2005 Fiscal Year Final Research Report Summary
Nation-wide Longitudinal Survey Study on Voting Behavior in the Early 21st Century
Project/Area Number |
13001001
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Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Specially Promoted Research
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Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
Review Section |
Humanities and Social Sciences
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Research Institution | The University of Tokyo |
Principal Investigator |
IKEDA Kenichi The University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Humanities and Sociology, Professor, 大学院・人文社会系研究科, 教授 (30151286)
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Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
KOBAYASHI Yoshiaki Keio University, Faculty of Law, Professor, 法学部, 教授 (40153655)
HIRANO Hiroshi Gakushuin University, Faculty of Law, Professor, 法学部, 教授 (90222249)
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Project Period (FY) |
2001 – 2005
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Keywords | Voting behavior / Panel survey / National Election survey / Political attitudes / House of Councilors Election / House of Representatives Election / Social capital theory / Rational choice |
Research Abstract |
The Japanese Election Study III (JES3) project covers Japanese National Elections from 2001 to 2005. It is a panel survey with 9 waves for Japanese national sample, which extends the four major national elections under the Koizumi's Cabinet; the 2001 and 2004 House of Councilors Elections and 2003 and 2005 House of Representatives Elections. The data was designed to make face-to-face interviews before and after each of the elections (with two exceptions; the 2001 post-election telephone survey, and the 2003 General Local Election mail survey). Out of the 7 face-to-face interviews, 537 respondents were interviewed in all of these occasions. N for 6 times or more interviewed was 1064, and 5 times or more was 1352. As for each Election N of the respondents who were interviewed both of the pre and post survey was; for 2001, N=1253; for 2003, N=1769; for 2004, N=1810; for 2005, N=1428. As political engagement and attitudes becoming less predictable by social demographic factors, more micro-level psychological factors are gaining importance. Meanwhile, voters' response toward the changing situations of political system, party system, media and economy remains important issues. Considering these, the main research topics were as follows; 1. Causal analyses on the effects of reform of election system. 2. Analyses of Japanese characteristics in volunteer organizations and social communication in terms of political engagement. 3. Investigation of revelations of rational choice in election participation and voting behavior. 4. Measuring effects of governmental economic achievements toward voting behavior. 5. Investigating social psychological models of the dynamics in party cognition. 6. Analyses of the effects of socially shared information formation (the foundation of public opinions) toward voting behavior. Our final results will be released in English. Also a part of the 2004 data was released as a part of CSES2 project (http://www.cses.org/).
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