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2016 Fiscal Year Annual Research Report

Large Scale Participatory Simulation for Social Service Systems through Artificial Society Approach

Research Project

Project/Area Number 25240048
Research InstitutionTokyo Institute of Technology

Principal Investigator

寺野 隆雄  東京工業大学, 情報理工学院, 教授 (20227523)

Co-Investigator(Kenkyū-buntansha) 兼田 敏之  名古屋工業大学, 工学(系)研究科(研究院), 教授 (10192543)
吉田 健一  筑波大学, ビジネスサイエンス系, 教授 (40344858)
倉橋 節也  筑波大学, ビジネスサイエンス系, 教授 (40431663)
津田 和彦  筑波大学, ビジネスサイエンス系, 教授 (50302378)
高橋 大志  慶應義塾大学, 経営管理研究科(日吉), 教授 (60420478)
Project Period (FY) 2013-04-01 – 2017-03-31
Keywords社会シミュレーション / エージェントベースモデル / 参加型シミュレーション / 進化計算 / WEBマイニング / テキストマイニング / 社会サービス / サービス科学
Outline of Annual Research Achievements

本研究では、多種多様な関与者が存在する社会サービス分野を対象に、その担当者や設計者、利用者が意思決定に直接的・間接的に参画できるような大規模参加型シミュレーション技術を確立する。これにより、実際の社会サービスを開始する以前の段階で、制度の利点・欠点に関する認識を参画者間で共有できる。また、複数の潜在的シナリオを分析することにより、体制の高いサービスデザインが可能となる。平成28年度は最終年度にあたり、前年度に引き続いて、IEEE COMPSAC2016においてSSERVワークショップを主催した。人工知能学会、計測自動制御学会などにおいて、学術論文や解説論文を発表した。人工知能学会国際シンポジウムにおいては本研究課題のもとで、世界的な研究者を招待し、3件の講演を行った。さらに、計測自動制御学会社会システム部会、人工知能学会ビジネスインフォ―マティクス研究会の開催に主導的な役割を果たした。具体的な研究成果の概要は、以下にまとめられる。
1) エージェント社会シミュレーションモデルの構築技法:エージェントモデルと融合した参加型社会ゲーミング手法を確立することを目標として、新たな適用分野として電力市場・感染症対策・経営戦略の3種類のモデルを構築し、実証実験を行った。
2) エージェントモデルと融合した参加型ゲーミング手法:歩行者の能動的探索行動モデルを構成し、参加型シミュレーションを通じて中心市街地活性化策の政策分析を実施した
3) サービス関与者の意思決定行動を測定する情報発信型マイニング手法:本手法を適用してあらたな社会調査技術、大規模データ解析技術などの関連技術の適用可能性について研究した。
4) 参加型シミュレーションの最適化とファイナンス理論による評価:ファイナンス分野において、投資家の行動が市場に与える影響について、エージェントベースモデルおよびデータ解析を通じて分析を行った。

Research Progress Status

28年度が最終年度であるため、記入しない。

Strategy for Future Research Activity

28年度が最終年度であるため、記入しない。

  • Research Products

    (40 results)

All 2017 2016 Other

All Journal Article (13 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 4 results,  Peer Reviewed: 13 results,  Open Access: 3 results,  Acknowledgement Compliant: 8 results) Presentation (23 results) (of which Int'l Joint Research: 21 results) Book (1 results) Remarks (1 results) Funded Workshop (2 results)

  • [Journal Article] 動的エージェント負荷分散機構の開発2017

    • Author(s)
      村田 悠也 , 山本 学 , 寺野 隆雄
    • Journal Title

      情報処理学会論文誌

      Volume: 58-3 Pages: 754,761

    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 行動ルールを用いた歩行者エージェントモデルによる対向流の相転移の分析2017

    • Author(s)
      正光将大、兼田敏之
    • Journal Title

      日本建築学会技術報告集

      Volume: 23-54 Pages: 721,724

    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Study of hiring decisions by companies using text mining: Factors other than experience2017

