Historical transition and prediction of Northern Pacificecosystem associated with human impact and climate change

2008 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

• Project/Area Number: 16108002
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (S)
• Allocation Type: Single-year Grants
• Research Field: General fisheries
• Research Institution: Hokkaido University
• Principal Investigator: KISHI Michio Hokkaido University, 大学院・水産科学研究院, 教授 (90214767)
• Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha): SAKURAI Yasunori 北海道大学, 大学院・水産科学研究院, 教授 (30196133) ; SAITOH Sei-ichi 北海道大学, 大学院・水産科学研究院, 教授 (70250503) ; IIDA Kohji 北海道大学, 大学院・水産科学研究院, 教授 (40142707) ; KAERIYAMA Masahide 北海道大学, 大学院・水産科学研究院, 教授 (80305937) ; ISODA Yutaka 北海道大学, 大学院・水産科学研究院, 准教授 (10193393) ; WATANUKI Yutaka 北海道大学, 大学院・水産科学研究院, 准教授 (40192819) ; YAMAGUCHI Atsushi 北海道大学, 大学院・水産科学研究院, 准教授 (50344495) ; IKEDA Tsutomu 北海道大学, 大学院・水産科学研究院, 教授 (80281799) ; AOKI Ichiro 東京大学, 大学院・農学生命科学研究科, 教授 (40114350) ; KIMURA Shingo 東京大学, 大学院・新領域創成科学研究科, 教授 (90202043) ; KOMATSU Teruhisa 東京大学, 海洋研究所, 准教授 (60215390)
• Co-Investigator(Renkei-kenkyūsha): MATSUDA Hiroyuki 横浜国立大学, 大学院・環境情報研究院, 教授 (70190478) ; SUGIMOTO Takashige 東海大学, 海洋研究所, 教授 (40004428)
• Project Period (FY): 2004 – 2008
• Keywords: 水産海洋学 / 海洋生態系 / モデル / 黒潮 / 親潮

Research Abstract

日本周辺の黒潮・親潮・対馬暖流の各生態系を対象として, (1) 気候変化に伴う海洋環境と生産力の歴史的変化が生態系構造と機能, 特に低次栄養段階生物の生産, 種多様性, 卓越種交替にどのような影響を与えてきたか(ボトムアップコントロール), (2) 高次生物と漁業活動が各生態系の構造と機能にどのように影響してきたか(トップダウンコントロール), (3) 物理-低次生産-高次生産-資源利用に関する多様なモデルを作成して20世紀以降の海洋生態系の歴史的変遷を評価し, (4) 将来の気候変化と人間活動に応答する生態系変化を予測するための生態系モデルを構築して, 日本周辺の海洋生態系の多様性保全と生物資源の最適な資源利用方策を策定することを目標とする。

Research Products

• [Journal Article] Population dynamics model of Copepoda (Neocalanus cristatus) in the northwestern subarctic Pacific (2008)
  • Author(s): Terui, T. and M. J. Kishi
  • Journal Title: Ecological Modelling 215 Pages: 77-88
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Albacore (Thunnusalalunga) fishing ground in relation to oceanographic conditions in the western North Pacific Ocean using remotely sensed satellite data (2008)
  • Author(s): Zainuddin, M. and K. Saitoh, and S. -I. Saitoh
  • Journal Title: Fisheries Oceanography 17(2) Pages: 61-73
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Structure, biomass distribution and trophodynamics of the pelagic ecosystem in the Oyashio region, western subarctic Pacific (2008)
  • Author(s): T. Ikeda, N. Shiga, A. Yamaguchi
  • Journal Title: Journal of Oceanography 64(3) Pages: 339-354
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Forage fish of the Pacific Rim as revealed by diet for a piscivorous seabird : synchrony and relationships with SST (2008)
  • Author(s): Thayer, J. A., Bertram, D. F., Hatch, S. A., Hipfner, M. J., Slater, L., Sydeman, W. J., Watanuki, Y
  • Journal Title: Canadian Journal of Fisheries & Aquatic Sciences 65 Pages: 1-12
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Optimal fishing policies that maximize sustainable ecosystem services (2008)
  • Author(s): Matsuda, H., Makino, M., Kotani, K.,K. Tsukamoto, T. Kawamura, T. Takeuchi, T. D. Beard, Jr., M. J. Kaiser
  • Journal Title: Fisheries for Global Welfare and Environment, 5th World Fisheries Congress 2008, Terrapub, Tokyo Pages: 359-369
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Expanding fisheries co-management to ecosystem-based management : A case in the Shiretoko World Natural Heritagearea, Japan (2008)
  • Author(s): M. Makino, H. Matsuda, and Y. Sakurai
  • Journal Title: Marine Policy doi : 10.1016/j.marpol
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] An overview of the Oyashio ecosystem (2007)
  • Author(s): Sakurai, Y.
  • Journal Title: Deep-sea Research II 54 Pages: 2526-2542
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] 生物エネルギーモデルを用いた日本系サケ(Oncorhynchus keta)の成長に影響を及ぼす環境因子の解析 (2007)
  • Author(s): 亀澤泰子, 東屋知範, 永沢亨, 岸道郎
  • Journal Title: 水産海洋研究 71 Pages: 87-96
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] NEMURO-a lower trophic level model for the North Pacific marine ecosystem (2007)
  • Author(s): Kishi, M. J., D. L. Eslinger, M. Kashiwai, B. A. Megrey, D. M. Ware, F. E. Werner, 他22名
  • Journal Title: Ecological Modeling 202 Pages: 12-25
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Presentation] What affects on the growth and stock ofchum salmon, walley pollac, and commonsquid in the Northern Pacific (2008)
  • Author(s): Kishi, M.J., Y. Sakurai, and M. Kaeriyama
  • Organizer: PICES 17th Annual Meeting
  • Place of Presentation: 大連, 中国
  • Year and Date: 2008-10-30
• [Presentation] Comparison of Simulated Particle Fluxes using NEMURO and other ecosystem modelsin the western North Pacific (2008)
  • Author(s): Kishi, M
  • Organizer: 2008 ESSAS (Ecosystem Study in Sub-Arctic Seas) Annual Science and SSC Meetings
  • Place of Presentation: Halifax, Canada
  • Year and Date: 2008-09-17
• [Presentation] What will happen on the stock of chum salmon, walleye pollack, and common squid in the Northern Pacific? (2008)
  • Author(s): Kishi, M
  • Organizer: International Symposium on Effects of climate change on the world's oceans
  • Place of Presentation: Gijon, Spain
  • Year and Date: 2008-05-19
• [Presentation] Timing of breeding and prey switching in Rhinoceros Auklets ; match-mismatch of the phenology explains between year variation of chick growth (2007)
  • Author(s): Watanuki, Y., Ito, M., Deguchi, T., Minobe, S
  • Organizer: PICES 15th Annual Meeting
  • Place of Presentation: Victoria, Canada
  • Year and Date: 2007-11-02