2011 Fiscal Year Final Research Report
Study on Predictability of Seasonal Forecast by a Climate Model
| Project/Area Number |
22840016
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Research Activity Start-up
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| Allocation Type | Single-year Grants |
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| Research Field |
Meteorology/Physical oceanography/Hydrology
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| Research Institution | Tokyo Institute of Technology |
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Principal Investigator |
IMADA Yukiko (KANAMARU Yukiko) 東京工業大学, 大学院・情報理工学研究科, 産学官連携研究員 (50582855)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2010 – 2011
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| Keywords | 季節予報 / 異常気象予測 / ENSO / GCM(気候モデル) / 予測可能性 |
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| Research Abstract |
Toward the forecast of recent extreme climate events, I constructed the seasonal prediction system with the atmosphere and ocean general circulation model MIROC including an initialization(assimilation) system. The skill of ensemble hindcast for the past 30 years was comparable to globally-advanced climate models. In addition, two kinds of downscaling methods were formulated to apply regional extreme events.
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Research Products
(7 results)
