2011 Fiscal Year Final Research Report
Voters'"Disappointment,""Anxiety," and "Hope" and the Possibility of Change in Government Leadership
| Project/Area Number |
21730127
|
|---|
| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
|
| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
|---|
| Research Field |
Politics
|
|---|
| Research Institution | Kobe University (2011)
Waseda University (2009-2010) |
|---|
Principal Investigator |
IIDA Takeshi 神戸大学, 大学院・法学研究科, 特命講師 (50468873)
|
|---|
| Project Period (FY) |
2009 – 2011
|
| Keywords | 政権交代 / 総選挙 / 投票行動 |
|---|
| Research Abstract |
This project examines how Japanese voters become hopeful for and disappointed in political parties through survey data analysis and social science experiments. It also aims at constructing a theory to explain the mechanism under which change in government leadership happens. The main finings include the following:
A simultaneous rise in disappointment and hope lead to higher voter participation and a swing for an opposition party.
Voter support for opposition parties and their disappointment in a ruling party are not two sides of the same coin, meaning that a decline in popularity of a ruling party does not lead to a surge in support for an opposition party.
|
