2020 Fiscal Year Research-status Report
Beyond Malthus in least developed regions: Gender inequality, environmental and demographic changes
| Project/Area Number |
20K22121
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| Research Institution | Osaka University |
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Principal Investigator |
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| Project Period (FY) |
2020-09-11 – 2022-03-31
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| Keywords | Income gender gap / environmental change / life expectancy / poverty |
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| Outline of Annual Research Achievements |
In 2020, my research article entitled “The education gender gap and the demographic transition in developing countries”, in which I played as the first (and corresponding author), was accepted for publication in the Journal of Population Economics. This paper has been recently appeared in print version of the Journal in Issue 2, Volume 34 (2021) and it had been discussed in Le Magazine de la Recherche of Sciences Po Paris. My current KAKENHI project partially bases on and is developed from this important research. This publication implies the correct direction of my current KAKENHI.
Regarding my current KAKENHI project, the theoretical parts of project have been roughly completed with important qualitative analyses. Identifying the analytical results plays a very important role, in line with the “Purpose of the Research” and “Research Implementation Plan” that I described in the application form for this project. That allows me and my coauthors to establish important testable hypotheses and check their empirical validities, which we have been also carrying out, given the availability of data. That also promises to uncover the mechanisms behind the stagnation of African Sub-Saharan countries.
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| Current Status of Research Progress |
Current Status of Research Progress
2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.
Reason
My KAKENHI start-up project started from October 2020 and was planned to finish by March 2022 with two research papers.
I planned to complete the first draft of the first paper in May or June 2021. Due to the coronavirus pandemic which required me and my coauthor (Prof. Matthias Kalkuhl, MCC Berlin and University of Potsdam, Germany) to spend some given times for parental duties because of our children’s home schooling. The pandemic has also required us to work online, instead of face to face. Despite of that, currently the theoretical part (the most important one) of the paper is completed. We have been working with data and simulation to generate the empirical validation for the theoretical predictions.
In exchange to the slightly delay of the first paper, I speeded up the process for the second paper. The theoretical part for this paper was developed by myself. I have managed the chances to discuss with Prof. Chrysovalantis Vasilakis (Banglor University, UK) and Hang Nguyen (PhD candidate in Economics, Osaka University, Japan) to advance testable hypotheses for the theoretical predictions and investigate the availability of data for these tasks. For the second paper, I also have chance to educate a young researcher, Ms Hang Nguyen, who focuses on applied development economics and pays a special and promising interest in this paper.
Two papers have been currently being carried out in parallel. In general, I evaluate the process of the whole project is rather smooth.
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| Strategy for Future Research Activity |
The simulation for the first paper, “Environmental change and slow demographic transition”, will be done in May and June, 2021. The first version of first paper is planned to finish in this summer, around August 2021 and it will be disseminated at the ISER Discussion Paper series and be delivered with my research network to get feedback. After receiving comment and feedback, the paper will be revised, proofread, and then submit to an academic journal.
For the second paper, the theoretical part will be completed in this summer by myself with discussion with Prof. Vasilakis and PhD candidate Hang Nguyen. In August 2021, the dataset for empirical study---which include temperatures and rainfall for all countries, fertility, income gender gap, and other world development indicators---will be collected and cleaned so as to guarantee completely for empirical analyses to be carried out. The data collection and cleaning will be done by Hang Nguyen under my supervision. From September 2021, we all work on the empirical part of the paper, write the manuscript, to make the paper ready for submissions to conferences and academic journal.
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| Causes of Carryover |
Because of the change in my research plan for this project due to the effects of pandemic, some money were unused as planned. Most of them are budget planned for travelling and attending conferences.
In fiscal year 2021, these budget will be used in an efficient way including travel costs, conference registrations, data processing, and proofreading for manuscripts, as well as submission fee for publications.
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