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2023 Fiscal Year Annual Research Report

Simplifying social network data to predict spreading processes

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20H04288
Research InstitutionKobe University

Principal Investigator

Barrat Alain  神戸大学, 計算社会科学研究センター, リサーチフェロー (10867287)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 上東 貴志  神戸大学, 計算社会科学研究センター, 教授 (30324908)
Holme Petter  神戸大学, 計算社会科学研究センター, リサーチフェロー (50802352)
村田 剛志  東京工業大学, 情報理工学院, 教授 (90242289)
Project Period (FY) 2020-04-01 – 2024-03-31
Keywordsspreading processes / complex networks / network science / covid-19 / theoretical epidemiology / graph data
Outline of Annual Research Achievements

In FY 2023, we primarily investigated the relevance of network structures extracted from data in spreading dynamics. We focused on how these structures could be used to design efficient containment strategies. The project examined the role of backbones and temporal cores in spreading processes and found that acting on these structures can help contain epidemic outbreaks. Our project also explored the relative timescales of observation, network evolution, and the dynamic process under study. By identifying the optimal time window for aggregating time-varying networks, we were able to reduce redundancy and simplify the modeling of spreading processes on temporal networks by embedding techniques. We, furthermore, investigated the impact of incompleteness or noise on the outcome of data-driven models using previously developed representations and developed approaches to compensate for resulting biases.

Research Progress Status

令和5年度が最終年度であるため、記入しない。

Strategy for Future Research Activity

令和5年度が最終年度であるため、記入しない。

  • Research Products

    (19 results)

All 2024 2023

All Journal Article (16 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 14 results,  Peer Reviewed: 16 results,  Open Access: 14 results) Presentation (2 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 2 results,  Invited: 1 results) Funded Workshop (1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Public Health Impact of Paxlovid as Treatment for COVID-19, United States2024

    • Author(s)
      Yuan Bai, Zhanwei Du, Lin Wang, Eric H. Y. Lau, Isaac Chun-Hai Fung, Petter Holme, Benjamin J. Cowling, Alison P. Galvani, Robert M. Krug, Lauren Ancel Meyers
    • Journal Title

      Emerging infectious Diseases

      Volume: 30 Pages: 262-269

    • DOI

      10.3201/eid3002.230835

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Hyper-cores promote localization and efficient seeding in higher-order processes2023

    • Author(s)
      Marco Mancastroppa, Iacopo Iacopini, Giovanni Petri, Alain Barrat
    • Journal Title

      Nature Communications

      Volume: 14 Pages: 6223

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41467-023-41887-2

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Distinguishing simple and complex contagion processes on networks2023

    • Author(s)
      Giulia Cencetti, Diego Andr?s Contreras, Marco Mancastroppa, Alain Barrat
    • Journal Title

      Physical Review Letters

      Volume: 130 Pages: 247401

    • DOI

      10.1103/PhysRevLett.130.247401

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Simplicially driven simple contagion2023

    • Author(s)
      M Lucas, I Iacopini, T Robiglio, A Barrat, G Petri
    • Journal Title

      Physical Review Research

      Volume: 5 Pages: 13201

    • DOI

      10.1103/PhysRevResearch.5.013201

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Inferring cell cycle phases from a partially temporal network of protein interactions2023

    • Author(s)
      Maxime Lucas, Arthur Morris, Alex Townsend-Teague, Laurent Tichit, Bianca Habermann, Alain Barrat
    • Journal Title

      Cell Reports Methods

      Volume: 3 Pages: 100397

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.crmeth.2023.100397

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Contact networks have small metric backbones that maintain community structure and are primary transmission subgraphs2023

    • Author(s)
      R Brattig Correia, A Barrat, LM Rocha
    • Journal Title

      PLOS Computational Biology

      Volume: 19 Pages: e1010854

    • DOI

      10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010854

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Minimizing school disruption under high incidence conditions due to the Omicron variant in France, Switzerland, Italy in January 20222023

