2023 Fiscal Year Research-status Report
Analyzing international supply chain risks to Japan's low-carbon energy transition
| Project/Area Number |
22KF0227
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| Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
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| Research Institution | Kyoto University |
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Principal Investigator |
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| Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) |
CARLSON JORDAN 京都大学, 地球環境学堂, 外国人特別研究員
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| Project Period (FY) |
2023-03-08 – 2025-03-31
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| Keywords | hydrogen supply chains / import / export / production / end-use / risks / decarbonisation |
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| Outline of Annual Research Achievements |
Research during this year concerned the question: “What risks emerge to national decarbonisation goals from relying on the use of blue and green hydrogen?” To answer this question, we conducted an integrative literature review to develop a framework for assessing the decarbonisation risks of different hydrogen and ammonia production pathways and end uses. We conceptualised risks using the IPCC’s feasibility categories for climate change mitigation options (IPCC, 2022), that considers the geophysical, environmental-ecological, technological, economic, sociocultural, institutional, and geopolitical groundings of risks to achieving decarbonisation through hydrogen development.
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| Current Status of Research Progress |
Current Status of Research Progress
2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.
Reason
A journal paper was submitted to Energy Research and Social Science for the above research topic. We have now proceeded to the second stage, which is to empirically examine how decarbonisation risks are acknowledged in national hydrogen strategies.
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| Strategy for Future Research Activity |
This year, we will use the previously developed framework to consider the strategic risks to national decarbonisation goals emerging from national hydrogen strategies in four nation-states proposing different configurations of international hydrogen economies. Specifically, we consider two states that plan to be net importers of hydrogen produced overseas and shipped to their ports (Japan and Germany), and two that plan to be net exporters meeting the global demand represented by the former (Australia and the United States). Using document analysis, we review the hydrogen strategies of each country to identify decarbonisation risks that might threaten the viability or long-term stability of emissions reductions.
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