Econometric Analysis of Program Evaluation and Its Application to Unemployment Insurance Policy

2014 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

• Project/Area Number: 23330070
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
• Allocation Type: Single-year Grants
• Section: 一般
• Research Field: Economic statistics
• Research Institution: National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies
• Principal Investigator: ARAI Yoichi 政策研究大学院大学, 政策研究科, 助教授 (50376571)
• Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha): ICHIMURA Hidehiko 東京大学, 大学院経済学研究科, 教授 (50401196) ; KAWAGUCHI Daiji 一橋大学, 大学院経済学研究科, 教授 (80346139)
• Project Period (FY): 2011-04-01 – 2015-03-31
• Keywords: 政策評価 / プログラム評価 / 非連続回帰分析 / ノンパラメトリック分析 / バンド幅 / 雇用保険

Outline of Final Research Achievements

In this research, we developed econometric methods for policy or program evaluation. Policy or program evaluation is to study, for example, the effect of unemployment benefit on unemployment duration. The problem considered in this research is the framework where implementation or eligibility of economic policies depends on a certain variable. For example, the eligibility of unemployment benefit typically depends on the duration of employment of the previous job. To estimate the policy effect in this framework, we proposed a novel estimation method. We also demonstrated that the proposed method outperforms the existing method. We applied the proposed method to investigate the effect of various economic policies.

Free Research Field

計量経済学