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Development of Real-Time Rainfall and Flood Discharge Forecasting Systems Using Digital Radar Data

Research Project

Project/Area Number 61850096
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Developmental Scientific Research

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field Hydraulic engineering
Research InstitutionKyoto University

Principal Investigator

TAKASAO Takuma  Professor, Faculty of Engineering, kYoto University, 工学部, 教授 (30025895)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) KOJIRI Toshiharu  Associate Professor, Faculty of Engineering, Gifu Univrsity, 工学部, 助教授 (00026353)
IKEBUCHI Shuuichi  Professor, Disas. Prev. Res. Inst., Kyoto University, 防災研究所, 教授 (20026181)
TAKARA Kaoru  Instructor, Faculty of engineering, Kyoto University, 工学部, 助手 (80144327)
SHIIBA Michiharu  Associate Professor, Faculty of Engineering, Kyoto University (, 工学部, 助教授 (90026352)
TOMOSUGI Kunio  Associate Professor, Disas. Prev.Res. Inst., Kyoto University (, 防災研究所, 助教授 (50027265)
Project Period (FY) 1986 – 1987
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1987)
Budget Amount *help
¥5,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥5,600,000)
Fiscal Year 1987: ¥1,400,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,400,000)
Fiscal Year 1986: ¥4,200,000 (Direct Cost: ¥4,200,000)
KeywordsRadar Raingauge / Rainfall Forecasting / Runoff Forecasting / Kalman Filter / 実時間予測 / 流量予測
Research Abstract

1) Characteristics of Storm Rainfall Observed by Using Radar Rainguauge;
Ikebuchi and Takasao developed several colour graphic screens which can visually represent both the distribution of echo intensity and shape of three dimensionally spread precipitation field, in order to investigate how fine resolution the radar information has. They found that characteristics of the three dimensionally spread echo pattern were relatively well explained by the combination of the meteorological data from routine observation networks and the configulation of the ground. Introducing effects of temporal variability of radar data, Tomosugi proposed a method of identifying the best parametrs of Z-R relationship to improve the consistency between rainfalls estimated by radar and rain gauges.
2) %techniques for Real-Time Forecasting of Rainfall and Flood Discharge;
Using digital radar data, Shiiba devaloped a real-time reinfall forecasting procedure that can provide not only pararell translation orf rainfall … More distribution, but rotation, shearing strain and expansion of the rainfall distribution pattern. He also developed a real-time runoff fore- casting procedure based on a stochastic state-space runoff model coupled with a statistical second-order approximation technique and tghe UDU factorization technique. Takara and Takasao discussed how to treat the state and the noise terms in runoff forecasting using the Kalman filter theory. Kojiri developed a real-tiem runoff forecasting model in a large river basin (several square Kilometers in area).
3) Applicability of Radar Information to Flood Management and Forecasting;
Takasao and Takara tried come methods of identifying the best parameters of Z-R relationship by using raingauges in the catchment concerned, and estimating areal rainfalls on the basis of the parameters thus obtained in real time. Comparing the performances of runoff forecasting based on these areal rainfalls, they discussed the applicabiliityof radar information to flood management and forecasting. The investigators discussed the applicability of the methods which they developed abobe. Less

Report

(2 results)
  • 1987 Final Research Report Summary
  • 1986 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (12 results)

All Other

All Publications (12 results)

  • [Publications] Takasao,T.: Proc.Fifth Congress of Asian and Pacific Regional Division. IAHR. VOL.5. 113-149 (1986)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1987 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 椎葉充晴: 1987年度(第23回)水工学に関する夏期研究会講義集,土木学会水理委員会. A. A-1-1-A-1-18 (1987)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1987 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 宝 馨: 第31回水理講演会論文集,土木学会水理委員会. 113-118 (1987)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1987 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 中北 英一: 京都大学防災研究所年報. 30-B-2. 265-282 (1987)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1987 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 高棹 琢馬: 京都大学防災研究所年報. 31-B-2. (1988)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1987 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T.Takasao: "Modeling and Forecasting of Rounoff Processes in River Basins." Proc. of Fifth Congress of Asian and Pacific Regional Divison. IAHR.v. 113-149 (1986)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1987 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] M.Shiiba: "On-Line Rainfall Forecasting Using a Radar Rain Gauge and On-Line Runoff Forecasting" Lcture Notes of the 23rd Summer Seminar on Hydraulics, 1987, JSCE. a. 1-1-1-18 (1987)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1987 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] K. Takara: "How to Treat the States and the Noise Terms in Runoff Forecasting Using the Kalman Filter" Porc. of the 31st Japanese Conference on Hydraulics, JSCC. 113-118 (1987)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1987 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] E. Nakakita: "Fundamental Study for Making Better Use of a Three-Dimensionally Scanning Radar Raingauge" Annuals, Disas.Prev. Res. Inst., Kyoto University. no.30B-2. 265-282 (1987)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1987 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] T. Takasao: "Real-Time Calibration of Radar Rainfall for Flood Forecasting" Annuals, Disas. Prev. Res. Inst.,Kyoto University. no.31B-2. (1988)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1987 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 宝馨,高棹琢馬,Barriga J.A.: 第31回水理講演会論文集,土木学会. 113-118 (1987)

    • Related Report
      1986 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 中北英一,池淵周一,筒井雅行: 京都大学防災研究所年報. 第30号B-2. (1987)

    • Related Report
      1986 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1987-03-31   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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