2012 Fiscal Year Final Research Report
Reservoir operation considering long-term ensemble hydro-meteorological forecasts
| Project/Area Number |
23760462
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| Research Category |
Grant-in-Aid for Young Scientists (B)
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| Allocation Type | Multi-year Fund |
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| Research Field |
Hydraulic engineering
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| Research Institution | Kyoto University |
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Principal Investigator |
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| Project Period (FY) |
2011 – 2012
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| Keywords | 水資源工学 / 予測情報の活用 |
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| Research Abstract |
A reservoir operation method considering long-term ensemble hydro-meteorological forecasts were developed. The method to improve the effectiveness of real-time reservoir operation was investigated and clarified considering the monthly ensemble forecast of precipitation provided by Japan Meteorological Agency. Moreover, a stochastic impact assessment model of stochastic hydro-meteorological predictions, which have a similar theoretical basis with ensemble predictions, was developed by incorporating an artificial generation method of stochastic hydro-meteorological predictions with arbitrary degrees of uncertainty, in order to contribute to efficient design of reservoir operation considering the ensemble hydro-meteorological forecasts.
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