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2006 Fiscal Year Final Research Report Summary

Future projection of atmospheric environmental change by anthropogenic activities in Asia-Future chemical weather mapping-

Research Project

Project/Area Number 15310011
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field Environmental dynamic analysis
Research InstitutionNational Instiute for Environmental Studies (2004-2006)
Shizuoka University (2003)

Principal Investigator

OHARA Toshimasa  National Institute for Environmental Studies, Asian Environment Research Group, Chief, アジア自然共生研究グループ, 室長 (80313930)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) YAN Xiaoyuan  Japan Agency for Marine-earth Science and Technology, Frontier Research Center for Global Change, Researcher, 地球環境フロンティア研究センター, 研究員 (20360761)
SUGATA Seiji  National Institute for Environmental Studies, Asian Environment Research Group, Senior Researcher, アジア自然共生研究グループ, 主任研究員 (40260187)
Project Period (FY) 2003 – 2006
KeywordsAsia / atmospheric environment / future projection / chemical weather map / regional air pollution / transboundary air pollution / emission inventory / chemical transport model
Research Abstract

In Asian developing countries, including China, air pollution emissions caused by anthropogenic activities have increased rapidly. For example, in China, NOx emissions increased by 2.5 times during 1980-2003; this upward tendency has been exacerbated since 2000. These emission increases trigger regional air pollution including tropospheric ozone and aerosols and undesired influences on health, food production, and ecosystems. Moreover, regional air pollution influences climate change, presenting the calamitous possibility of considerable damage to both humans and ecosystems combined with air pollution. In addition, air pollution in east Asia influences global-scale air quality and is recognized as a worldwide environmental issue. The aim of this study is (1) future projections of emissions for air pollutants in Asia, (2) development of modeling system for prediction of atmospheric environmental change, (3) chemical weather mapping of tropospheric ozone and aerosols. Future projections for 2020, we has provided three types of emissions data based on three emissions scenarios of REF, PSC, and PFC for China and emissions data based on REF for other countries. The projected PSC NOx emission caused a slight decrease (-10%) during 2000-2020 in China, but the other scenarios imparted a large increase (39% for the REF and 128% for the PFC). Annually averaged ozone concentrations increased by approximately 5 ppbv because of changes in anthropogenic emission for 2000-2020 (REF) over northeast Asia including central and east China, the Korean Peninsula, and parts of Japan. Additionally, the projected PFC emissions imply an increase of monthly averaged ozone of more than 20 ppbv in the North China Plain. Surface ozone under the PFC scenario is also enhanced in Japan during 2000-2020 in spite of the reduction of NOx emission in Japan.

  • Research Products

    (36 results)

All 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 Other

All Journal Article (36 results)

  • [Journal Article] Systematic analysis of interannual and seasonal variations of model-simulated tropospheric NO2 in Asia and comparison with GOME-satellite data2007

    • Author(s)
      Uno, Itsushi
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 7

      Pages: 1671-1681

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] An Asian emission inventory of anthropogenic emission sources for the period 1980-20202007

    • Author(s)
      Ohara, Toshimasa
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussion 7

      Pages: 6843-6902

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Variation of the increase trend of tropospheric NO2 over Central East China during the past decade2007

    • Author(s)
      He, Youjiang
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric Environment 41(印刷中)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Systematic analysis of interannual and seasonal variations of model-simulated tropospheric NO2 in Asia and comparison with GOME-satellite data2007

    • Author(s)
      Uno, I.
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric Chemistry and physics 7

      Pages: 1671-1681

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] An Asian emission inventory of anthropogenic emission sources for the period 1980-20202007

    • Author(s)
      Ohara, T.
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussion 7

      Pages: 6843-6902

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Analysis of seasonal variation of ozone in the boundary layer in East Asia using the Community Multi-scale Air Quality model : What controls surface ozone level over Japan?2006

    • Author(s)
      Yamaji, Kazuyo
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric Environment 40

      Pages: 1856-1868

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Verification of Energy Consumption in China during 1996-2003 by Using Satellite Observational Data2006

    • Author(s)
      Akimoto, Hajime
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric Environment 40

      Pages: 7663-7667

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Bottom-up estimates of biomass burning in mainland China2006

    • Author(s)
      Yan, Xiaoyuan
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric Environment 40

      Pages: 5262-5273

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Analysis of seasonal variation of ozone in the boundary layer in East Asia using the Community Multi-scale Air Quality model : "What controls surface ozone level over Japan?"2006

    • Author(s)
      Yamaji, K.
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric Environment 40

      Pages: 1856-1868

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Verification of Energy Consumption in China during 1996-2003 by Using Satellite Observational Data2006

    • Author(s)
      Akimoto, H.
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric Environment 40

      Pages: 7663-7667

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Bottom-up estimates of biomass burning in mainland China2006

    • Author(s)
      Yan, X.
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric Environment 40

      Pages: 5262-5273

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] 数値シミュレーションモデルRAMS/HYPACTによる東アジアにおける硫黄化合物の年間ソース・リセプター解析2005

    • Author(s)
      井上雅道
    • Journal Title

      エアロゾル研究 20

      Pages: 333-344

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] RAMS/CMAQの連携システムによるアジア域の物質輸送シミュレーションシステムの構築2005

