Probabilistic estimates of tsunami heights from great earthquakes around the Pacific Ocean based on paleotsunami surveys

2011 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

• Project/Area Number: 21310113
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
• Allocation Type: Single-year Grants
• Section: 一般
• Research Field: Natural disaster science
• Research Institution: The University of Tokyo
• Principal Investigator: SATAKE Kenji 東京大学, 地震研究所, 教授 (20178685)
• Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha): FUJII Yushiro 建築研究所, 国際地震工学センター, 主任研究員 (60442836)
• Project Period (FY): 2009 – 2011
• Keywords: 津波 / 巨大地震 / 古地震 / 環太平洋 / インド洋 / スケーリング

Research Abstract

Tsunamis from great earthquakes around the Pacific Ocean have been systematically studied. Slip distributions for the 1960 and 2010 Chile earthquakes, the 2006 and 2007Kuril earthquakes, the 2009 and 2010 Indonesian earthquakes were clarified. Paleotsunami evidence of earthquakes prior to the 2004 Sumatra-Andaman earthquake was studied. The 2011 Tohoku earthquake was a simultaneous occurrence of the 869 Jogan-type earthquake and the 1896 Sanriku-type tsunami earthquake. Scaling relations for M~8 subduction-zone earthquakes can be applied to the M~9 giant earthquakes.

Research Products

• [Journal Article] Time and slip distribution of coseismic slip of the 2011 Tohoku earthquake as inferred from tsunami waveform data (2013)
  • Author(s): Satake, K., Y. Fujii, T. Harada, and Y.Namegaya
  • Journal Title: Bull. Seism. Soc. Am. Volume: 103 Pages: 1473-1492
  • DOI: doi:10.1785/0120120122
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Tsunami source of the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku Earthquake (2011)
  • Author(s): Fujii, Y., K. Satake, S. Sakai, M. Shinohara, and T. Kanazawa
  • Journal Title: Earth, Planets Space Volume: 63 Pages: 815-820
  • DOI: doi:10.5047/eps.2011.06.010
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Observation and modeling of the January 2009 West Papua (2011)
  • Author(s): Fujii, Y., K. Satake and Y. Nishimae
  • Journal Title: Indonesia tsunami, Pure and Applied Geophysics Volume: 168 Pages: 1089-1100
  • DOI: DOI:10.1007/s00024-010-0220-z
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Geologic evidence for two pre-2004 earthquakes during the last 400-2,000 years near Port Blair (2011)
  • Author(s): Malik, J.N., M. Shishikura T. Echigo, Y. Ikeda, K. Satake, H. Kayanne, Y. Sawai, C. V. R. Murty, and O. Dikshit
  • Journal Title: South Andaman Island, India, Geology Volume: 39 (6) Pages: 559-562
  • DOI: DOI:10.1130/G31707.1
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Tsunami signals from the 2006 and2007 Kuril earthquakes detected at a seafloor geomagnetic observatory (2011)
  • Author(s): Toh, H., K. Satake, Y. Hamano, Y. Fujii, andT. Goto
  • Journal Title: J. Geophys. Res. Volume: 116 Pages: B02104
  • DOI: doi:10.1029/2010JB007873
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Double Trouble atTonga (News and Views) (2010)
  • Author(s): Satake, K., Earthquakes
  • Journal Title: Nature Volume: 466 Pages: 931-932
  • DOI: DOI:10.1038/466931a
• [Journal Article] 駿河湾沿岸の検潮井戸応答特性調査と2009年駿河湾地震津波波形の補正 (2010)
  • Author(s): 佐竹健治・行谷佑一・藤井雄士郎・岡田正実・阿部邦昭・今井健太郎・上野俊洋・山口和典・三和功喜・山本浩之
  • Journal Title: 東京大学地震研究所彙報 Volume: 85 Pages: 1-14
  • URL: http://www.eri.u-tokyo.ac.jp/BERI/pdf/IHO85101.pdf
• [Journal Article] Tsunami source of the 2010 Mentawai, Indonesia earthquake inferred from tsunami field survey and waveform modeling
  • Author(s): Satake, K., Y. Nishimura, P.S. Putra, A.R. Gusman, H. Sunendar, Y. Fujii, Y. Tanioka,
  • Journal Title: Pure. Appl. Geophys Volume: 170(印刷中)
  • DOI: doi:10.1007/s00024-012-0536-y
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Journal Article] Slip distribution and seismic moment of the 2010 and 1960 Chilean earthquakes inferred from tsunami waveforms and coastal geodetic data
  • Author(s): Fujii, Y. and K. Satake
  • Journal Title: Pure. Appl. Geophys Volume: 170(印刷中)
  • DOI: doi:10.1007/s00024-012-0524-2.
