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2010 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

Asymptotic expansion, statistical inference and their applications

Research Project

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Project/Area Number 19340021
Research Category

Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

Allocation TypeSingle-year Grants
Section一般
Research Field General mathematics (including Probability theory/Statistical mathematics)
Research InstitutionThe University of Tokyo

Principal Investigator

YOSHIDA Nakahiro  東京大学, 大学院・数理科学研究科, 教授 (90210707)

Project Period (FY) 2007 – 2010
Keywords解析学 / 確率論 / 統計数学 / 応用数学 / 経済統計学
Research Abstract

A quasi likelihood analysis(QLA) was constructed for stochastic differential equations with jumps. Adaptive methods for continuous diffusion type processes were proposed. This gives a basis for implementation. The change point problem was studied for a stochastic regression model, and the limit theorem was presented through a mixture type Gaussian functional. Proof of the asymptotic mixed normality of the nonsynchronous covariance estimator(Hayashi-Yoshida estimator) was published. A lead-lag problem was framed and we proved a convergence rate of our lead-lag estimator for a semimartingale model with lag. A theory of asymptotic expansion for a martingale with mixed normal limit was initiated and applied to the realized volatility.

  • Research Products

    (42 results)

All 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 Other

All Journal Article (12 results) Presentation (29 results) Remarks (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Nonsynchronous covariance process and limit theorems2011

    • Author(s)
      T. Hayashi and N. Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Stochastic Processes and their Applications on-line

      Volume: 121 Pages: 2416-2454

  • [Journal Article] Second-order asymptotic expansion for a non-synchronous covariation estimator2011

    • Author(s)
      D. Arnak and N. Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Annales de l' Institut Henri Poincare

      Volume: 47, 3 Pages: 748-789

  • [Journal Article] Asymptotic Expansion for Functionals of a Marked Point Process2011

    • Author(s)
      Y. Sakamoto and N. Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Communications in Statistics-Theory and Methods

      Volume: 39 Pages: 449-1465

  • [Journal Article] Quasi-likelihood analysis for the stochastic differential equation with jumps2011

    • Author(s)
      T. Ogihara and N. Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Statistical Inference for Stochastic Processes

      Volume: 14 Pages: 189-229

  • [Journal Article] Numerical Analysis of Volatility Change Point Estimators for Discretely Sampled Stochastic Differential Equations2010

    • Author(s)
      S. Iacus and N. Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Economic Notes by Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA

      Volume: 39

  • [Journal Article] 確率過程の統計学:概観と展望2010

    • Author(s)
      吉田朋広
    • Journal Title

      日本統計学会誌

      Volume: 40, 1 Pages: 47-60

  • [Journal Article] Polynomial type large deviation inequalities and quasi-likelihood analysis for stochastic differential equations2010

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics online

  • [Journal Article] Third-order asymptotic expansion of M-estimators for diffusion processes2009

    • Author(s)
      Y. Sakamoto and N. Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics

      Volume: 61 Pages: 629-661

  • [Journal Article] Estimation for the discretely observed telegraph process2009

    • Author(s)
      S. Iacus and N. Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Theor. Probability and Math. Statist

      Volume: 78 Pages: 37-47

  • [Journal Article] Parametric estimation for partially hidden diffusion processes sampled at discrete times2009

    • Author(s)
      S. Iacus and N. Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Stochastic Processes and their Applications

      Volume: 119 Pages: 1580-1600

  • [Journal Article] Asymptotic Expansion for Stochastic Processes : an Overview and Examples2008

    • Author(s)
      Y. Sakamoto and N. Yoshida
    • Volume
      38
    • Pages
      173-185
  • [Journal Article] Asymptotic normality of a covariance estimator for nonsynchronously observed diffusion processes2008

    • Author(s)
      T. Hayashi and N. Yoshida
    • Journal Title

      Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics

      Volume: 60 Pages: 367-406

  • [Presentation] Limit theorems in asymptotic statistics for diffusions2011

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      Asymptotical Statistics of Stochastic Processes VIII
    • Place of Presentation
      Universit' e du Maine, Le Mans, France
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-21
  • [Presentation] Qualsi-likelihood analysis and limit theorems in volatility estimation2011

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      Statistical inference and numerical analysis of stochastic processes : probabilistic tools and application to financial econometrics Universita' Degli Studi Di Firenze, Novoli
    • Place of Presentation
      Firenze, Italy
    • Year and Date
      2011-03-17
  • [Presentation] Some limit theorems in inference for volatility. Statistics for Stochastic Processes : Inference, Asymptotic Methods2011

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      Finance and Data Analysis
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学大学院数理科学研究科
    • Year and Date
      2011-02-23
  • [Presentation] Statistical inference for volatility and related limit theorems2010

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      Asymptotic Statistics, Risk and Computation in Finance and Insurance
    • Place of Presentation
      東京工業大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-12-15
  • [Presentation] Statistical inference for volatility and related limit theorems2010

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      Market Microstructure, Confronting Many Viewpoints
    • Place of Presentation
      Institut Louis Bachelier, Paris, France
    • Year and Date
      2010-12-07
  • [Presentation] Limit theorems and estimation for diffusions2010

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      諸分野との協働による数理科学のフロンティア
    • Place of Presentation
      京都大学数理解析研究所
    • Year and Date
      2010-11-19
  • [Presentation] Limit theorems and volatility estimation2010

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      数理統計学の新たな展開,大宮ソニックシティー
    • Year and Date
      2010-11-15
  • [Presentation] Statistical inference for diffusions2010