    • Author(s)
      Hiromi Asano, Koji Tanaka, Kazuhiko Tsuda
    • Journal Title

      Artif. Intell. Research

      Volume: 6-1 Pages: 16,26

    • DOI

      https://doi.org/10.5430/air.v6n1p16

    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] 賑わいが街を変える - 立ち寄り施設と都市動態モデリング2017

    • Author(s)
      永井秀幸,倉橋節也
    • Journal Title

      人工知能学会論文誌

      Volume: D-G26 Pages: 1,10

    • DOI

      http://doi.org/10.1527/tjsai.D-G26

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] なぜ有人カウンタに行ってしまうのか-セルフサービスチェックイン機器利用の意思決定メカニズム2017

    • Author(s)
      上田圭一,倉橋節也
    • Journal Title

      日本シミュレーション&ゲーミング学会誌

      Volume: 24-2 Pages: 1,15

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] スノーボール調査とネットワーク分析に基づくエージェントベース普及モデル2017

    • Author(s)
      吉田敬志, 倉橋節也
    • Journal Title

      日本シミュレーション&ゲーミング学会誌

      Volume: 24-2 Pages: 17,28

    • Peer Reviewed
  • [Journal Article] A Grid Based Simulation Environment for Agent-Based Models with Vast Parameter Spaces2016

    • Author(s)
      Chao Yang, Bin Jiang, Isao Ono, Setsuya Kurahashi, Takao Terano
    • Journal Title

      Cluster Computing

      Volume: 19-1 Pages: 138,195

    • DOI

      10.1007/s10586-015-0500-6

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] A Perspective on the Future of the Smallest Big Project in the World2016

    • Author(s)
      Takao Terano
    • Journal Title

      Realistic Simulation of Financial Markets: Analyzing Market Behaviors by the Third Mode of Science

      Volume: 4 Pages: 87,93

    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] Revisiting the Dynamics Between Two Ancient Japanese Descent Groups2016

    • Author(s)
      Fumihiro Sakahira, Takao Terano
    • Journal Title

      Simulating Prehistoric and Ancient Worlds

      Volume: 1 Pages: 281,310

    • Peer Reviewed / Int'l Joint Research
  • [Journal Article] 異分野交流によるイノベーションを進化計算で考える2016

    • Author(s)
      寺野隆雄
    • Journal Title

      計測と制御

      Volume: 55-8 Pages: 692,697

    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] エージェントシミュレーションを用いた金融規制が金融機関の連動的な破綻に与える影響の分析2016

    • Author(s)
      菊地 剛正, 國上 真章 , 山田 隆志, 高橋 大志, 寺野 隆雄
    • Journal Title

      人工知能学会論文誌

      Volume: 31-6 Pages: AG-G_1, 11

    • Peer Reviewed / Open Access / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] エージェントシミュレーションを用いた中央銀行の資金供給が金融機関の連動的な破綻に与える影響の分析2016

    • Author(s)
      菊地剛正, 國上真章, 山田隆志, 高橋大志, 寺野隆雄
    • Journal Title

      経営情報学会論文誌

      Volume: 25-3 Pages: 169,185

    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Journal Article] Detecting Logical Inconsistencies by Clustering Technique in Natural Language Requirements2016

    • Author(s)
      Satoshi Masuda, Tohru Matsuodani, Kazuhiko Tsuda
    • Journal Title

      IEICE Transactions

      Volume: 99-D(9) Pages: 2210, 2218

    • Peer Reviewed / Acknowledgement Compliant
  • [Presentation] Predicting Corporate Bond Prices in Japan Using a Support Vector Machine2017

    • Author(s)
      Hiroaki Jotaki, Yasuo Yamashita, Hiroshi Takahashi
    • Organizer
      he Ninth International Conference on Information, Process, and Knowledge Management (eKnow2017)
    • Place of Presentation
      Nice, France
    • Year and Date
      2017-03-19 – 2017-03-23
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] WEB教材の学習方法と効果に関する分析2017

    • Author(s)
      山本英輝, 萩原静厳, 高橋大志
    • Organizer
      計測自動制御学会 第12回社会システム部会研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      Guam, USA
    • Year and Date
      2017-03-03 – 2017-03-05
  • [Presentation] An Electricity Market Game using Agent-based Gaming Technique for Understanding Energy Transition2017

