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2021 Fiscal Year Research-status Report

Measuring the global health burden and economic consequence of micronutrient deficiency under climate change impact and mitigation policy

Research Project

Project/Area Number 20K20031
Research InstitutionJapan International Research Center for Agricultural Sciences

Principal Investigator

Wu Wenchao  国立研究開発法人国際農林水産業研究センター, 社会科学領域, 任期付研究員 (50868693)

Project Period (FY) 2020-04-01 – 2023-03-31
KeywordsCO2 concentration / climate mitigation
Outline of Annual Research Achievements

In this fiscal year, I have finished scenario design and model simulation:
(1) Scenario design: climate change and mitigation scenarios were designed. The climate change scenarios include RCP 8.5 and RCP 6.0. In the climate mitigation scenarios, mitigation options were employed to limit the temperature increase in 2 degrees.
(2) Simulation: I run the above scenarios with a global economic model and derive the food consumption quantity for each scenario.

Current Status of Research Progress
Current Status of Research Progress

2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.

Reason

Scenario design and model simulation have been conducted as planned.

Strategy for Future Research Activity

Calculate nutrient supply from food consumption quantity data and estimate its health impact.

Causes of Carryover

Due to the situation of COVID-19, the onsite conference abroad was canceled. Therefore, international travel expenses were not used.
These amounts will be used in the next fiscal year for (1) Domestic travel expenses for meetings with experts (amount: 363,901); (2) Hiring a research assistant for data processing (amount 300,000)

  • Research Products

    (2 results)

All 2022 2021

All Journal Article (1 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results,  Peer Reviewed: 1 results,  Open Access: 1 results) Presentation (1 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 1 results)

  • [Journal Article] Land-based climate change mitigation measures can affect agricultural markets and food security2022

    • Author(s)
      Fujimori Shinichiro、Wu Wenchao、Doelman Jonathan、Frank Stefan、Hristov Jordan、Kyle Page、Sands Ronald、van Zeist Willem-Jan、Havlik Petr、Dom?nguez Ignacio P?rez、Sahoo Amarendra、Stehfest Elke、Tabeau Andrzej、Valin Hugo、van Meijl Hans、Hasegawa Tomoko、Takahashi Kiyoshi
    • Journal Title

      Nature Food

      Volume: 3 Pages: 110~121

    • DOI

      10.1038/s43016-022-00464-4

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Potential impacts of GHG emissions abatement measures on agricultural markets and food security2021

    • Author(s)
      Wenchao Wu
    • Organizer
      Fourteenth IAMC Annual Meeting
    • Int'l Joint Research

URL: 

Published: 2022-12-28  

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