2012 Fiscal Year Final Research Report
Human Behavior Model in Consideration of Detailed Personal Attributes in the Aftermath of a Devastating Earthquake
| Project/Area Number |
21310105
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
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| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
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| Section | 一般 |
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| Research Field |
Social systems engineering/Safety system
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| Research Institution | Tokyo Institute of Technology |
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Principal Investigator |
OSARAGI Toshihiro 東京工業大学, 大学院・情報理工学研究科, 教授 (00211136)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2009 – 2012
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| Keywords | 大地震 / 防災計画 / 広域避難 / 人間行動 / シミュレーション |
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| Research Abstract |
The spatiotemporal distribution of persons in the metropolitan area was estimated based on the data of a metropolis person trip survey, and the various simulation analyses assuming the occurrence of a devastating earthquake were performed. First, the Environment Information Simulator which describes property damage, and the Human Action Simulator which describes human behavior were constructed, and the phase of wide-area evacuation was analyzed by use of these simulators. Next, the Pedestrian Flow Model which describes and visualizes people's move locus in the vicinity of a large scale railroad station was constructed. Furthermore, the Commuting Action Model was constructed, which describes the workers' intention and capability of commuting to offices under the situation where the public transportations are paralyzed in the aftermath of a large earthquake. By using the model, the possibility and probability of workers' commuting to offices were analyzed.
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