  • Peer Reviewed
• [Presentation] Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment for Nuclear Power Plants in Japan (2012)
  • Author(s): Satake, K.
  • Organizer: AGU Fall meeting(招待講演)
  • Place of Presentation: Moscone Center, San Francisco,USA
  • Year and Date: 2012-12-04
• [Presentation] M9クラ巨大地震のすべり量分布とスケーリング (2012)
  • Author(s): 室谷智子,佐竹健治,藤井雄士郎
  • Organizer: 日本地震学会2012年度秋季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 函館市函館市民会館
  • Year and Date: 2012-10-18
• [Presentation] マルチタイムウィンドウ津波波形インバージョンによる2011年東北地方太平洋沖地震のすべり分布 (2012)
  • Author(s): 藤井雄士郎,佐竹健治
  • Organizer: 日本地震学会2012年度秋季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 函館市函館市民会館
  • Year and Date: 2012-10-18
• [Presentation] 津波波形からみた2011年東北地方太平洋沖地震のすべりの時空間分布-貞観型プレート間地震が津波地震を誘発した可能性- (2012)
  • Author(s): 佐竹健治,藤井雄士郎,原田智也,行谷佑一
  • Organizer: 日本地震学会2012年度秋季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 函館市函館市民会館
  • Year and Date: 2012-10-18
• [Presentation] 2011年東北地方太平洋沖地震のマルチタイムウィンドウ津波波形インバージョン (2012)
  • Author(s): 藤井雄士郎,佐竹健治,原田智也,行谷佑一
  • Organizer: 日本地球惑星科学連合2012年大会
  • Place of Presentation: 千葉市幕張メッセ国際会議場
  • Year and Date: 2012-05-25
• [Presentation] Forgotten Tsunamis (2012)
  • Author(s): Satake, K. Unforecasted Earthquake
  • Organizer: AAAS Annual Meeting
  • Place of Presentation: Vancouver Convention Center, Vancouver, Canada
  • Year and Date: 2012-02-19
• [Presentation] Tsunami source model the 2011 Tohoku earthquake inferred from tsunami waveforms and coastal inundation heights(招待講演) (2011)
  • Author(s): Satake, K., Y. Fujii and T. Harada
  • Organizer: AGU Fall meeting
  • Place of Presentation: Moscone Center,San Francisco, USA
  • Year and Date: 2011-12-05
• [Presentation] 2011年東北地方太平洋沖地震の津波波形インバージョン (2011)
  • Author(s): 藤井雄士郎,佐竹健治,酒井慎一,篠原雅尚,金沢敏彦
  • Organizer: 日本地震学会2011年度秋季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 静岡県コンベンションアーツセンター・グランシップ
  • Year and Date: 2011-10-14
• [Presentation] Seismic moment and slip distribution of the 1960 and 2010 chilean earthquakes as inferred from tsunami waveform and geodetic data (2011)
  • Author(s): Fujii, Y. and K. Satake
  • Organizer: XXV IUGG General Assembly
  • Place of Presentation: Melbourne Convention & Exhibition Centre, Melbourne, Australia
  • Year and Date: 2011-07-04
• [Presentation] Pradono, and Pariatmono, Tsunami Field Survey for the Mentawai, Indonesia,Earthquake of October 25,2010 (2011)
  • Author(s): Satake, K.,Y. Nishimura, P. S. Putra, E.Yulianto, H. Sunendar, M. Sugimoto, A. Koresawa, M.H
  • Organizer: XXV IUGG General Assembly
  • Place of Presentation: Melbourne Convention & ExhibitionCentre, Melbourne, Australia
  • Year and Date: 2011-07-04
• [Presentation] Tsunami source of the 2011 off the Pacific coast of Tohoku (2011)
  • Author(s): Fujii, Y., K. Satake, S. Sakai, M. Shinohara, and T. Kanazawa
  • Organizer: Japan earthquake, XXV IUGG General Assembly
  • Place of Presentation: Melbourne Convention &Exhibition Centre, Melbourne, Australia
  • Year and Date: 2011-07-03
• [Presentation] The Great Off Tohoku Earthquake of 11 March 2011 (2011)
  • Author(s): Satake, K.
