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Development of Realtime Prediction System of Developmental Stage of Rice

Research Project

Project/Area Number 62860002
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Developmental Scientific Research

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Research Field 作物
Research InstitutionKYOTO UNIVERSITY

Principal Investigator

HORIE Takeshi  Kyoto Univ., Agric., Professor, 農学部, 教授 (90181528)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) IGOSAWA Masamitsu  Iwate Agric. Exp., st., Researcher, 技術部, 専門研究員
TANAKA Hidehiko  Kamikawa Agric. Exp. st., Researcher, 水稲栽培料, 研究員
NAKAGAWA Hiroshi  Kyoto Univ., Agric., Instructor, 農学部, 助手 (90207738)
ONISHI Masao  Kyoto Univ., Agric., Instructor, 農学部, 助手 (80185339)
NAKANO Junichi  Kyoto Univ., Agric., Asso. Professor, 農学部, 助教授 (20032641)
山本 良孝  富山県農業技術センター, 農業試験場, 主査研究員
岡野 利明  電力中央研究所, 生物部, 主査研究員
Project Period (FY) 1987 – 1989
Project Status Completed (Fiscal Year 1989)
Budget Amount *help
¥17,600,000 (Direct Cost: ¥17,600,000)
Fiscal Year 1989: ¥1,000,000 (Direct Cost: ¥1,000,000)
Fiscal Year 1988: ¥6,900,000 (Direct Cost: ¥6,900,000)
Fiscal Year 1987: ¥9,700,000 (Direct Cost: ¥9,700,000)
KeywordsRice / Development / Phenology / Model / Prediction / Simulation / System / Realtime / 予測 / モデル / 発育動態 / 幼穂分化 / 出穂 / 窒素
Research Abstract

A model was developed for simulating rice crop developmental process, such as the onsets of ear initiation, spikelet formation, meiosis, heading and of maturation, in relation to daily temperature and day length conditions. In this model the crop developmental stage was quantified by a continuous value termed developmental index, DVI, of which value was defined to be zero at emergence, 1.0 at Panicle initiation, 2.0 at heading and 3.0 at maturation. Under this defining condition, DVI at any moment in time can be given by integrating developmental rate, DVR. We have proposed an equation to give DVR as a function of daily mean temperature and day length, and developed a computer program to estimate the parameters of DVR equation from data set on the crop phenology and the environments under field conditions.
Twelve major rice cultivars were grown at 5 different Places which covered almost entire climatic regions in Japan for two years, and measurements were made of the crop phenology and environments. By use of the data thus obtained, the parameters of the DVR equation were determined for the 12 cultivars. The model together with these parameters explained the developmental stages of each cultivar from time course of the environments, within an error of 2 to 3 days.
A realtime prediction system for developmental stage of rice was developed by connecting weather sensors to the computer system in which are built the model for predicting the phenological stage from the course of the environments and data base on past weather conditions for seven locations. A field trial with this system showed that the system predicts rice phenological stage very satisfactory to provide necessary information for the crop managements.

Report

(3 results)
  • 1989 Annual Research Report   Final Research Report Summary
  • 1988 Annual Research Report
  • Research Products

    (32 results)

All Other

All Publications (32 results)

  • [Publications] Takeshi Horie: "A model for evaluating climatic productivity and water balance of irrigated rice and its application to Southeast Asia" Southeast Asian studies. 25(1). 62-74 (1987)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 堀江武: "水稲生育・収量の気象的予測モデル" システム農学. 4(2). 1-9 (1988)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 堀江武: "生育診断予測の意義と方法" 日本作物学会紀事. 58. 460-465 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 堀江武: "イネの発育過程のモデル化と予測に関する研究 第7報.発育動態予測システムの開発" 日本作物学会紀事. 58,別2. 29-30 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 堀江武: "イネの発育過程のモデル化と予測に関する研究 第1報.モデルの基本構造とパラメ-タ推定法および出穂予測への適用" 日本作物学会紀事.

