2014 Fiscal Year Final Research Report
Behavior of Rebel Groups in Civil War: An intra-group politics approach
| Project/Area Number |
23730162
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
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| Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
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| Research Field |
International relations
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| Research Institution | Hitotsubashi University |
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Principal Investigator |
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| Project Period (FY) |
2011-04-28 – 2015-03-31
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| Keywords | 内戦 / 組織 / 反乱軍 / 平和構築 / 権力分有協定 |
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| Outline of Final Research Achievements |
The primary purpose of this research was to examine the effects of the organizational characteristics of rebel groups and their intra-group politics on civil war dynamics. First, a case study of the Lord’s Resistance Army in Uganda explored the usefulness of an intra-group politics approach in explaining the success and failure of attempts at organizational reform. Next the researcher analyzed the cases of South Sudan and Sri Lanka to hypothesize that the organizational characteristics of rebel groups can exert an influence on post-war peace construction efforts; the validity of the hypothesis was demonstrated through survival analyses of postwar peace duration. The quantitative analyses also revealed an increased short-term risk of resumption of hostilities in cases where a political power-sharing arrangement is concluded, especially in combination with a military power-sharing arrangement.
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| Free Research Field |
政治学
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