  • Organizer: XXV IUGG General Assembly(招待講演)
  • Place of Presentation: Melbourne Convention & Exhibition Centre, Melbourne, Australia
  • Year and Date: 2011-07-02
• [Presentation] 2011年東北地方太平洋沖地震の津波波源 (2011)
  • Author(s): 藤井雄士郎,佐竹健治,酒井慎一,篠原雅尚,金沢敏彦
  • Organizer: 日本地球惑星科学連合2011年連合大会
  • Place of Presentation: 千葉市幕張メッセ国際会議場
  • Year and Date: 2011-05-27
• [Presentation] 2010年インドネシア,メンタワイ地震の津波波形インバージョン (2011)
  • Author(s): 藤井雄士郎,佐竹健治
  • Organizer: 日本地球惑星科学連合2011年連合大会
  • Place of Presentation: 千葉市幕張メッセ国際会議場
  • Year and Date: 2011-05-27
• [Presentation] Variability of Great Earthquakes in the World's Subduction Zones Revealed from Paleoseismolgy (2011)
  • Author(s): Satake, K
  • Organizer: 日本地球惑星科学連合2011年連合大会(招待講演)
  • Place of Presentation: 千葉市幕張メッセ国際会議場
  • Year and Date: 2011-05-25
• [Presentation] 巨大地震と津波 (2011)
  • Author(s): 佐竹健治
  • Organizer: 海底地殻変動と津波に関するシンポジウム
  • Place of Presentation: 東京都東京大学山上会館
  • Year and Date: 2011-01-18
• [Presentation] Seismic moment and slip distribution of the 1960 and 2010Chilean earthquakes inferred from tsunami waveforms (2010)
  • Author(s): Satake, K. and Y. Fujii
  • Organizer: AGU Fall meeting
  • Place of Presentation: Moscone Center, San Francisco, USA
  • Year and Date: 2010-12-15
• [Presentation] 2010年2月チリ地震の津波波形インバージョン (2010)
  • Author(s): 藤井雄士郎,佐竹健治
  • Organizer: 日本地震学会秋季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 広島市広島国際会議場
  • Year and Date: 2010-10-29
• [Presentation] 津波・測地データのインバージョンによる1960年チリ地震の規模とすべり量分布 (2010)
  • Author(s): 藤井雄士郎,佐竹健治
  • Organizer: 日本地震学会秋季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 広島市広島国際会議場
  • Year and Date: 2010-10-29
• [Presentation] Tsunami from the February 2010 Chilean earthquake on the Japanese coast (2010)
  • Author(s): Satake, K
  • Organizer: 6th APRU Research Symposium on multi-hazards around the Pacific Rim
  • Place of Presentation: Peking University, China,Beijing
  • Year and Date: 2010-08-28
• [Presentation] 駿河湾沿岸の検潮井戸応答特性調査と2009年駿河湾地震による津波波形の補正 (2010)
  • Author(s): 佐竹健治,行谷佑一,藤井雄士郎,岡田正実,阿部邦昭,今井健太郎,上野俊洋
  • Organizer: 日本地球惑星科学連合大会
  • Place of Presentation: 千葉市幕張メッセ国際会議場
  • Year and Date: 2010-05-28
• [Presentation] 検潮記録に基づく1960年チリ地震の津波波源モデル (2010)
  • Author(s): 藤井雄士郎,佐竹健治
  • Organizer: 日本地球惑星科学連合大会
  • Place of Presentation: 千葉市幕張メッセ国際会議場
  • Year and Date: 2010-05-24
• [Presentation] 海底水圧計で記録された2010年2月チリ地震津波 (2010)
  • Author(s): 佐竹健治,酒井慎一,金沢敏彦,藤井雄士郎,齊藤竜彦,尾崎友亮
  • Organizer: 日本地球惑星科学連合大会
  • Place of Presentation: 千葉市幕張メッセ国際会議場
  • Year and Date: 2010-05-23
• [Presentation] Tsunami source ofthe 1960 Chilean earthquake inferred from tide gauge data (2010)
  • Author(s): Fujii. Y. and K. Satake
  • Organizer: AGU Chapman conference
  • Place of Presentation: Chile, Vina del Mar
  • Year and Date: 2010-05-16
• [Presentation] Tsunami warning systems: impacts of the 1960 and 2004 global tsunamis (2010)
  • Author(s): Satake, K.
