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2020 Fiscal Year Annual Research Report

Social effects on epidemics: A temporal network approach

Research Project

Project/Area Number 18H01655
Research InstitutionTokyo Institute of Technology

Principal Investigator

Holme Petter  東京工業大学, 科学技術創成研究院, 特任教授 (50802352)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 村田 剛志  東京工業大学, 情報理工学院, 教授 (90242289)
Project Period (FY) 2018-04-01 – 2022-03-31
Keywordsnetwork science / computational epidemio. / game theory / vaccination / information theory
Outline of Annual Research Achievements

FY 2020 was very productive. One project we finished, in collaboration with Prof. Alain Barrat and students, was about how to reconstruct networks from backbones (a typical way of summarizing network data). Another project in collaboration with Marko Jusup and Holme's Master's student Soya Miyoshi investigated vaccination-hesitancy with feedback from emergent epidemics. We did this by proposing a minimalistic model using game theory, network theory, the modeling of epidemic spreading, and opinion dynamics.
Holme also published a paper about efficient algorithms for the SIR model on empirical temporal-network data and another model of employing disease modeling in graph neural networks. Another major publication (in Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA) was also in collaboration with Marko Jusup. We organized a social dilemma game experiment to investigate whether player participation in public goods provision depends on the global characteristics of social networks or the ability to freely choose among local public goods within a player’s network neighborhood. Our results demonstrate the importance of the latter factor, thus favoring bottom-up public goods provision that gives individuals a say in decision-making. Furthermore, in collaboration with Doina Bucur , Holme used a machine learning approach to evaluate the predictive power of graph centrality measures in predicting the outbreak size of epidemics on networks. Holme also collaborated with Zhanwei Du to study how the coupling between the circadian rhythm of the immune system and commuting affects disease spreading.

Research Progress Status

翌年度、交付申請を辞退するため、記入しない。

Strategy for Future Research Activity

翌年度、交付申請を辞退するため、記入しない。

  • Research Products

    (12 results)

All 2021 2020

All Journal Article (10 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 8 results,  Peer Reviewed: 10 results,  Open Access: 10 results) Presentation (2 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Invited: 2 results)

  • [Journal Article] Fast and principled simulations of the SIR model on temporal networks2021

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      PLOS One

      Volume: - Pages: -

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pone.0246961

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Multistage onset of epidemics in heterogeneous networks2021

    • Author(s)
      C-R Cai, Z-X Wu and Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      Phys. Rev. E

      Volume: - Pages: -

    • DOI

      10.1103/PhysRevE.103.032313

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Exit rights open complex pathways to cooperation.2021

    • Author(s)
      C Shen, M Jusup, L Shi, Z Wang, M Perc and Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      J. Roy. Soc. Interface

      Volume: 18 Pages: -

    • DOI

      10.1098/rsif.2020.0777

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Susceptible- infected-spreading-based network embedding in static and temporal networks.2020

    • Author(s)
      X-X Zhan, Z Li, N Masuda, Petter Holme and H Wang
    • Journal Title

      EPJ Data Sci.

      Volume: 30 Pages: -

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Freedom of choice adds value to public goods2020

    • Author(s)
      L Shi, I Romic;, Y Ma, Z Wang, B Podobnik, HE Stanley, Petter Holme and M Jusup
    • Journal Title

      Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA

      Volume: - Pages: -

    • DOI

      10.1073/pnas.1921806117

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Beyond ranking nodes: Predicting epidemic outbreak sizes by network centralities2020

    • Author(s)
      D Bucur and Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      PLOS Comp. Biol.

      Volume: - Pages: -

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008052

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] β-cells operate collectively to help maintain glucose homeostasis2020

    • Author(s)
      B Podobnik, D Korosak, M Skelin Klemen, A Stozer, J Dolensek, M Slak Rupnik, PCh Ivanov, Petter Holme and M Jusup
    • Journal Title

      Biophys. J.

      Volume: - Pages: -

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.bpj.2020.04.005

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Coupling the circadian rhythms of population movement and the immune system in infectious disease modeling2020

    • Author(s)
      Z Du and Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      PLOS One

      Volume: - Pages: -

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pone.0234619

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Universal evolution patterns of degree assortativity in social networks.2020

    • Author(s)
      B Zhou, X Lu and Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      Soc. Netw.

      Volume: - Pages: -

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.socnet.2020.04.004

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Small inter-event times govern epidemic spreading on temporal networks2020

    • Author(s)
      N Masuda and Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      Phys. Rev. Research

      Volume: - Pages: -

    • DOI

      10.1103/PhysRevResearch.2.023163

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Presentation] Freedom of choice adds value to public goods2020

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Socioeconomic Networks
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Temporal networks & the humanities2020

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Organizer
      Historical Network Research
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited

URL: 

Published: 2021-12-27  

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