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1996 Fiscal Year Final Research Report Summary

Theory and application of integration and co-integration analysis for economic time series

Research Project

Project/Area Number 06451103
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Economic statistics
Research InstitutionHIROSHIMA UNIVERSITY

Principal Investigator

MAEKAWA Koichi  Hiroshima University, Faculty of Economics, Professor, 経済学部, 教授 (20033748)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) ODAKI Mitsuhiro  Hiroshima University, Faculty of Economics, Associate Professor, 経済学部, 助教授 (00194564)
YANO Junnji  Hiroshima University, Faculty of Economics, Associate Professor, 経済学部, 助教授 (40210306)
TSUBAKI Yasukazu  Hiroshima University, Faculty of Economics, Associate Professor, 経済学部, 助教授 (70144805)
GINAMA Isamu  Hiroshima University, Faculty of Economics, Professor, 経済学部, 教授 (30127758)
KITAOKA Takayoshi  Hiroshima University, Faculty of Economics, Professor, 経済学部, 教授 (60116572)
Project Period (FY) 1994 – 1996
Keywordsunit root / cointegration / periodically integration / bootstrap / financial time series / ARCH model / Economic database / macroeconomic time series
Research Abstract

Over the period of 1994-96 we investigated problems of economic time series associated with integrated and co-integrated time series. Outcomes of our research is classified into the following categories :
(1) Theoretical research
・New methods of unit root test (1,2 by K.Maekawa and H,Hisamatsu)
・Asymptotic inference on a regression model with I(1) regressor (3,4 by K.Maekawa)
・Asymptotic inference on SUR model with non-normal errors (6 by K.Maekawa)
・Re-examination of Johansen's test of co-integration (15 by M.Odaki)
・Bootstrap method for time series analysis(16,17 by J.Fukuchi)
(2) Applied research
・Applications of co-integration test to financial time series (7,8 by T.Kitaoka)
・Applications of ARCH and co-integration models to inventory investment (9,10 by I.Ginama)
・Empirical macroeconomics based on time series data (13,14 by J.Yano)
(3) Research on database
・Data base of economic time series (11,12 by Y.Tsubaki)

  • Research Products

    (34 results)

All Other

All Publications (34 results)