  • Organizer: AGU Chapman conference
  • Place of Presentation: Chile, Vina del Mar
  • Year and Date: 2010-05-16
• [Presentation] Tsunami source of the 1960 Chilean earthquake inferred from tide gauge data (2010)
  • Author(s): Fujii, Y. and Satake, K
  • Organizer: The 3^<rd> International Tsunami Field Symposium
  • Place of Presentation: 仙台市東北大学さくらホールメッセ国際会議場
  • Year and Date: 2010-04-10
• [Presentation] Tsunami forecast and warning (2010)
  • Author(s): Satake, K.
  • Organizer: impacts of 1960 and 2004 tsunamis
  • Place of Presentation: 仙台市東北大学さくらホール
  • Year and Date: 2010-04-10
• [Presentation] Review of coastal paleoseismology around the Indian Ocean since the 2004 tsunami (2010)
  • Author(s): Satake, K
  • Organizer: HOKUDAN International Symposium on Active Faulting
  • Place of Presentation: 北淡市 北淡震災記念公園セミナーハウス
  • Year and Date: 2010-01-19
• [Presentation] Progress of Paleotsunami Studies around the Indian Ocean (2010)
  • Author(s): Satake , K
  • Organizer: International Workshop on External Flooding Hazards atNuclear Power Plant Sites
  • Place of Presentation: インド Kalapakkam
  • Year and Date: 2010-01-13
• [Presentation] Observation and Modeling of the January 2009 Papua (2009)
  • Author(s): Fujii, Y. , K. Satake and Y. Nishimae
  • Organizer: Indonesia Tsunami, International Symposium on Tsunami Risk Assessment and Mitigation in South and Southeast Asia
  • Place of Presentation: Manado, Indonesia
  • Year and Date: 2009-12-01
• [Presentation] 検潮・海底水圧計記録からみたサモア諸島沖地震津波 (2009)
  • Author(s): 藤井雄士郎,佐竹健治
  • Organizer: 日本地震学会2009年度秋季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 京都市,京都大学吉田キャンパス
  • Year and Date: 2009-10-21
• [Presentation] 2009年8月11日に駿河湾で発生した地震の津波モデリング (2009)
  • Author(s): 藤井雄士郎,佐竹健治
  • Organizer: 日本地震学会2009年度秋季大会
  • Place of Presentation: 京都市,京都大学吉田キャンパス
  • Year and Date: 2009-10-21
• [Presentation] Tsunami sources of the Papua (2009)
  • Author(s): Fujii, Y. and K. Satake
  • Organizer: Indonesia earthquakes in January 2009, AOGS 6th Annual Meeting 2009
  • Place of Presentation: Suntec Singapore International Convention & Exhibition Centre, Singapore
  • Year and Date: 2009-08-13
• [Presentation] 2009年パプア,インドネシア地震の津波波源モデル (2009)
  • Author(s): 藤井雄士郎,佐竹健治
  • Organizer: 日本地球惑星科学連合2009年連合大会
  • Place of Presentation: 千葉市幕張メッセ国際会議場
  • Year and Date: 2009-05-20
• [Book] 巨大地震・巨大津波-東日本大震災の検証- (2012)
  • Author(s): 平田直・佐竹健治・目黒公郎・畑村洋太郎
  • Total Pages: 212
  • Publisher: 朝倉書店
• [Remarks] Recent Tsunamis
  • URL: http://iisee.kenken.go.jp/staff/fujii/TsunamiTop.html
• [Remarks] Tsunami Models of 2011Tohoku Earthquake
  • URL: http://iisee.kenken.go.jp/staff/fujii/OffTohokuPacific2011/tsunami_inv.html