Korea
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Utilization of Genetic Algorithm in Allocating Goods to Shop Shelves with an Application to Cup Noodles (2017)
  • Author(s): Y.Higuchi, K.Suzuki, K.Takeyasu
  • Organizer: The 18th International Symposium on Advanced Intelligent Systems, Daegu, South Korea
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] BRAND SELECTION IN A BRAND BAG PURCHASING CASE BY THE UTILIZATION OF CORRESPONDENCE ANALYSIS (2017)
  • Author(s): Y.Higuchi, K.Takeyasu
  • Organizer: 日本知能情報ファジィ学会主催 第33回ファジィシステムシンポジウム
• [Presentation] The Method to improve Forecasting Accuracy by Using Neural Network with an Application to the Production Data of Udon Noodles (2017)
  • Author(s): Y.Higuchi, Y.Tsuchida, K.Takeyasu
  • Organizer: 日本経営工学会2017年秋季大会
• [Presentation] Hypothesis Testing for the Questionnaire Investigation on Tourists’ Behavior (2017)
  • Author(s): A.Okubo, Y.Higuchi, K.Takeyasu
  • Organizer: 日本経営工学会2017年秋季大会
• [Presentation] The Analysis to the Questionnaire Investigation on the Rare Sugars (2016)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Hiromasa Takeyasu, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Organizer: International Conference on Industrial Engineering, Management Science and Applications, May 23-26, 2016, Jeju Island, Korea
  • Place of Presentation: Jeju KAL Hotel, Jeju Island, Korea
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Utilization of Genetic Algorithm in Allocating Goods to Shop Shelves (2016)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Organizer: Joint 8th International Conference on Soft Computing and Intelligent Systems and 17th International Symposium on Advanced Intelligent Systems (SCIS&ISIS 2016), August 25-28, 2016
  • Place of Presentation: 北海学園大学
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] The Method to Improve Forecasting Accuracy under the Utilization of Neural Network (2016)
  • Author(s): Kazuhiro Takeyasu, Yuki Higuchi, Yuta Tsuchida
  • Organizer: Joint 8th International Conference on Soft Computing and Intelligent Systems and 17th International Symposium on Advanced Intelligent Systems (SCIS&ISIS 2016), August 25-28, 2016
  • Place of Presentation: 北海学園大学
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Correspondence Analysis for the Questionnaire Investigation on Rare Sugars (2016)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Hiromasa Takeyasu, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Organizer: The 17th Asia-Pacific Industrial Engineering and Management Systems Conference (APIEMS), Taipei, Taiwan
  • Place of Presentation: Howard Hotel, Taipei, Taiwan
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] The Method to improve Forecasting Accuracy by Using Neural Network -An Application to the Production Data of Udon Noodles (2016)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Hiromasa Takeyasu, Yuta Tsuchida, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Organizer: 日本経営工学会2016年秋季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 日本教育会館
• [Presentation] The Method to Improve Forecasting Accuracy by Using Neural Network - An Application to the Food Production Data (2015)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Hiromasa Takeyasu, Yuta Tsuchida, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Organizer: 日本知能情報ファジィ学会主催 第31回ファジィシステムシンポジウム(FSS2015)
  • Place of Presentation: 電気通信大学
  • Year and Date: 2015-09-02
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Optimization in Allocating Goods to Shop Shelves Utilizing Genetic Algorithm under Expanded Shelf Position Case (2015)
  • Author(s): Kazuhiro Takeyasu, Yuki Higuchi
  • Organizer: 日本知能情報ファジィ学会主催 第31回ファジィシステムシンポジウム(FSS2015)
  • Place of Presentation: 電気通信大学
