2023 Fiscal Year Annual Research Report
Developing a policy analysis tool for low-carbon residential heating and cooling technology deployment in Japan
| Project/Area Number |
20K20030
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| Research Institution | Research Institute for Humanity and Nature |
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Principal Investigator |
Farabi Hadi 総合地球環境学研究所, 研究部, 外来研究員 (30822697)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2020-04-01 – 2024-03-31
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| Keywords | Low-carbon / Heating and Cooling / Energy Policy / Modeling / Consumer Choice |
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| Outline of Annual Research Achievements |
The model's development encompassing heating and cooling functionalities has been completed. Challenges related to acquiring missing parameters for the database have been resolved, leading to the successful integration of the database into the model.
The model has been utilized to compute the intangible costs associated with both heating and cooling modalities. This metric is derived through model calibration against historical data pertaining to the deployment rates of diverse heating and cooling technologies. Following the establishment of a baseline scenario, I explored 16 additional scenarios encompassing various permutations of market-based and regulatory policies within the model. Analysis of the model outcomes aimed to discern the most efficacious policy combinations for satisfying demand while concurrently fostering the adoption of low-carbon technologies within this sector. Furthermore, I assessed the financial implications of policy adoption on Japanese households over the forthcoming decades. In the ensuing weeks, I intend to finalize a manuscript for submission to a publication, representing a principal deliverable of this endeavor.
The developed model exhibits considerable potential for adaptation to other nations and regions contingent upon the availability of reliable data regarding technology deployment rates. Plans are underway to initiate collaborative efforts with researchers focusing on analogous datasets from select countries.
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