2012 Fiscal Year Final Research Report
An analysis of long-term dynamics of individual travel mode choice behaviours and household car owning behaviours
| Project/Area Number |
22730334
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
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| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
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| Research Field |
Commerce
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| Research Institution | Kobe University |
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Principal Investigator |
SANKO Nobuhiro 神戸大学, 大学院・経営学研究科, 准教授 (00403220)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2010 – 2012
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| Keywords | 消費者行動 / 交通行動 / 交通手段選択 / 自動車保有 / 需要予測 |
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| Research Abstract |
To understand and forecast travel behaviours in long-time horizon, travel behaviours are analysed utilising repeated cross-sectional data collected in Nagoya at four points in time covering three decades. The analyses provided insights into better understandings of long-term dynamics of travel mode choice behaviours and car owning behaviours. The author proposed a methodology to improve travel demand forecasts by utilising not only the most recent dataset but also an older dataset. In addition, the author investigated reasons of forecast inaccuracies, applied models in developed countries to developing countries, proposed a methodology to handle income data appropriately, and addressed technical issues for analysing travel behaviour changes.
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[Journal Article] Household Car and Motorcycle Ownership in Bangkok and Kuala Lumpur in Comparison with Nagoya
Author(s)
Sanko, N., Dissanayake, D., Kurauchi, S., Maesoba, H., Yamamoto, T., and Morikawa, T.
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Journal Title
Transportmetrica
Volume: forthcoming
DOI
Peer Reviewed
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