Development of methodologies of air transport demand forecast for proposing the effective airport management schemes

2014 Fiscal Year Final Research Report

• Project/Area Number: 24360207
• Research Category: Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)
• Allocation Type: Partial Multi-year Fund
• Section: 一般
• Research Field: Civil engineering project/Traffic engineering
• Research Institution: Kobe University
• Principal Investigator: TAKEBAYASHI Mikio 神戸大学, 海事科学研究科(研究院), 教授 (80236497)
• Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha): MURAKAMI Hideki 神戸大学, 経営学研究科, 教授 (90243295) ; HANAOKA Shinya 東京工業大学, 理工学研究科, 准教授 (90467027) ; ISHIGURO Kazuhiko 神戸大学, 海事科学研究科, 准教授 (60282034) ; ISHIKURA Tomoki 首都大学東京, 都市環境科学研究科, 准教授 (30356050) ; ONISHI Masamitsu 京都大学, 工学研究科, 助教 (10402968)
• Project Period (FY): 2012-04-01 – 2015-03-31
• Keywords: 航空輸送 / 空港運営 / ネットワーク / 需要分析 / シミュレーション

Outline of Final Research Achievements

This research project develops some methodologies for obtaining directions for strategic airport management. We propose (i) an OD traffic demand forecasting method by the demand structure analysis, (ii) a policy evaluation method considering network competitions, (iii) a methodology for proposing effective airport management schemes, (iv) a method of evaluating an impact of airport developments on a regional economy. In particular, we take an overview of the aviation policies in Asia and propose a theory for providing a rational management scheme of multiple airport system. On the other hand, we forecast the impact of such as the deregulation and the new entrance of LCC dealing with the Asia-based international passengers and the cargo transport markets and estimate the influence of the deregulation on the change within the airport hierarchy and the influence of the airport development on the regional economy.

Free Research Field

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