2003 Fiscal Year Final Research Report Summary
Interdisciplinary Studies on Long-run Global Grain Supply and Demand Estimates
| Project/Area Number |
12460098
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
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| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
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| Section | 一般 |
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| Research Field |
Agro-economics
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| Research Institution | National University Corporation Tottori University |
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Principal Investigator |
ITO Shoichi National University Corporation Tottori University, Faculty of Agriculture, Professor, 農学部, 教授 (30222425)
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| Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
TUNO Yukindo National University Corporation Tottori University, Professor Emeritus, 名誉教授 (00036287)
INAMOTO Shiro Ryukoku University, Faculty of Economics, Professor, 経済学部, 教授 (80026468)
KAKO Toshiyuki National University Corporation Kobe University, Faculty of Agriculture, Professor, 農学部, 教授 (00121533)
YAMAJI Eiji National University Corporation University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Frontier Sciences, Professor, 農学部, 教授 (10143405)
YAMAMOTO Tahei Arid Land Research Center, Professor, 乾燥地研究センター, 教授 (00032102)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2000 – 2003
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| Keywords | grains / world / supply and demand / long-run estimates / interdisciplinary studies / statistics |
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| Research Abstract |
The global grain supply and demand situation has been facing a new ear. Despite the increases in world population, production of a grain may not necessarily increase. The world wheat production has been stagnated at around 600 million metric ton level since 1990, so as the rice production since 1999. On the other hand, corn production has been continuously increasing surpassing the volume of wheat production during the recent years, and so as the soybean production. Soybean production, currently over 200 million metric tons, may surpass the rice production of 400 million metric tons some time in the near future.
According to the results of this research, production potential of each individual grain in the world is not pessimistic as trumpeted with "population explosion" and "limits of global resources," but production competition and trade competition among the regions and countries may become more serious due to increasingly vital technology innovation for production. Demand competiti
… More
on is also critical. The weakening demand for wheat and rice may be causing lower market prices leading to less production. Therefore, a region or country where technology is getting behind may lose competition and face decreases in production. The agricultural industries and the agribusiness sectors should be aware of this critical situation to come in the future.
In this research, providing information using the web-site was another important role. World Food Statistics & Graphics has been set up in this research. It provided world supply and demand of the major grains (rice, wheat, corn and soybeans) and livestock products (broiler, turkey, cheese, pork and beef) for about 200 regions and countries from 1960 through current. The original data is from the US Department of Agriculture's PS&D Online. In this research, the data have been rearranged and shown both numerical data as well as graphics, so that the viewers can easily recognize the change in situation over time. The web-site is composed of four languages ; Japanese, English, Spanish and Chinese. World market prices for the major grains are also provided in the web-site. The address is :
http://worldfood.muses.tottori-u.ac.jp Less
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[Book] アグリビジネス2002
Author(s)
稲本志良, 河合明宣
Total Pages
226
Publisher
放送大学教育振興会
Description
「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
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[Book] 農と食とフードシステム2002
Author(s)
稲本志良, 大西緝, 斎藤修, 安村碩之
Total Pages
356
Publisher
農林統計協会
Description
「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
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