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      SPA OSAKA 2010, 34th Conference on Stochastic Processes and Their Applications
    • Place of Presentation
      Kyoto Research Park
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-15
  • [Presentation] Asymptotic expansion for a martingale with a mixed normal limit distribution2010

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      SPA OSAKA 2010, 34th Conference on Stochastic Processes and Their Applications
    • Place of Presentation
      Senri Life Science Center Building
    • Year and Date
      2010-09-10
  • [Presentation] Inference for Discretely Observed Diffusion Processes2010

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      1st R/Rmetrics Summer School and 4th User/Developer Meeting on Computational Finance and Financial Engineering, Meielisalp
    • Place of Presentation
      Switzerland
    • Year and Date
      2010-06-29
  • [Presentation] Martingale expansion : mixed normal limit and applications2010

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      DYNSTOCH meeting
    • Place of Presentation
      The University of Angers, France
    • Year and Date
      2010-06-17
  • [Presentation] 確率過程の統計学:概観と展望2010

    • Author(s)
      吉田朋広
    • Organizer
      第4回日本統計学会春季集会
    • Place of Presentation
      青山学院大学
    • Year and Date
      2010-03-07
  • [Presentation] Martingale expansion of mixture type and its applications2010

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      Workshop on "Stochastic Analysis and Statistical Inference V"
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学大学院数理科学研究科
    • Year and Date
      2010-02-22
  • [Presentation] 確率過程の漸近展開:概観と展望2009

    • Author(s)
      吉田朋広
    • Organizer
      2009年度中之島ワークショップ金融工学・数理・計量ファイナンスの諸問題
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学中之島センター
    • Year and Date
      2009-12-05
  • [Presentation] Asymptotic expansion for a martingale with a mixed normal limit distribution2009

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      DYNSTOCH Meeting 2009
    • Place of Presentation
      Humboldt-Universitat zu Berlin, Germany
    • Year and Date
      2009-10-08
  • [Presentation] 確率微分方程式のボラティリティの推定2009

    • Author(s)
      内田雅之,吉田朋広
    • Organizer
      2009年度統計関連学会連合大会
    • Place of Presentation
      同志社大学
    • Year and Date
      2009-09-07
  • [Presentation] 確率微分方程式の統計学雑感2009

    • Author(s)
      吉田朋広
    • Organizer
      平成21年度統計数理研究所共同研究集会統計サマーセミナー2009
    • Place of Presentation
      福井県あわら市芦原温泉
    • Year and Date
      2009-08-12
  • [Presentation] Quasi-likelihood analysis for stochastic processes2009

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      2009年度日本数学会年会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学駒場キャンパス講堂
    • Year and Date
      2009-03-28
  • [Presentation] Nonsynchronous covariation and limit theorems2009

    • Author(s)
      T. Hayashi and N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      2009年度日本数学会年会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学駒場キャンパス講堂
    • Year and Date
      2009-03-28
  • [Presentation] Estimation for misspecified ergodic diffusion processes2009

    • Author(s)
      M. Uchida and N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      2009年度日本数学会年会
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学駒場キャンパス講堂
    • Year and Date
      2009-03-28
  • [Presentation] Asymptotic expansion for the asymptotically conditionally normal law2009

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      Asymptotical Statistics of Stochastic Processes VII
    • Place of Presentation
      Universit' e du Maine, Le Mans
    • Year and Date
      2009-03-16
  • [Presentation] Estimation of Lag by the nonsynchronous covariance estimator2008

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      Workshop on "Stochastic Analysis and Statistical Inference III"
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学大学院数理科学研究科
    • Year and Date
      2008-11-26
  • [Presentation] First and second order limit theorems in nonsynchronous covariance estimation2008

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      日本学術振興会日露共同研究プロジェクト研究集会
    • Place of Presentation
      Stochastic analysis of the advanced statistical models
    • Year and Date
      2008-11-04
  • [Presentation] Expansion of asymptotically conditionally normal Law2008

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Finance and related mathematical and statistical issues
    • Place of Presentation
      Kyoto Research Park
    • Year and Date
      2008-09-06
  • [Presentation] Nonsynchronous covariance estimation and limit theorems2008

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      Laboratoire d' Analyse et de Math' ematiques Appliqu' ees Universit' e de Marne-la-Vall' ee
    • Place of Presentation
      Paris-Est
    • Year and Date
      2008-03-28
  • [Presentation] Nonsynchronous covariance estimation and limit theorems2007

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      2007年度中之島ワークショップ金融工学・数理・計量ファイナンスの諸問題
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学中之島センター
    • Year and Date
      2007-12-02
  • [Presentation] Asymptotic expansion of a nonsynchronous covariance estimator2007

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      Workshop on Stochastic Analysis and Statistical Inference
    • Place of Presentation
      東京大学大学院数理科学研究科
    • Year and Date
      2007-11-30
  • [Presentation] Covariance estimation under nonsynchronous sampling2007

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      DMHF2007 : COE Conference on the Development of Dynamic Mathematics with High Functionality
    • Place of Presentation
      Fukuoka
    • Year and Date
      2007-10-03
  • [Presentation] Limit theorems for non-synchronously sampled diffusion processes2007

    • Author(s)
      N. Yoshida
    • Organizer
      日本学術振興会日露共同研究プロジェクト研究集会「確率的複雑系に対する漸近理論とその応用の研究」
    • Place of Presentation
      大阪大学大学院基礎工学研究科
    • Year and Date
      2007-08-09
  • [Remarks]

    • URL

      http://www2.ms.u-tokyo.ac.jp/probstat/

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Published: 2013-07-31  

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