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2006 Fiscal Year Final Research Report Summary

Statistical Analysis of Structure using Latent Variable Model

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15200022
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Statistical science
Research InstitutionNagoya University

Principal Investigator

WAGO Hajime  Nagoya University, Graduate School of Economics, Professor., 大学院経済学研究科, 教授 (00091934)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) SHIGEMASU Kazuo  University of Tokyo, Dept. of Cognitive and Behavioral Science, Professor., 大学院総合文化研究科, 教授 (90091701)
TERUI Nobuhiko  Tohoku University, Graduate School of Economics, Professor., 大学院経済学研究科, 教授 (50207495)
OMORI Yoshiro  University of Tokyo, Graduate School of Economics, Associate Professor, 大学院経済学研究科, 助教授 (60251188)
KOZUMI Hideo  Kobe University, Grad. Sch. of Business Administration, Professor, 大学院経営学研究科, 教授 (10261273)
WATANABE Toshiaki  Hitotsubashi University, Economic Research Institute, Professor, 経済研究所, 教授 (90254135)
Project Period (FY) 2003 – 2006
Keywordslatent variable model / spatio-temporal model / Bayes estimation / hierarchical model / Markov chain Monte Carlo Method / model selection / panel data analysis / state space model
Research Abstract

In this research, we investigate the latent variable models mainly from the view points of the empirical method of modeling, the Bayesian estimation, and the model comparison. Making use of the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method, which is based on simulation, we developed efficient estimation methods and usage of Bayesian statistical models. This is the last period of our four-year-project. We planned to finalize the project by summarizing the each investigator's researches and the research papers submitted in the five international symposiums of this project. We will be searching for the direction of the researches for the future.
In 2006, we held two international symposiums in Japan and a workshop jointly with IAS (Institute for Advanced Studies) of Austria. At the first symposium, in September, we invited five famous foreign researchers, A. C. Harvey, H. van Dijk, A. C. Cameron, C. Meghir, and J. M. Robin. We also had a significant exchange with young researchers who presenting … More excellent research papers at the University of Tokyo. This conference was held under the title of "Recent Development of the Applied Econometrics" jointly with Japan Statistical Association 75'th anniversary Symposium. The second meeting "International Workshop on Bayesian Statistics and Applied Econometrics" was held at Tohoku University in November. We invited six world-known econometricians from abroad. This workshop centered on the topics of the computational method according to the modeling mainly used by Bayes hierarchical model, etc. There were totally 21 presentations given by Geweke, Chib, Poirier, Tsay, Jeriazkov, Tsurumi, and other Japanese researchers. In abroad, "JEuBES 2006, 1^<st> Japanese-European Bayesian Econometrics and Statistics Meeting", which we co-sponsored, was held at IAS in Vienna. 5 group-members from Japan and 13 participants from Europe and the US joined the meeting. The research topics were about Bayes models, the hierarchical structures, and spatial models, etc. In June, four people attended the Valencia international meeting on Bayesian Statistics and in August one attended the Joint Statistical Meeting held at U.S.A. It will be necessary to take into account a common modeling method about many similar models in more complex systems in the future. Less

  • Research Products

    (23 results)

All 2007 2006 2005

All Journal Article (21 results) Book (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Model Choice for Panel Spatial Models : Crime Modeling in Japan2007

    • Author(s)
      Kakamu, K., H. Wago
    • Journal Title

      proceedings of GfKl 2006 conference (forthcoming)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Econometrics handbook2007

    • Author(s)
      T.Minotani, K.Nawata, H.wago
    • Journal Title

      Asakura Publishing (forthcoming)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] 打ち切りおよびトランケーションの下でのパラメータ推定に及ぼす切断点の影響評価2006

    • Author(s)
      岩崎 学, 阿部貴行
    • Journal Title

      応用統計学 35

      Pages: 49-60

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of covariance matrices in fixed and mixed effects linear models2006

    • Author(s)
      T.Kubokawa, M.-T.Tsai
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Multivariate Analysis 97

      Pages: 2242-2261

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] 線形混合モデルと小地域推定応用統計学2006

    • Author(s)
      久保川達也
    • Journal Title

      応用統計学 35-3(forthcoming)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Estimating Heterogeneous Price Thresholds2006

    • Author(s)
      Nobuhiko Terui, Wirawan Dony Dahana
    • Journal Title

      Marketing Science 25-4

      Pages: 384-391

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Price customization using price thresholds estimated from scanner panel data2006

    • Author(s)
      Nobuhiko Terui, Wirawan Dony Dahana
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Interactive Marketing 20-3

      Pages: 58-71

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] 景気転換時点の予測2006

    • Author(s)
      大屋幸輔
    • Journal Title

      日経研月報 3月号

      Pages: 12-17

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Stochastic volatility model with leverage : fast likelihood inference2006

    • Author(s)
      Omori, Y., Chib, S., Shephard, N., Nakajima, J.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Econometrics (forthcoming)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] The influences of random effects on univariate and Bivariate discrete proportional hazards models2006

    • Author(s)
      Omori, Y., Johnson, R.A.
    • Journal Title

      Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods 35

      Pages: 1757-1764

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Effects of the Bank of Japan's Intervention on Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate Volatility2006

    • Author(s)
      T.Watanabe, K.Harada
    • Journal Title

      Journal of the Japanese and International Economies 20-1

      Pages: 99-111

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Model Choice for Panel Spatial Models : Crime Modeling in Japan,2006

    • Author(s)
      Kakamu, K., H. Wago
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of GfKI 2006 conference. (Forthcoming)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Effective evaluation of truncation point of parameter estimation under censoring or truncation2006

    • Author(s)
      Iwasaki, M., T. Abe
    • Journal Title

      Aplllied Statistics 35

      Pages: 49-60

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Prediction of Changing Date of Business Conditions2006

    • Author(s)
      Oya, kosuke
    • Journal Title

      Monthly Report of Japanese Economy, March 12-17

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] The influences of random effects on univariate and Bivariate discrete proportional hazards models2006

    • Author(s)
      Omori, Y., Chib, S., Shephard, N., Nakajima, J.
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Econometrics (forthcoming)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] linear mixed model and small area estimate applied statistics2006

    • Author(s)
      T.Kubokawa
    • Journal Title

      Applied Statistics 35-3(forcoming)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] macroeconomics and survey data2006

    • Author(s)
      S.kanoh
    • Journal Title

      Iwanami Publishing

      Pages: 1-238

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Spatial Interaction of Crime Incidents in Japan2005

    • Author(s)
      Kakamu, K., W.Polasek, H.Wago
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of International Congress on Modeling and Simulations

      Pages: 407-413

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] 景気指標とサーベイデータ2005

    • Author(s)
      加納 悟
    • Journal Title

      日経研月報 11月号

      Pages: 18-24

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Spatial Interaction of Crime Incidents in Japan,2005

    • Author(s)
      Kakamu, K., W.Polasek, H.Wago
    • Journal Title

      Proceedings of International Congress on Modeling and Simulations 407-413

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Business Index and Survey Data2005

    • Author(s)
      Kanoh, Satoru
    • Journal Title

      Monthly Report of Japanese Economy, November 18-24

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Book] 計量経済学ハンドブック2007

    • Author(s)
      箕谷, 縄田, 和合編
    • Publisher
      朝倉書店(forthcoming)
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Book] マクロ経済分析とサーベイデータ2006

    • Author(s)
      加納 悟
    • Total Pages
      238
    • Publisher
      岩波書店
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より

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Published: 2008-05-27  

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