2019 Fiscal Year Research-status Report
Export registration in the automobile industry: Effects on manufacturer-intermediary match efficiency
| Project/Area Number |
19K13711
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| Research Institution | Asian Growth Research Institute |
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Principal Investigator |
孫 暁男 公益財団法人アジア成長研究所, 研究部, 上級研究員 (80816174)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2019-04-01 – 2022-03-31
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| Keywords | intermediary / export / automobile / match / efficiency |
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| Outline of Annual Research Achievements |
This is a three-year research project. It aims to examine the pattern of matching between manufacturers and intermediaries before and after export regulation for automobile industry in China. It also tries to investigate how the policy affects the profit sharing and total well-being of the industry by using an economic model.
For the first year, I began with collecting and examining the data from three sources: Government Registration Lists, Industrial Enterprises Survey datasets and Customs Records. After compiling the data, I proceed with examining patterns related to policy changes and matching behaviors. There are a few stylized facts which cannot be explained by existing theories and require further investigation. Based on the preliminary findings, I wrote a draft and presented it at the 2019 Japanese Economic Association Autumn Meeting.
For the next two year, I will continue investigating matching patterns related with automakers and intermediaries and behavior changes due to the regulation.
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| Current Status of Research Progress |
Current Status of Research Progress
2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.
Reason
During the first year of this project, I mainly focused on collecting and cleaning the original data. In addition, I examined the structure of auto exporting industry in China and how automakers and intermediaries reacted to the implementation of the auto export regulation.
In general, this project went smoothly as planned and I will continue the research according to the schedule.
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| Strategy for Future Research Activity |
Based on the current progress, I decide to further explore the matching patterns between automakers and export intermediaries in China, paying particular attention to the behavior changes before and after the registration requirement.
The potential perspectives include but not limited to the following. First, describe the distribution of matching patterns and calculate the hazard rate of relationship break-ups. Second, examine whether it is positive or negative assortative matching between manufacturers and intermediaries. Third, investigate price changes before and after the policy to provide evidence on matching efficiencies.
Next, based on the above stylized facts of the automobile export industry and firm responses to the policy, I plan to build an economic model of export through intermediaries to rationalize policy incentives and analyze its consequences. Finally, I will try to simulate the model and obtain welfare implications.
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Research Products
(1 results)