    • Author(s)
      Setsuya Kurahashi, Wander Jager
    • Organizer
      9th International Conference on Agents and Artificial Intelligence(ICAART2017)
    • Place of Presentation
      Porto, Purtugal
    • Year and Date
      2017-02-24 – 2017-02-26
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] THE IMPACT OF HUMAN RELATIONSHIP ON BANKRUPTCY-RELATED EVOLUTION OF INTER-FIRM TRADE NETWORK2016

    • Author(s)
      Shihan Wang, Mohsen Jafari Songhori, Shuang Chang, Takao Terano
    • Organizer
      2016 Winter Simulation Conference
    • Place of Presentation
      Washington DC, USA
    • Year and Date
      2016-12-11 – 2016-12-14
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Effect Analysis of Systemic Risk Index in Fund Transaction Networks2016

    • Author(s)
      Morito Hashimoto, Setsuya Kurahashi
    • Organizer
      Artificial Intelligence of and for Business (AI-Biz 2016) associated with JSAI International Symposia on AI 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Yokohama, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2016-11-14 – 2016-11-14
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Self-service technology adoption model with Agent-Based Modeling2016

    • Author(s)
      Keiichi Ueda, Setsuya Kurahashi
    • Organizer
      Artificial Intelligence of and for Business (AI-Biz 2016) associated with JSAI International Symposia on AI 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Yokohama, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2016-11-14 – 2016-11-14
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Real-time Abnormal Traffic Detection Circuit Based on Simple Frequent-Itemset-Mining Method2016

    • Author(s)
      Shuji Sannomiya, Akira Sato, Kenichi Yoshida
    • Organizer
      IA workshop 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Taipei, Taiwan
    • Year and Date
      2016-11-03 – 2016-11-04
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Syntactic Rules of Extracting Test Cases from Software Requirements2016

    • Author(s)
      Satoshi Masuda, Tohru Matsuodani, Kazuhiko Tsuda
    • Organizer
      8th International Conference on Information Management and Engineering (ICIME 2016)
    • Place of Presentation
      Istanbul, Turkey
    • Year and Date
      2016-11-02 – 2016-11-05
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Managing Knowledge Development in Product Development Projects: Insights from an Agent-Based Model2016

    • Author(s)
      Mohsen Jafari Songhori, Takao Terano
    • Organizer
      Social Simulation Conference 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Rome, Italy
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-19 – 2016-09-23
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Managing Knowledge Transfer among Product Development Teams: Insights from an Agent-Based Mode2016

    • Author(s)
      Mohsen Jafari Songhori, Takao Terano
    • Organizer
      Social Simulation Conference 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Rome, Italy
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-19 – 2016-09-23
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Does Negative Interest Rate Policy Stabilize the Interbank Network?2016

    • Author(s)
      Takamasa Kikuchi, Masaaki Kunigami, Takashi Yamada, Hiroshi Takahashi, Takao Terano
    • Organizer
      Social Simulation Conference 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Rome, Italy
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-19 – 2016-09-23
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Agent-based Gaming for Understanding Two-sided Electricity Markets2016

    • Author(s)
      Sestuya.Kurahashi,Wander.Jager
    • Organizer
      Social Simulation Conference 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Rome, Italy
    • Year and Date
      2016-09-19 – 2016-09-23
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] 金融規制が金融システムの安定性や金融機関行動に与える影響についてのシミュレーション2016

    • Author(s)
      菊地剛正,國上真章,山田隆志,高橋大志,寺野 隆雄
    • Organizer
      人工知能学会 第5回 経営課題にAIを! ビジネス・インフォマティクス研究会
    • Place of Presentation
      盛岡
    • Year and Date
      2016-08-29 – 2016-08-29
  • [Presentation] Modeling Decentralized Inter-Organizational Business Structures through Agent-Based Simulation2016

    • Author(s)
      Taisei Mukai, Takao Terano
    • Organizer
      World Automation Congress 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Himeji, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-31 – 2016-08-04
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Combining Workers' Behavior Data and Real Time Simulator for a Cellular Manufacturing System2016