  • Year and Date: 2015-09-02
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Optimization in Allocating Goods to Shop Shelves Utilizing Genetic Algorithm – An Application to Cup Noodles/Soup (2015)
  • Author(s): Komei Suzuki, Yuki Higuchi, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Organizer: 日本知能情報ファジィ学会主催 第31回ファジィシステムシンポジウム(FSS2015)
  • Place of Presentation: 電気通信大学
  • Year and Date: 2015-09-02
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] BRAND SELECTION AND ITS MATRIX STRUCTURE IN A BRAND BAG PURCHASING CASE (2015)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Organizer: The 2015 International Conference on Systematic Innovation, 2015, Hong Kong
  • Place of Presentation: Hong Kong
  • Year and Date: 2015-07-15
  • Int'l Joint Research
• [Presentation] Improving Forecasting Accuracy in the Case of Prepared frozen foods Through the Utilization of Genetic Algorithm (2014)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Hiromasa, Takeyasu, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Organizer: Joint 7th International Conference on Soft Computing and Intelligent Systems and 15th International Symposium on Advanced Intelligent Systems
  • Place of Presentation: Kitakyushu, Japan
  • Year and Date: 2014-12-03 – 2014-12-06
• [Presentation] The Method to improve Forecasting Accuracy by Using Neural Network-An Application to the Stock Market Price Data (2014)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Yuta Tsuchida, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Organizer: 日本経営工学会2014年秋季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 広島大学 東広島キャンパス
  • Year and Date: 2014-11-08 – 2014-11-09
• [Presentation] A Hybrid Method to Improve Forecasting Accuracy with An Application to the Data of Bread (2014)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Hiromasa, Takeyasu, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Organizer: The 15th Asia-Pacific Industrial Engineering and Management Systems Conference
  • Place of Presentation: Jeju, Korea
  • Year and Date: 2014-10-12 – 2014-10-15
• [Presentation] Improving Forecasting Accuracy by the Utilization of Genetic Algorithm in the Case of Confectionery (2014)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Hiromasa, Takeyasu, Kazuhiro Takeyasu
  • Organizer: 第30回ファジィシステムシンポジウム
  • Place of Presentation: 高知城ホール
  • Year and Date: 2014-09-01 – 2014-09-03
• [Book] Advanced Management Science and Its Applications (2018)
  • Author(s): Yuki Higuchi, Komei Suzuki, Yasutaka Kainuma, Daisuke Amano, Shin Yamaguchi, Etsuko Kusukawa, Hirotake Yamashita, Tomohiro Watanabe, Akane Okubo, Kazuhiro Takeyasu, Hiromasa Takeyasu, Yasuo Ishii, Shinji Takahashi, Tsuyoshi Aburai, Tatsuya Oyanagi, Daisuke Suzuki, Minoru Nishinobou
  • Total Pages: 361
  • Publisher: IZUMI SYUPPAN
  • ISBN: 9784906840243
• [Book] 大学教員の日々―研究、教育、学務、社会貢献 (2018)
  • Author(s): 大久保あかね、瀧澤寛路、山下裕丈、竹安数博、山田建太、皆川健多郎、樋口友紀、池田雅彦、西之坊穂、髙橋伸二、小柳達也、島田拓巳、油井毅、石井康夫
  • Total Pages: 263
  • Publisher: 和泉出版
  • ISBN: 9784906840250
• [Book] 産学官連携―その実践と拡大に向けてー (2016)
  • Author(s): Kazuhiro Takeyasu, Yuki Higuchi 他11名
  • Total Pages: 296
  • Publisher: 和泉出版
• [Book] 経営科学とその実践的応用 (2016)
  • Author(s): Kazuhiro Takeyasu, Yuki Higuchi 他10名
  • Total Pages: 282
  • Publisher: 和泉出版
• [Book] Applied Management Information Systems (2016)
  • Author(s): Kazuhiro Takeyasu, Yuki Higuchi 他13名
  • Total Pages: 353
  • Publisher: IZUMI SYUPPAN
• [Book] ADVANCED FORECASTING METHODS for TIME SERIES (2015)
  • Author(s): Kazuhiro Takeyasu, Hiromasa Takeyasu, Yuki Higuchi, Daisuke Takeyasu
  • Total Pages: 252
  • Publisher: IZUMI SYUPPAN
• [Book] ソーシャル・ネットワークが社会を変える/仕事を変える (2014)
  • Author(s): 竹安数博, 石井康夫, 樋口友紀, 油井毅,
  • Total Pages: 173
  • Publisher: 和泉出版