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 中川博視: "イネの発育過程のモデル化と予測に関する研究 第3報.出芽から出穂までを一つの過程としてみたときの発育特性の品種間差異" 日本作物学会紀事. 56,別2. 189-190 (1987)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 中川博視: "イネの発育過程のモデル化と予測に関する研究 第4報.モデルによる日長感応性の解析" 日本作物学会紀事. 57,別1. 179-180 (1988)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 中川博視: "イネの発育過程のモデル化と予測に関する研究 第6報.栄養生長相と生殖生長相の日長感応性の品種間差異の実験的解析" 日本作物学会紀事. 58,別1. 20-21 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 中川博視: "イネの発育過程のモデル化と予測に関する研究 第5報.窒素施肥が発育に及ぼす影響の実験的解析" 日本作物学会紀事. 58,別1. 18-19 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 山本良孝: "気温による水稲発育段階予測 第3報.葉令の異なる苗への適用について" 日本作物学会紀事. 57,別2. 129-130 (1988)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 竹前彬: "発育モデルによる水稲の生育予測について" 中国・四国の農業気象. 2. 93-94 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Horie, T.: "A model for evaluating climatic productivity and water balance of irrigated rice and its application to Southeast Asia." Southeast Asian studies. 25-1. 62-74 (1987)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Horie, T.: "Crop-weather relationship model in rice." J. Japan Agric. System Soc.4-2. 1-9 (1988)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Horie, T.: "Method of crop growth prediction and diagnosis, and their value." Japan Jour. Crop Sci.58-3. 460-465 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Horie, T.: "Modelling and prediction of developmental process in rice 7. Development of realtime prediction system of rice developmental stage." Japan Jour. Crop Sci.58 extra issue 2. 29-30 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Horie, T.: "Modelling and prediction of developmental process in rice 1. Structure and method of parameter estimation of a model for simulating developmental process toward heading (in press)." Japan Jour. Crop Sci.59. (1990)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Nakagawa, H.: "Modelling and prediction of developmental process in rice 3. Varietal difference in developmental rate from emergence to heading." Japan Jour. Crop Sci.56 extra issue 2. 189-190 (1987)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Nakagawa, H.: "Modelling and prediction of developmental process in rice 4. Analysis of photoperiod sensitivity by model." Japan Jour. Crop Sci.57 extra issue 1. 179-180 (1988)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Nakagawa, H.: "Modelling and prediction of developmental process in rice 5. Analysis of influence of nitrogen application rate on the developmental rate in vegetative stage." Japan Jour. Crop Sci.58 extra issue 1. 18-19 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Nakagawa, H.: "Modelling and prediction of developmental process in rice 6. Varietal difference in photoperiod sensitivity in vegetative and reproductive stages." Japan Jour. Crop Sci.58 extra issue 1. 20-21 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Yamamoto, Y.: "Prediction of rice developmental process from air temperature 3. Application of model to seedlings with different leaf age." Japan Jour. Crop Sci.57 extra issue 2. 129-130 (1988)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] Takemae, A.: "Prediction of rice phenological stage by development model." Agric. Meteor. in Chugoku and Shikoku. 2. 93-94 (1989)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
    • Related Report
      1989 Final Research Report Summary
  • [Publications] 堀江武: "生育診断予測の意義と方法" 日本作物学会紀事. 58. 460-465 (1989)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 堀江武: "イネの発育過程のモデル化と予測に関する研究 第7報.発育動態予測システムの開発" 日本作物学会紀事. 58、別2. 29-30 (1989)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 堀江武: "イネの発育過程のモデル化と予測に関する研究 第1報.モデルの基本構造とパラメ-タ推定法および出穂予測への適用" 日本作物学会紀事.

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 中川博視: "イネの発育過程のモデル化と予測に関する研究 第5報.窒素・施肥が発育に及ぼす影響の実験的解析" 日本作物学会紀事. 58、別7. 18-19 (1989)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 中川博視: "イネの発育過程のモデル化と予測に関する研究 第6報.栄養生長相と生殖生長相の日長感応性の品種間差異の実験的解析" 日本作物学会紀事. 58、別1. 20-21 (1989)

    • Related Report
      1989 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 堀江武: システム農学. 4. 1-9 (1988)

    • Related Report
      1988 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 中川博視: 日本作物学会紀事. 57,別1. 79-80 (1988)

    • Related Report
      1988 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 山本良孝: 日本作物学会紀事. 57,別2. 129-130 (1988)

    • Related Report
      1988 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 中川博視: 日本作物学会紀事. 58,別1. (1989)

    • Related Report
      1988 Annual Research Report
  • [Publications] 中川博視: 日本作物学会紀事. 58,別1. (1989)

    • Related Report
      1988 Annual Research Report

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Published: 1987-04-01   Modified: 2016-04-21  

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