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2007 Fiscal Year Final Research Report Summary

Study of Dynamic Processes of Infrastructure Planning Corresponding to the Population Changes in Quantity and Quality

Research Project

Project/Area Number 16206052
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field 交通工学・国土計画
Research InstitutionTohoku University

Principal Investigator

ANDO Asao  Tohoku University, Graduate School of Information Sciences, Professor (80159524)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) MORISUGI Hisayoshi  Tohoku University, Graduate School of Information Sciences, Professor Emeritus (80026161)
SASAKI Komei  Tohoku University, Graduate School of Information Sciences, Professor Emeritus (10007148)
AKAMATSU Takashi  Tohoku University, Graduate School of Information Sciences, Professor (90262964)
FUKUYAMA Kei  Tottori University, Graduate School of Engineering, Professor (30273882)
KONO Tastuhito  Tohoku University, Graduate School of Information Sciences, Associate Professor (00344713)
Project Period (FY) 2004 – 2007
Keywordspopulation changes in quantity and quality / urban structural analysis / dynamic analysis / new economic geography / location-competition game / spatial CGE model / cost-benefit analysis / spatial time-series econometrics
Research Abstract

A rapid population decrease happens in Japan as a result of the fertility decline. There is no problem in population decrease itself from the viewpoint of the resource allocation. Econom ical and/or social strains may occur in the transitional phase. The population is changing qualitatively, too. A decrease in labor force alters production and demands for goods and services. On the other hand, the increase in fossil fuel consumption, which caused by population growth and improving living standards in developing countries, is more important issue for the entire world. This is the reason why a phrase "quantitative and qualitative change in the population" is included in the title of this research instead of a phrase "declining birthrate and an aging population". "City structural analysis" and "dynamics analysis" are other main keywords. In traditional urban planning and land planning in Japan, assuming economic growth, the goal was maximizing social welfare. We should focus on quality and selective withdrawal in the future. This study aimed at a comprehensive study on analysis and evaluation techniques appropriate for the situation of population decline.
This research report includes 11 theoretical or empirical articles. They are related with any of the three keywords. We classified the nine thesis based on modeling the space, and composed three chapters of them. These are (1) analysis of changes in the urban population, (2) dynamic analysis model of regional population change, and (3) a spatiotemporal analysis of discrete-space model. Another chapter is composed of two papers in which the falling birthrate and aging are analyzed from original aspects. Quantitative and qualitative changes in the population are the theme that is important in both the land development program and the macroeconomics. We are going to continue a multidirectional study aiming at more useful result.

  • Research Products

    (11 results)

All 2007 2006 2005 2004 Other

All Journal Article (6 results) (of which Peer Reviewed: 3 results) Presentation (3 results) Book (1 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] 隣接自治体によるNIMBY施設の個別整備と都市形状2005

    • Author(s)
      安藤朝夫
    • Journal Title

      都市計画論文集 40

      Pages: 151-156

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] The Locations of Individual NIMBY Facilities Built by Neighboring Communities and Urban Configuration2005

    • Author(s)
      Asao Ando
    • Journal Title

      Papers of the City Planning Institute of Japan 40(3)

      Pages: 151-156

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] The Space-Time Structure of Land Prices in Japanese Metropolitan Are as2004

    • Author(s)
      Ando, A., R. Uchida
    • Journal Title

      Annals of Regional Science 38

      Pages: 655-674

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] 価格差を考慮した中国経済のSCGEモデル : 地域間産業連関表による検証と実証分析2004

    • Author(s)
      孟渤, 安藤朝夫
    • Journal Title

      土木学会論文集D 62

      Pages: 145-156

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A SCGE Model of Chinese Economy Considering Regional Price Differentials: Comparison with an Interregional I-O Table and Some Empirical Results2004

    • Author(s)
      Bo Meng, Asao Ando
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Infrastructure Planning and Management 62(1)

      Pages: 145-156

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Journal Article] The Space-Time Structure of Land Prices in Japanese Metropolitan Areas2004

    • Author(s)
      Asao Ando, Ryuichi Uchida
    • Journal Title

      Annals of Regional Science 38(4)

      Pages: 655-674

    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Presentation] A Recursive Model for Economic Evaluation of Global Warming and Space-Time Resolutions2007

    • Author(s)
      Ando, A., K. Nakajima
    • Organizer
      Joint Seminar at North-East University
    • Place of Presentation
      Shenyang
    • Year and Date
      20070300
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Presentation] A Recursive Model for Economic Evaluation of Global Warming and Space-Time Resolutions2006

    • Author(s)
      Ando, A., K. Nakajima
    • Organizer
      53rd NRSA Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Toronto, Canada
    • Year and Date
      2006-11-17
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Presentation] A Recursive Model for Economic Evaluation of Global Warming and Space-Time Resolutions2006

    • Author(s)
      Ando, A., K. Nakajima
    • Organizer
      53rd NRSA Meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      Toronto, and Joint Seminar at North-East University, Mar. 2007, Shenyang.
    • Year and Date
      2006-11-17
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
  • [Book] 日本における地域間計量モデル分析の系譜 : 交通投資の社会経済効果測定のために2007

    • Author(s)
      佐々木公明, 国久荘太郎
    • Total Pages
      1-224
    • Publisher
      東北大学出版
    • Description
      「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
  • [Remarks] 「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より

    • URL

      http://www.se.is.tohoku.ac.jp/~ando/kaken_arch/chapterl.pdf

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Published: 2010-06-09  

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