2001 Fiscal Year Final Research Report Summary

Commuter Demand Concentration Model and the Application on Tokyo Railway Network

Research Project

Project/Area Number	11450192
Research Category	Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
Allocation Type	Single-year Grants
Section	一般
Research Field	交通工学・国土計画
Research Institution	The University of Tokyo
Principal Investigator	IEDA Hitoshi The Univ. of Tokyo, Graduate School of Engineering, Professor, 大学院・工学系研究科, 教授 (90168089)
Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha)	TERABE Shintaro The Univ. of Tokyo, Graduate School of Engineering, Assistance Professor, 大学院・工学系研究科, 講師 (60302585)
Project Period (FY)	1999 – 2001
Keywords	time-space network / user assignment / railway commuter / flexible working time / disutility of congestion
Research Abstract	In the urban area, development of railway capacity and dispersion of demand are thought to relieve congestion in peak time. In order to evaluate the effects of these measures, a network assignment model based on a time-space network is developed, called the Commuter Demand Concentration Model. Utilizing OD tables, railway capacity data, and information of working time system as input, this model gives congestion levels at each time and at each zone. Then, this model is applied to Tokyo's railway network, and it turned out that it can estimate commuter demand over time with reasonable accuracy. Finally, we can make a forecast for Tokyo's railway demand in the future, considering possible changes in the working system and railway capacity.

(4 results)