    • Author(s)
      Masaki Kitazawa, Toru B. Takahashi, Satoshi Takahashi, Atsushi Yoshikawa, Takao Terano
    • Organizer
      World Automation Congress 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Himeji, Japan
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-31 – 2016-08-04
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Health Policy Simulation Model of Ebola Haemorrhagic Fever and Zika Fever2016

    • Author(s)
      Setsuya Kurahashi
    • Organizer
      10th International KES Conference on Agents and Multi-agent Systems: Technologies and Application
    • Place of Presentation
      Tenerife, Spain
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-13 – 2016-07-26
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] "Sidewalk" as a Realm of Users' Interactions: Simulating Pedestrians' Densities at a Commercial Street in Cairo City2016

    • Author(s)
      H. Magdy, M. Shohmistu, T. Kaneda
    • Organizer
      REAL CORP 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Hamburg, Germany
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-22 – 2016-06-24
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Study on the Lifestyle and Daily Activities of Informal Settlers in Inner Kabul City2016

    • Author(s)
      S. Sahab, T. Kaneda
    • Organizer
      REAL CORP 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Hamburg, Germany
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-22 – 2016-06-24
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Study on the Agent-Simulation of Waiting Behaviours inside a Transfer Station2016

    • Author(s)
      T. Mizuno, M. Shohmitsu, T. Kaneda
    • Organizer
      IEEE 40th Annual International Computers, Software & Applications Conferences, SSERV 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Atlanta, USA
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-10 – 2016-06-14
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Stock Price Regression Based on Order Book Information2016

    • Author(s)
      Kenichi Yoshida, Akito Sakurai
    • Organizer
      IEEE 40th Annual International Computers, Software & Applications Conferences, SSERV 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      ATlanta, USA
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-10 – 2016-06-14
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Methods to Predict the Number of Software Faults Using Weibull Distribution2016

    • Author(s)
      Koji Tanaka, Kazuhiko Tsuda
    • Organizer
      IEEE 40th Annual International Computers, Software & Applications Conferences, SSERV 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Atlanta, USA
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-10 – 2016-06-14
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] Proposal for a Cumulative Deposit Rate Prediction Method for Payment After Delivery in the Mail Order Business2016

    • Author(s)
      Hiroki Azuma, Nobuo Suzuki, Tohru Matsuodani, Kazuhiko Tsuda
    • Organizer
      IEEE 40th Annual International Computers, Software & Applications Conferences, SSERV 2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Atlanta, USA
    • Year and Date
      2016-06-10 – 2016-06-14
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Presentation] A Case Study of Team Learning Measurements from Groupware Utilization - A Proposal of Measurement Method for the Contribution Ratio of Knowledge2016

    • Author(s)
      Ayako Masuda, Chikako Morimoto, Tohru Matsuodani, Kazuhiko Tsuda
    • Organizer
      CSEDU2016
    • Place of Presentation
      Rome, Italy
    • Year and Date
      2016-04-21 – 2016-04-23
    • Int'l Joint Research
  • [Book] Analyzing the Influence of Market Conditions on the Effectiveness of Smart Beta, G.Jezic, Robert J. Howlett, Lakhmi C. Jain. (eds.), Agent and Multi-Agent Systems: Technologies and Applications, Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies vol. 382016

    • Author(s)
      Hiroshi TAKAHASHI
    • Total Pages
      417-426
    • Publisher
      Springer
  • [Remarks] GEAR (Tokyo Tech Terano Laboratory Web Page)

    • URL

      http://www.trn.dis.titech.ac.jp

  • [Funded Workshop] JSAI isAI 2016 (International Symposium on AI 2016)2016

    • Place of Presentation
      日本、神奈川県日吉
    • Year and Date
      2016-11-14 – 2016-11-16
  • [Funded Workshop] IEEE COMSAC 2017 3-rd SSERV Workshop2016

    • Place of Presentation
      Atalanta, USA
    • Year and Date
      2016-07-10 – 2016-07-14

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Published: 2018-01-16  

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