    • Author(s)
      鵜野伊津志
    • Journal Title

      大気環境学会誌 40

      Pages: 148-164

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Statistical modeling of global soil NOx emissions2005

    • Author(s)
      Yan, Xiaoyuan
    • Journal Title

      Global Biogeochemical Cycles 19

      Pages: GB3019

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Significant latitudinal gradient in the surface ozone spring maximum over East Asia2005

    • Author(s)
      Tanimoto, Hiroshi
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letter 32

      Pages: L21805

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Significant latitudinal gradient in the surface ozone spring maximum over East Asia2005

    • Author(s)
      Tanimoto, H.
    • Journal Title

      Geophysical Research Letter 32, L21805

      Pages: doi:10.1029/2005GL023514

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Statistical modeling of global soil NOx emissions2005

    • Author(s)
      Yan, X.
    • Journal Title

      Global Biogeochemical Cycles 19, GB3019

      Pages: doi:10.1029/2004GB002276

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Annual Source-receptor Relationships of Sulfur in East Asia Using a Numerical Simulation Model RAMS/HYPACT2005

    • Author(s)
      Inoue, M.
    • Journal Title

      J.Aerosol Res. 20

      Pages: 333-344

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Development of the RAMS/CMAQ Asian Scale Chemical Transport Modeling System2005

    • Author(s)
      Uno, I.
    • Journal Title

      J.Jpn.Soc.Atmos.Environ. 40

      Pages: 148-164

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] 東アジアにおける硫黄化合物のソース・リセプター解析-地域気象モデルと結合した物質輸送モデルによるシミュレーション-2004

    • Author(s)
      片山学
    • Journal Title

      大気環境学会誌 39

      Pages: 200-217

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] 東アジアにおける炭素粒子動態のモデル解析2004

    • Author(s)
      谷本直隆
    • Journal Title

      大気環境学会誌 39

      Pages: 229-245

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Regional-specific emission inventory for NH3, N2O, and CH4 via animal farming in South, Southeast, and East Asia2004

    • Author(s)
      Yamaji, Kazuyo
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric Environment 38

      Pages: 7111-7121

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Regional-specific emission inventory for NH3, N20, and CH4 via animal farming in South, Southeast, and East Asia2004

    • Author(s)
      Yamaji, K.
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric Environment 38

      Pages: 7111-7121

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Source-receptor Analysis for Sulfur Compounds in East Asia by a Regional Transport Modeling System Coupled with a Meteorological Model2004

    • Author(s)
      Katayama, M.
    • Journal Title

      J.Jpn.Soc.Atmos.Environ. 39

      Pages: 200-217

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] A model Analysis of Carbonaceous Aerosol Dynamics in East Asia During Spring 20012004

    • Author(s)
      Tanimoto, N.
    • Journal Title

      J.Jpn.Soc.Atmos.Environ. 39

      Pages: 229-245

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Methane emission from rice fields in mainland China : Amount and seasonal and spatial distribution2003

    • Author(s)
      Yan, Xiaoyuan
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Geophysical Research 108

      Pages: 4505-4518

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Development of region-specific emission factors and estimation of methane emission from rice field in East, Southeast and south Asian countries2003

    • Author(s)
      Yan, Xiaoyuan
    • Journal Title

      Global Change Biology 9

      Pages: 237-254

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of nitrous oxide, nitric oxide and ammonia emissions from croplands in East, Southeast and South Asia2003

    • Author(s)
      Yan, Xiaoyuan
    • Journal Title

      Global Change Biology 9

      Pages: 1080-1096

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Determining fertilizer-induced NO emission ratio from soils by a statistical distribution model2003

    • Author(s)
      Yan, Xiaoyuan
    • Journal Title

      Biol Fertil Soils 39

      Pages: 45-50

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] A country-specific, high-resolution emission inventory for methane from livestock in Asia in 20002003

    • Author(s)
      Yamaji, Kazuyo
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric Environment 37

      Pages: 4393-4406

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Methane emission from rice fields in mainland China : Amount and seasonal and spatial distribution2003

    • Author(s)
      Yan, X.
    • Journal Title

      J.Geophys.Res. 108

      Pages: 4505-4518

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Development of region-specific emission factors and estimation of methane emission from rice field in East, Southeast and south Asian countries)2003

    • Author(s)
      Yan, X.
    • Journal Title

      Global.Change Biology 9

      Pages: 237-254

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Estimation of nitrous oxide, nitric oxide and ammonia emissions from croplands in East, Southeast and South Asia2003

    • Author(s)
      Yan, X.
    • Journal Title

      Global Change Biology 9

      Pages: 1080-1096

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Determining fertilizer-induced NO emission ratio from soils by a statistical distribution model2003

    • Author(s)
      Yan, X.
    • Journal Title

      Biol Fertil Soils 39

      Pages: 45-50

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] A country-specific, high-resolution emission inventory for methane from livestock in Asia in 20002003

    • Author(s)
      Yamaji, K.
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric Environment 37

      Pages: 4393-4406

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] Variation of the increase trend of tropospheric NO_2 over Central East China during the past decade

    • Author(s)
      He, Y.
    • Journal Title

      Atmospheric Environment (in press)

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より

URL: 

Published: 2008-05-27  

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