2007 Fiscal Year Final Research Report Summary
Economic Analysis of Declining Fertility
| Project/Area Number |
17203020
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (A)
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| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
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| Section | 一般 |
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| Research Field |
Economic policy
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| Research Institution | Hitotsubashi University |
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Principal Investigator |
KITAMURA Yukinobu Hitotsubashi University, Institute of Economic Research, Professor (70313442)
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| Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
SAITO Osamu Hitotsubashi University, Institute of Economic Research, Professor (40051867)
WATANABE Tsutomu Hitotsubashi University, Institute of Economic Research, Professor (90313444)
IWAISAKO Tokuo Hitotsubashi University, Institute of Economic Research, Associate Professor (90292523)
OSHIO Takashi Kobe University, Graduate School of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Professor (50268132)
HIGUCHI Yoshio Keio University, Faculty of Business and Commerce, Professor (20119001)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2005 – 2007
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| Keywords | marriage / cohort effect / fertility rate / labor market for men / seniority wage / employment for the elderly / long-term care insurance / hospitalization for non-medical |
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| Research Abstract |
1. Marriage involves economic decisions that encompass different generations. This is because such factors as cohabitation with parents, parents' incomes, and the amount of income transfer from parents considerably affect the marriage probability.
2. The existence of a cohort effect in the labor market was confirmed, namely, a strong tendency for the cohort with a high unemployment rate immediately before graduation to be continuously unemployed or atypically employed in the future. In addition, it was clarified that this cohort effect was especially apparent among those who only graduated from junior high school or high school.
3. Up until recently, the main factors contributing to the decrease in the birthrate of Japan were on the female side, such as less preference for a child, and higher academic qualifications and careers in the labor market. However, the labor market demand for young men is expected to increase for the coming several years as postwar baby boomers retire en masse,
… More
and as a result, a positive effect on the birthrate is also expected.
4. The steeper a seniority wage curve is in a company, the more likely its employees retire in the first half of their 50s, and in order for the companies to effectively use aged labor, treatments based on seniority must be reviewed. Moreover, the retirement rate is low in companies that aim to evaluate the performance of the aged workers fairly and have a training system for elderly employees. Further, the retirement rate for over 55 year olds is lower in companies that have a high rate of employees with shorter working hours.
5. The purpose of the long term care insurance introduced in Japan in fiscal 2000 was to correct hospitalization for nonmedical reasons, and to make medical expense efficient. Whether the purpose was actually achieved was examined using the national health insurance receipt data which found that in designated hospitals, the discharge rate of the elderly dramatically increased for a while after the introduction of the long term care insurance, but already in 2002, 2 years after the introduction, the rate went down. Thus it can be said that effects of the introduction of the long term care insurance on long-term in-patient including hospitalization for nonmedical reasons remained temporary. Less
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Research Products
(179 results)
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[Journal Article] Ageing and Employment in Japan2007
Author(s)
Genda, Y., Teruyama, H., Ohta, S., Kambayashi, R., Ishihara, M.
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Journal Title
Ageing and the Labor Market in Japan, ed. by K. Hamada and H. Kato, Cheltenham
Pages: 1-23
Description
「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
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[Journal Article] Ageing and Employment in Japan2007
Author(s)
Genda, Y, Teruyama, H, Ohta, S, Kambayashi, R, Ishihara, M
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Journal Title
Ageing and the Labor Market in Japan, ed. by K. Hamada & H. Kato, Cheltenham
Pages: 1-23
Description
「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
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[Journal Article] Demography and Ageing2006
Author(s)
Ogawa, N, Takayama, N.
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Journal Title
The Oxford Handbook of Pensions and Retirment Income, Oxford: Oxford University Press
Pages: 163-182
Description
「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
Peer Reviewed
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[Journal Article] Demography and Ageing2006
Author(s)
Ogawa, N., Takayama, N
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Journal Title
The Oxford Handbook of Pensions and Retirment Income, (Oxford : Oxford University Press)
Pages: 163-182
Description
「研究成果報告書概要(欧文)」より
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[Book] 少子化の経済分析2006
Author(s)
高山憲之・斎藤修(編)
Total Pages
286
Publisher
東洋経済新報社
Description
「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
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[Book] 希望学2006
Author(s)
玄田有史編著
Total Pages
218
Publisher
中公新書ラクレ
Description
「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
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[Book] デフレから復活へ2005
Author(s)
伊藤隆敏
Total Pages
xv+237
Publisher
東洋経済新報社
Description
「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
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[Book] 子どもがニートになったら
Author(s)
玄田有史・小杉礼子・労働政策研究・研修機構
Total Pages
2005
Publisher
NHK生活人新書
Description
「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
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[Book] 仕事のなかの曖昧な不安
Author(s)
玄田有史
Total Pages
2005
Publisher
中公文庫
Description
「研究成果報告書概要(和文)」より
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