2013 Fiscal Year Final Research Report
Simulation analyses of the interaction between demographic change, macro-economy and public finance
Project/Area Number |
23730270
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Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
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Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
Research Field |
Economic policy
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Research Institution | Hosei University (2013) Hitotsubashi University (2011-2012) |
Principal Investigator |
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Project Period (FY) |
2011 – 2012
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Keywords | 人口内生 / OLGモデル / 子育て支援 / 財源 |
Research Abstract |
In predicting the impact of policies on macroeconomic variables, the government must consider the effect of household fertility choices on demographic trends, as macroeconomic variables can be influenced by population scale. Therefore, this research presents a comprehensive survey of existing studies with endogenous fertility models and examines the effect of various policies on macroeconomic and fiscal variables through simulation analysis based on the overlapping generational model (OLG) of Oguro et al. (2011) which determines population growth endogenously, with the growth rate affected by household fertility choices.
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Research Products
(8 results)