  • [Publications] 前川功一,久松博之: "The Distribution of the Durbin-Watson statistic in integrated and near-integrated models" Journal of Econometrics. 61. 367-382 (1994)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 前川功一: "Prewhitened unit root test" Economics Letters. 45. 145-153 (1994)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 前川功一,J,Knight,久松博之: "The exact distribution of the OLS and GLS estimators in regression with an integrated regressors and correlated errors" Mathematics and Computers in Simulation. 39. 273-277 (1995)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 前川功一,山本拓,竹内恵行,畠中道雄: "Estimation in dynamic regression with an integrated process" Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. 49. 279-303 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 前川功一,V.K.Srivastava: "Efficiency properties of feasible generalized least sguares estimators in SUR models under non-normal disturbances" Journal of Econometrics. 66. 99-121 (1995)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 前川功一: "Periodically Integrated Autoregression with a Structural Break" Mathematics and Computers in Simulation. (予定). (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 北岡孝義: "ロンドン・ユーロ円市場とインターバンク市場-共和分検定による金利裁定の検証-" 広島大学経済学部研究双書12. (予定). (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 北岡孝義: "短期金融市場における金融政策の検証" 長崎県立大学論集. 30. (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 宣名眞勇: "在庫投資理論のARCHモデルによる検証" 山口経済学雑誌. 42. 51-76 (1994)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 宣名眞勇: "Conditional vdatility and the production smoothing hypothesis of inventory investment" International Journal of Production Economics. 45. 29-36 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 椿康和: "ネットワーク志向の経済時系列統計資料検索システム" 広島大学経済論叢. 19. 1-16 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 椿康和: "地域情報化と地域ネットワークの課題" 広島大学経済論叢. 20. 45-65 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 矢野順治: "An Alternative Approach to the Money Denand Function for the Japanese Economy" 広島大学年報経済学. 17. (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 矢野順治,黒柳雅明他と共著: "Macroeconomic Stabilization and Monetary Policy of Four Asian Countries,Japan,Korea,Indonesia,and Phillipines : Targets,Effectiveness and Results" 経済企画庁経済研究所「経済分析」. 145. (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 小瀧光博: "多変量自己回帰モデルにおける共和分のためのJohansenの方式における統計的推測の再検討" 広島大学年報経済学. 16. 43-64 (1995)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 福地純一郎,K.B.Athreya: "Bootstrapping extremes of i.i.d.random variables" NIST Special Publication 866 Extreme Value Theory and Applications. 23-29 (1994)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] 福地純一郎,K.B.Athreya: "Confidence intervals for endpoints of a c.d.f.via bootstrap" Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Publications] K.Maekawa: "The distribution of the Durbin-Watson statistie in integrated and near-integrated models (with H.Hisamatu)." Journal of Econometries. Vol.61. 367-382 (1994)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] K.Maekawa: "Prewhitened unit root test" Economics letters. Vol.45. 145-153 (1994)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] K.Maekawa: "The exact distribution of the OLS and GLS estimators in regression with an integrated regressors and correlated errors (with H.Hisamatsu and J.Knight)" Mathematics and Computers in simulation. Vol.39. 273-277 (1995)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] K.Maekawa: "Estimation in dynamic regression with an integrated process (with T.Yamamoto, Y.takeuchi, and M.Hatanaka)" Journal of Statistical Planning and inference. Vol.49. 279-303 (1995)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] K.Maekawa: "Efficiency properties of feasible generalized least squares estimators in SUR models under non-normal disturbances (with V.K.Srivastava)" Journal of Econometrics. Vol.66. 99-121 (1995)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] K.Maekawa: "Periodically integrated autoregression with a structural break" Mathematics and computers in Simulation. (forthcoming in 1997).

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] T.Kitaoka: "London Euroyen Market and Japanese Interbank Market : The cointegration analysis of interest rate arbitrage" Hiroshima University Economics Monograph Series. 11 (forthcoming in 1997).

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] T.Kitaoka: "Interest rate parity and causality in Japanese money market" Bulletin of Ngasaki Prefectural University. Vol.30. (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] I.Ginama: "ARCH test of the theory of inventory investment" Economic Journal of Yamaguchi University. Vol.42. (1994)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] I.Ginama: "Conditional volatility and the production smoothing hypothesis of inventory investment" International Journal of Production Economics. Vol.45. 29-36 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] Y.Tsubaki: "Retrieval system for economic time series data on network environment" The Hiroshima Economic Review. Vol.19. 1-16 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] Y.Tsubaki: "Regional Networks for Regional Information" The Hiroshima Economic Review. Vol.20. 45-65 (1997)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] J.Yano: "An alternative approach to the money demand function for the japanese economy" The Hiroshima Economic Studies. Vol.17. 85-99 (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] J.Yano: "Macrocconomic Stabilization and Monetary Policy of Four Asian Countries, Japan, Korea, Indonesia, and Phillipines : Targets, Effectiveness and Results" The Keizai Bunseki (The Economic Analysis) Economic Research Institute, Economic Planning Agency. (1996)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] M.Odaki: "Are-examination of Johansen 7s statistical inference for cointegration in vector autoregressive models" The Hiroshima Economic Studies. Vol.16. 43-64 (1995)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] J.Fukuchi: "Bootstrapping extremes of i.i.d.rondom variables" NIST Special Publication 866, Extreme Value Theory and Applications. (forthcoming in 1997). 23-29 (1994)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Publications] J.Fukuchi: "Confidence intervals for endpoints of a c.d.f.via bootstrap (with K.B.Athreya)" Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference. (forthcoming in 1997).

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より

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Published: 1999-03-09  

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