2019 Fiscal Year Research-status Report
"Natech-RateME"Comprehensive Natech Performance Rating System for industrial Parks to Manage Risks from Extreme Events: Framework Development and Testing
| Project/Area Number |
17K01336
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| Research Institution | Kyoto University |
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Principal Investigator |
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| Project Period (FY) |
2017-04-01 – 2021-03-31
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| Keywords | Natech / Risk management / Disaster risk reduction / Industrial accident / Hazardous materials / Resilience engineering / Natural hazards / Combinato |
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| Outline of Annual Research Achievements |
1. An area-wide risk management and performance rating system framework premised on a probabilistic methodology, enabling industrial facilities to assess their coping capacity when faced with conjoint natural-hazard triggered chemical accident scenarios (known as Natechs) was proposed. A paper on this work will be submitted to the Journal IJDRS.
2.A systematic literature review since 1960s to 2018 was completed, supporting the need for the work. The proposed framework fills the gaps and represent a paradigm shift in Natech risk management theory incorporating notions from resilience engineering. Two peer reviewed papers appear in Safety Science, and in Progress in Disaster Science.
3.An analysis of failure modes and safety barrier performance was carried out regarding probabilities of risk factors. A peer reviewed paper appears in Reliab. Eng. and Sys. Safety, A second paper on safety investments versus risk reduction is forthcoming.
4.The framework’s usefulness and appropriateness were corroborated through meetings, surveys, and field visits with experts in Japan and in Colombia. The results have been included in two manuscripts submitted to Safety Science for publication. A third paper on the situation in Japan is forthcoming.
5.The research work has been disseminated to the academic community, government bodies and other stakeholders through several workshops, and conference presentations in Japan, China, Colombia, and France, and through the organization of citizen meetings and focus groups with community residents in Sakai (Osaka) and Shimobara (Soja City).
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| Current Status of Research Progress |
Current Status of Research Progress
3: Progress in research has been slightly delayed.
Reason
Most of the research activities have been carried out as planned in the research proposal. Unfortunately, due to the coronavirus outbreak, the final consolidating meeting and international multi-stakeholder workshop and open public forum which was planned for 4-6 March, and 12-13 March, respectively, had to be canceled as many participants, both domestic and from overseas canceled.
We have initially postponed the meeting and workshop for November 2020 in the hope that the world situation will be normalized by then.
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| Strategy for Future Research Activity |
During 2020, we will hold the final project meeting and international multi-stakeholder workshop and open public forum which had to be canceled due to the coronavirus outbreak. the tentative date is mid-November 2020. The workshop and open forum will include simultaneous translation (English - Japanese), and will involve representatives from industry, government, academia and the general public.
In this period, we will also finalize several manuscripts related to the project for publication in peer reviewed journals.
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| Causes of Carryover |
The final consolidating meeting and international multi-stakeholder workshop and open public forum which was planned for 4-6 March, and 12-13 March, respectively, had to be canceled due to the coronavirus outbreak as many participants, both domestic and from overseas had to cancel. We have postponed the meeting and workshop for November 2020 in the hope that the world situation will be normalized by then. If the situation does not improve, we will hold video conferences to present the results to different stakeholders using various multimedia.
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Research Products
(6 results)
