Understanding the process of negotiation for sharing transboundary water resources with a special focus on the emerging Middle East-Nile Basin Nexus

2022 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

• Project/Area Number: 18K12727
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Early-Career Scientists
• Allocation Type: Multi-year Fund
• Review Section: Basic Section 06020:International relations-related
• Research Institution: Toyo University (2020-2022); Gakushuin University (2018-2019)
• Principal Investigator: Abdin Mohamed 東洋大学, 国際共生社会研究センター, 客員研究員 (40748761)
• Project Period (FY): 2018-04-01 – 2023-03-31
• Keywords: エジプト・スーダン関係 / ルネッサンスダム / スーダン暫定政府 / 中東食糧の安全保障 / スーダン軍部クーデタ / エチオピア内戦 / ナイル川

Outline of Final Research Achievements

Through a depth analysis on the negotiation process of the Nile Water Resources, this research aimed at examining the possibility of cooperative model of the usage of Nile Water between the East Nile Riparian states.
After conducting extensive research on the political environment in the riparian States, the research reached to the following conclusions: (1) The attitude of riparian States on the negotiation process has been shaped by the internal politics dynamics of each state. On my June 2020th article in [Africa Report], I tried to discuss how the internal political actors in Sudan has leveraged the contentious regional political environment --specially the Nile Water Negotiation process-- to achieve　their goals at home.(2) In a discussion paper published at IDE’s web site I explained how Bashir’s endorsement of the Grate Ethiopian Renaissances Dam as part of regime survival strategy had rallied Egypt against his regime and accelerated its collapse in April 2019.

Free Research Field

地域研究

Academic Significance and Societal Importance of the Research Achievements

ナイル川流域問題を取り巻く環境や関連する諸アクターを俯瞰して研究をすすめてきたことにより、サブサハラアフリカと中東北アフリカ地域間の壁を越えた越境的地域研究の視点の重要性を示すことができた。垣根を超えた地域研究こそ、複雑な現実をより正確にとらえる分析枠組みであり、今後本分析の枠組みを活用した他地域の研究に影響が及ぶことを期待したい。