    • Author(s)
      Elisabetta Colosi, Giulia Bassignana, Alain Barrat, Bruno Lina, Philippe Vanhems, Julia Bielicki, Vittoria Colizza
    • Journal Title

      Eurosuveiience

      Volume: 28 Pages: 2200192

    • DOI

      10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2023.28.5.2200192

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Protocol for the automatic extraction of epidemiological information via a pre-trained language model2023

    • Author(s)
      Zhizheng Wang, Xiao Fan Liu, Zhanwei Du, Lin Wang, Ye Wu, Petter Holme, Michael Lachmann, Hongfei Lin, Zhuoyue Wang, Yu Cao, Zoie S.Y. Wong, Xiao-Ke Xu and Yuanyuan Sun
    • Journal Title

      STAR Protocols

      Volume: 4 Pages: 102392

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.xpro.2023.102392

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] The toughness, elasticity, color, and consistency of cooperation2023

    • Author(s)
      Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      Physics of Life Reviews

      Volume: 43 Pages: 73-75

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.plrev.2023.05.011

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Link prediction for ex ante influence maximization on temporal networks2023

    • Author(s)
      Eric Yanchenko, Tsuyoshi Murata, Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      Applied Network Science

      Volume: 8 Pages: 70

    • DOI

      10.1007/s41109-023-00594-z

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] The nature and nurture of network evolution2023

    • Author(s)
      Bin Zhou, Petter Holme, Zaiwu Gong, Choujun Zhan, Yao Huang, Xin Lu, Xiangyi Meng
    • Journal Title

      Nature Communications

      Volume: 14 Pages: 7031

    • DOI

      10.1038/s41467-023-42856-5

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Modularity-Based Selection of the Number of Slices in Temporal Network Clustering2023

    • Author(s)
      Patrik Seiron, Axel Lindegren, Matteo Magnani, Christian Rohner, Tsuyoshi Murata, Petter Holme
    • Journal Title

      Temporal Network Theory

      Volume: 2 Pages: 435-447

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-3-031-30399-9_21

    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Temporal Link Prediction Methods Based on Behavioral Synchrony2023

    • Author(s)
      Yueran Duan, Qing Guan, Petter Holme, Yacheng Yang, Wei Guan
    • Journal Title

      Temporal Network Theory

      Volume: 2 Pages: 381-402

    • DOI

      10.1007/978-3-031-30399-9_19

    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Predicting potential real-time donations in YouTube live streaming services via continuous-time dynamic graphs2023

    • Author(s)
      Ruidong Jin, Xin Liu, Tsuyoshi Murata
    • Journal Title

      Machine Learning

      Volume: 113 Pages: 2093-2127

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10994-023-06449-z

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access
  • [Journal Article] Japan's Monetary Policy: A Literature Review and Empirical Assessment2023

    • Author(s)
      Masahiko SHIBAMOTO,Wataru TAKAHASHI,Takashi KAMIHIGASHI
    • Journal Title

      Journal of Computational Social Science

      Volume: 6(2) Pages: 1215-1254

    • DOI

      10.1007/s42001-021-00113-z

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Positive fuel price elasticities of expressway traffic flows: Insights for policymakers and management strategists2023

    • Author(s)
      Kashif Ahmed,Takashi Kamihigashi,Miwa Matsuo
    • Journal Title

      Transport Policy

      Volume: 142 Pages: 99-114

    • DOI

      10.1016/j.tranpol.2023.08.012

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Introduction of the Journal of Computational Social Science2024

    • Author(s)
      上東貴志
    • Organizer
      Workshop of "Computational Society: examine the present and plan for the future"
    • Int'l Joint Research / Invited
  • [Presentation] Class-Incremental Learning using Diffusion Model for Distillation and Replay2023

    • Author(s)
      Quentin Jodelet, Xin Liu, Yin Jun Phua, Tsuyoshi Murata
    • Organizer
      1st Workshop on Visual Continual Learning (in conjunction with ICCV 2023)
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Funded Workshop] Joint CCSS-UvA Workshop on Computational Social Science and Intelligent Systems, Amsterdam 20242024

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Published: 2024-12-25  

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