2013 Fiscal Year Annual Research Report
要素コストと産業構造から見る中国経済パフォーマンス
| Project/Area Number |
24330076
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| Research Institution | Hitotsubashi University |
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Principal Investigator |
ウー ハリー・シァオイン 一橋大学, 経済研究所, 教授 (90571464)
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| Project Period (FY) |
2012-04-01 – 2015-03-31
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| Keywords | Factor cost / Efficiency / Resource allocation / the Role of the State / Productivity |
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| Research Abstract |
Research Results for FY2013: In line with the project's plan, research activities in FY2013 focused on two areas:
1)A further development of the data in a coherent input-output framework that ensures the proper cost weighting of all inputs. Tasks included: <a>Integrated the time series national accounts with the benchmark input-output tables, and reconstructing time series of input-output tables. <b>extended the IO and NA time series to an earlier period in 1981 that could better capture the effect of the early reforms. <c>constructed producer price index for each industry and sector of the entire economy for double deflation exercise
2)An analysis of industry-level productivity performance with different degree of government intervention to explore the role of the state in the Chinese economy. Tasks included: <a>Constructed industry groups to capture the influence of the government in resource allocation by conjecturing how interventions are made to groups of industries located on the different positions of the production chain. <b> Tested the conjecture by the Jorgenson-Griliches type of growth accounting approach for TFP performances across groups which arrived at very satisfactory results. <c>Two conference presentations were delivered based on the results.
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| Current Status of Research Progress |
Current Status of Research Progress
2: Research has progressed on the whole more than it was originally planned.
Reason
Well followed the plan especially as the adjustment in 2012FY to ensure the constructed data are good enough for the project’s analytical purpose.
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| Strategy for Future Research Activity |
1. Working on a book on the Chinese industrial growth and productivity since 1980 using the established data.
2. Publishing 3-4 background papers for the constructed data and at least two analytical papers using the data.
3. Extending the data set, especially factor costs, to a new benchmark given by Chinese 2012 input-output table (will be available in 2014-2015).
4. Consolidating the indicators (e.g. the share of the state employment by industry) that can be used to examine the role of the state firms and hence the role of the government.
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| Expenditure Plans for the Next FY Research Funding |
平成24年度において構築されたデータの包括的確認作業を行うためデータ収集、およびデータ作業に行く予定だったが、学務のため延期せざるを得なくなり未使用額が発生した。
未使用額は平成26年度の研究費と合わせて、本プロジェクトがこれまで推進してきた中国経済産業部門のデータ作業について、この分野の世界的専門家に評価をしていただく。この評価報告書をもとに、今後のプロジェクトを推進し、国際学会およびセミナーにおいて研究結果を報告し討議する。さらに、必要データを補足し、研究論文を執筆する。
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